dendrite Posted January 17, 2023 Share Posted January 17, 2023 0.90" QPF from the SWFE/IVT combo. A conservative 5-8" will make a nice base. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnitedWx Posted January 17, 2023 Share Posted January 17, 2023 48 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: UGH...my bad. Having trouble keeping up? So many storms to track 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 17, 2023 Share Posted January 17, 2023 Euro seems to be more phased like the GGEM with system #2, but too soon - that might end up in Buffalo. ...what the hell did they do, anyway - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx2fish Posted January 17, 2023 Share Posted January 17, 2023 1 minute ago, Typhoon Tip said: Euro seems to be more phased like the GGEM with system #2, but too soon - that might end up in Buffalo. ...what the hell did they do, anyway - Pretty much over my head. It's a bomb though, big snows in NNE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 17, 2023 Share Posted January 17, 2023 Big rains sne/cne, big hit interior. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 17, 2023 Share Posted January 17, 2023 Pretty good here, but yeah, that's a crush job for NNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx2fish Posted January 17, 2023 Share Posted January 17, 2023 What a weenie run for Stowe. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 17, 2023 Share Posted January 17, 2023 4 minutes ago, wx2fish said: Pretty much over my head. It's a bomb though, big snows in NNE Yeah, saw that... I almost wonder if that odd sfc placement ( wrt mid level forcing) may be a nod to more eventual coastal commitment - I've seen models do something like that, where they establish a 'correction vector' Interesting. Yeah, that's a zonk solution for like ALB though. They're probably getting a 6" hour with lightning strikes with that - wow. Also, the Euro trended colder here in the foreground from what I'm looking at... ? huh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 17, 2023 Share Posted January 17, 2023 Just get monday to go right for once this winter. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 17, 2023 Share Posted January 17, 2023 hmm Euro looks like a band of significant ice along or just south of Rt 2... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sn0waddict Posted January 17, 2023 Share Posted January 17, 2023 Welp this definitely is not a SW CT winter. No way any of those storms trend better for us. Ski country looks like they could make out well with these though. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted January 17, 2023 Share Posted January 17, 2023 2 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: hmm Euro looks like a band of significant ice along or just south of Rt 2... Kevs forecast might be right Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 17, 2023 Share Posted January 17, 2023 4 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: hmm Euro looks like a band of significant ice along or just south of Rt 2... Been discussing that last few days 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted January 17, 2023 Share Posted January 17, 2023 11 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Big rains sne/cne, big hit interior. Long way out, but winter is utterly irredeemable for me if that verified. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RDRY Posted January 17, 2023 Share Posted January 17, 2023 Maybe the earlier, consolidated low on the 12z Euro stands a better chance of getting offshore? Because the 0z follow-up storm on the 25th was an inland-running disaster. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted January 17, 2023 Share Posted January 17, 2023 1/26-1/27 has some potential Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 17, 2023 Share Posted January 17, 2023 Just now, WxWatcher007 said: Long way out, but winter is utterly irredeemable for me if that verified. The season yes but I’m at a point where I would just like to enjoy one good snowfall…one. Not two, not three…one. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 17, 2023 Share Posted January 17, 2023 18 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Been discussing that last few days Yeah I noticed you did ... I haven't exactly hated the notion - I've come by it from time to time.. BUT, I don't like the fact that we are lacking some +PP ( pressure pattern) for establishing the right thermodynamics. We need to have a DP inject into icing at 31.8 or it will flop to 32.4.... That's just physics - can't be avoided. BUT, establishing even minimal +PP N in VT/NH might get that inject ice enthusiasts would need, ageostrophic low level flow. This event does not have banked cold - or I should say lacked it on previous model trends. Anyway, I wasn't going mention it because it's too marginal and there's not a lot of evidence ( until this run) that we can drain ageostrophically. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 17, 2023 Share Posted January 17, 2023 16 minutes ago, wx2fish said: What a weenie run for Stowe. Giddy up next 7 days. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 17, 2023 Share Posted January 17, 2023 Ha 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted January 17, 2023 Share Posted January 17, 2023 2 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: The season yes but I’m at a point where I would just like to enjoy one good snowfall…one. Not two, not three…one. Emotion aside, I love that we have a continued parade of storms. It’d be near impossible to miss on them all during peak climo and a gradually improving pattern. We should get on the board before January closes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx2fish Posted January 17, 2023 Share Posted January 17, 2023 3 minutes ago, SouthCoastMA said: 1/26-1/27 has some potential What a bomb on the euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 17, 2023 Share Posted January 17, 2023 Everyone is happy within 10 days. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 17, 2023 Share Posted January 17, 2023 3 minutes ago, RDRY said: Maybe the earlier, consolidated low on the 12z Euro stands a better chance of getting offshore? Because the 0z follow-up storm on the 25th was an inland-running disaster. 1/25-26 will be a good hit this run for SNE I think. That’s prob the first one that has a realistic chance of being good here. Beyond that looks more favorable but at least with 1/25, we have some better looking upper levels with the PV getting closer and trying to intrude into Quebec. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 17, 2023 Share Posted January 17, 2023 1 minute ago, dryslot said: Ha Snow on snow on snow on snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnitedWx Posted January 17, 2023 Share Posted January 17, 2023 1 minute ago, dryslot said: Ha That would be a fine thing, but i don't buy it... not yet 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 17, 2023 Share Posted January 17, 2023 963mb on the 26/27th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 17, 2023 Share Posted January 17, 2023 Just now, dendrite said: Snow on snow on snow on snow. feet upon feet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 17, 2023 Share Posted January 17, 2023 5 minutes ago, SouthCoastMA said: 1/26-1/27 has some potential That one would be a hyper bomb if the Euro is right ... I haven't seen the surface but I can be certain given that run succeeding in the mid and U/A/ synoptic evolution, it's running some sort of 970 mb low right by us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 17, 2023 Share Posted January 17, 2023 Just now, ORH_wxman said: 1/25-26 will be a good hit this run for SNE I think. That’s prob the first one that has a realistic chance of being good here. Beyond that looks more favorable but at least with 1/25, we have some better looking upper levels with the PV getting closer and trying to intrude into Quebec. Deform band of W CT yore there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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