STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 9, 2023 Share Posted January 9, 2023 12 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I think it was... Severe weather, anafrontal, WINDEX, Backlash and inverted troughs. Not meant to imply the science behind them isn't valid or that they never materialize, but that they are exceedingly low likelihood. Thanks . The fraud 5 was one my favorite posts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 9, 2023 Share Posted January 9, 2023 Fraud five is great because it's true. Maybe the SVR stuff is more for eastern areas vs western. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 9, 2023 Share Posted January 9, 2023 17 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I think it was... Severe weather, anafrontal, WINDEX, Backlash and inverted troughs. Not meant to imply the science behind them isn't valid or that they never materialize, but that they are exceedingly low likelihood. 16 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: I think the new england fraud five is backlash, anafront, windex, severe wx, and IVT edit: lol, the creator beat me to it Yes, That's them, Ha ha, Now lets rank them, One being worst 1) Annafrontal 2) Backlash 3) IVT 4) Windex 5) Severe Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted January 9, 2023 Share Posted January 9, 2023 Um, does anyone have a clown-snow map for the uncle? just looking at QPF, this appears to be a laugh riot for SWCT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
radarman Posted January 9, 2023 Share Posted January 9, 2023 6 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: Also… There seems to be a failure to understand that there’s a distinction between storm frequency and what’s actually falling from the sky. 10 storms in 1930 vs 10 storms in 2020: the 10 storms in 2020 precipitating more. there’s nothing else. it’s that simple. and it’s because a warmer atmosphere in which the 10 storms occur in 2020 are formulating in more available water; more available to condensation processes in the atmosphere resulting in heavier rain. a) define storm b) precip != snow 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnitedWx Posted January 9, 2023 Share Posted January 9, 2023 18 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: I think the new england fraud five is backlash, anafront, windex, severe wx, and IVT edit: lol, the creator beat me to it I thought one of the five was Damage in Tolland... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 9, 2023 Share Posted January 9, 2023 I suspect the “fraudulent” cred may in part be because they’ve probably been overused and abused. The first sniff out in guidance from four or five days out may not even be interpreted correctly. I’ve seen this before, in general. People incorrectly apply concepts of meteorology to what they’re seeing and saying. They reach for IVT this and ANA that … it becomes the meme of the week … ultimately fails and then everybody has a bad impression for the journey. I mean there’s some of that too. Fact the matter is all those aspects have produced. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 9, 2023 Share Posted January 9, 2023 4 minutes ago, Go Kart Mozart said: Um, does anyone have a clown-snow map for the uncle? just looking at QPF, this appears to be a laugh riot for SWCT. Looks like a chunk of that is rain, so it prob only gives a few inches at the very end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
radarman Posted January 9, 2023 Share Posted January 9, 2023 5 minutes ago, dryslot said: Yes, That's them, Ha ha, Now lets rank them, One being worst 1) Annafrontal 2) Backlash 3) IVT 4) Windex 5) Severe here where big storms often underproduce #1, 3,4,and 5 are what we think of when we think jackpot time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted January 9, 2023 Share Posted January 9, 2023 5 minutes ago, Go Kart Mozart said: Um, does anyone have a clown-snow map for the uncle? just looking at QPF, this appears to be a laugh riot for SWCT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cleetussnow Posted January 9, 2023 Share Posted January 9, 2023 Honorable mention: -NAO 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted January 9, 2023 Share Posted January 9, 2023 1 minute ago, cleetussnow said: Honorable mention: -NAO and "the pattern looks great in 10-14 days" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 9, 2023 Share Posted January 9, 2023 I actually read every post-6 pages of them since I last was on. Some really thought provoking and others simply hilarious. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted January 9, 2023 Share Posted January 9, 2023 8 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: Oh well, not cold enough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted January 9, 2023 Share Posted January 9, 2023 8 minutes ago, Great Snow 1717 said: and "the pattern looks great in 10-14 days" I would say "the monthlies" is the number one fraud. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 9, 2023 Share Posted January 9, 2023 1 minute ago, Go Kart Mozart said: I would say "the monthlies" is the number one fraud. Ya the monthlies are usually weak sauce Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted January 9, 2023 Share Posted January 9, 2023 4 minutes ago, Go Kart Mozart said: I would say "the monthlies" is the number one fraud. add those to the list... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 9, 2023 Share Posted January 9, 2023 GEFS coming in with a better look now past day 10. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 9, 2023 Share Posted January 9, 2023 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: GEFS coming in with a better look now past day 10. Post this in fraud 5 thread Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted January 9, 2023 Share Posted January 9, 2023 Just now, STILL N OF PIKE said: Post this in fraud 5 thread LOL!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted January 9, 2023 Share Posted January 9, 2023 4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: GEFS coming in with a better look now past day 10. 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 9, 2023 Share Posted January 9, 2023 7 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: GEFS coming in with a better look now past day 10. 1 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 9, 2023 Share Posted January 9, 2023 4 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Post this in fraud 5 thread LOL, this winter sure. But in most winters, changes to roll forward. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 9, 2023 Share Posted January 9, 2023 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 9, 2023 Share Posted January 9, 2023 Just now, MJO812 said: Wipe it clean baby. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 9, 2023 Share Posted January 9, 2023 The whole season has looked great in the 10-15 day window now 10 times. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 9, 2023 Share Posted January 9, 2023 I would say lets start fresh after this one, But we never started. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 9, 2023 Share Posted January 9, 2023 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Wipe it clean baby. Intrigued Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 9, 2023 Share Posted January 9, 2023 3 minutes ago, dryslot said: The whole season has looked great in the 10-15 day window now 10 times. The GEFS have been dragging its heels, but sort of match more with EPS. That's all I meant. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 9, 2023 Share Posted January 9, 2023 1 minute ago, MJO812 said: Intrigued Too warm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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