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August 2022


Rtd208
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The record high tie of 98° yesterday at AVP was the 2nd warmest on record for the month of August.

 
Time Series Summary for Avoca Area, PA (ThreadEx) - Month of Aug
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Rank
Year
Highest Max Temperature 
Missing Count
1 1918 102 0
2 2022 98 27
- 2001 98 0
- 1948 98 0
- 1944 98 0
- 1930 98 0
- 1916 98 0
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The next 8 days are averaging  83degs.(75/91) or +6.

Reached just 84 here yesterday.

Today:   86-92, p. sunny, wind w. to s., TS late?

Looked menacing at about 9:15pm yesterday.......but it all vaporized quickly.       More excitements today?

1659661920-A1sVLuOQ7Go.png

77*(80%RH) here at 7am.        80* at Noon.        82* at 1pm.      84*(70%RH) at 2pm.       85* at 3pm.       86* at 4:30pm.

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Morning thoughts…

It will be variably cloudy and very warm. Showers and thunderstorms are likely, especially this afternoon and evening. High temperatures will reach the upper 80s and lower 90s in most of the region. Likely high temperatures around the region include:

New York City (Central Park): 90°

Newark: 95°

Philadelphia: 92°

The very warm weather will continue through the weekend.

Normals:

New York City: 30-Year: 84.5°; 15-Year: 85.1°

Newark: 30-Year: 85.9°; 15-Year: 86.9°

Philadelphia: 30-Year: 87.0°; 15-Year: 87.5°

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10 hours ago, jm1220 said:

South shore drought lives on, storms had no chance once they reached the sea breeze. That plus losing the daytime heating killed it. We need a more organized synoptic system to get the rain where it’s needed. Not a drop east of the Verrazano. 

Same here, but no sea breeze.  When you are in a drought, it finds any excuse NOT to rain.  Not even a drop...

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2 hours ago, Allsnow said:

Euro/hrrr pretty dry now for today. We shall see what happens 

Yep barely any rain for later

41 minutes ago, bluewave said:

Only a brief relaxation of the WAR in mid-August before getting stronger again during the 2nd half of the month. This fits with the rapid warming of the Western Atlantic. The marine heatwave has boosted the Atlantic SSTs near the all-time warmest for this time of year. 

 

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Thats bath water up here 

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78/70 , 0.78 in the bucket.  Mostly cloudy this morning will cap highs today a bit, any larger breaks of sun will see low / perhaps some mid 90s.  Western Atlantic Ridge builds the bermuda highw and   Florida style pattern with pop up storms, some soakers the next 60 hours, mainly evening and overnight.  Boundary nearby to enhance training storms.  Hot, humid and stormy, sun out near / low 90s next few days with breaks of sun , Miami style..  Monday again could be less wet ahead of the front and more strong heat potential for an over performer  day. 

Front and subsequent trough comes through Tue (8/9) and with it more normal temps through next Thu (8/11) / Fri (8/12) before overall warmer pattern returns next weekend.  Rockies / Plains ridge looks to re build in Kansas and piece of that heat looks to push east.

 

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3 hours ago, Allsnow said:

Euro/hrrr pretty dry now for today. We shall see what happens 

RGEM is showing almost nothing for today too. This was another example of why we should be skeptical anytime the models show a good event several days in advance. As usual it fell apart and the terribly dry pattern continues. Just isolated activity the next couple days. Have to hope we get lucky today or tomorrow, but the luck here has been terrible so there's a good chance we won't get anything significant. Maybe we'll have a little better chance when the front comes through later tuesday or wednesday.

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23 minutes ago, winterwx21 said:

RGEM is showing almost nothing for today too. This was another example of why we should be skeptical anytime the models show a good event several days in advance. As usual it fell apart and the terribly dry pattern continues. Just isolated activity the next couple days. Have to hope we get lucky today or tomorrow, but the luck here has been terrible so there's a good chance we won't get anything significant. Maybe we'll have a little better chance when the front comes through later tuesday or wednesday.

It's pretty incredible how bad they've been and it may turn out that last night was the most active day we'll see during this stretch

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24 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said:

It's pretty incredible how bad they've been and it may turn out that last night was the most active day we'll see during this stretch

Old saying....When in drought leave it out.  Meaning rain out of the forecast in longer range 3-5 day forecasts.  This is a terrible pattern. Some will get lucky with heavier totals next 24-48 hours but not widespread and nothing that is going to end horrible dry spell for large portion of the area.

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2 minutes ago, MANDA said:

Old saying....When in drought leave it out.  Meaning rain out of the forecast in longer range 3-5 day forecasts.  This is a terrible pattern. Some will get lucky with heavier totals next 24-48 hours but not widespread and nothing that is going to end horrible dry spell for large portion of the area.

I dont expect widespread drought busting rains til fall or a tropical system but this still looked promising for at least a decent amount over the next 3 days. We'll see, maybe the models will be wrong again

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13 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said:

I dont expect widespread drought busting rains til fall or a tropical system but this still looked promising for at least a decent amount over the next 3 days. We'll see, maybe the models will be wrong again

Totally agree.  At this point the hit and miss showers are not going to cut it.  Fall coastal or tropical system will be what is needed to start reversing or fix in one fell swoop (if very wet TS) the negative rainfall departures.   This pattern is not going to cut it.  Only positive I see is if WAR remains dominate and westward enough is that any tropical system at least has a chance to affect the east coast either by coming up the coast of Gulf landfall and then remnants coming up along or east of the mountains.  Nothing happening over the next 1-2 weeks that's for sure.  Lets just hope the WAR can nose west enough to allow for that pathway down the road.  All the clouds this morning are doing the atmosphere no favors in terms of instability today.

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POU and LGA are among the NY 90° day leaders at 20 through the 4th. Places like Newark and Freehold are at the top in NJ with over 30 days. Philly to Harrisburg have the most 90° days in PA.

 

Data for January 1, 2022 through August 5, 2022
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Name
Station Type
Number of Days Max Temperature >= 90 
LAGUARDIA AIRPORT WBAN 20
SARA NEW YORK RAWS 20
Poughkeepsie Area ThreadEx 20
POUGHKEEPSIE AIRPORT WBAN 20
New York-LGA Area ThreadEx 20


 

Data for January 1, 2022 through August 5, 2022
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Name
Station Type
Number of Days Max Temperature >= 90 
NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP WBAN 33
SOUTH JERSEY REGIONAL AIRPORT WBAN 33
Newark Area ThreadEx 33
FREEHOLD-MARLBORO COOP 32
HIGHTSTOWN 2 W COOP 32


 

Data for January 1, 2022 through August 5, 2022
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Name
Station Type
Number of Days Max Temperature >= 90 
PHILADELPHIA INTL AP WBAN 30
Philadelphia Area ThreadEx 30
HARRISBURG CAPITAL CITY AP WBAN 28
NORTHEAST PHILADELPHIA AIRPORT WBAN 27
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