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August Discussion/Obs


weatherwiz
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5 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

HRRR has been atrocious going back to last winter . It has shown feet of snow that vanished in the last 6 hours. Widespread severe  tstorms that don’t ever form and now this. Abysmal model .. And when it’s all by itself on an island . Don’t bother 

To be fair, almost every model was downright putrid with this system. Every model showed significant rain for a good portion of the area within the last 36 hours.

I mean, some models had over 2” here 12 hours ago and we got barely anything measurable 

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48 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

HRRR has been atrocious going back to last winter . It has shown feet of snow that vanished in the last 6 hours. Widespread severe  tstorms that don’t ever form and now this. Abysmal model .. And when it’s all by itself on an island . Don’t bother 

Some hump it, I heave it.

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1 minute ago, radarman said:

Theoretically it could be useful for convective initiation, but frankly I'm not even sure it's good at that.  Sat is probably better.  I use it for clear air winds aloft though, and there's not much else to use.

You would think so but it really isn't. Although I think it tends to do better when there is a well-defined lifting mechanism (like a cold front or pre-frontal trough) and larger-scale lift. But days in which convection is of the pop-up variety it's not very good. But given how small of a scale we're dealing with regarding the pop-up stuff, even the HRRR I don't think is high enough resolution to sniff out those processes. 

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8 minutes ago, radarman said:

Theoretically it could be useful for convective initiation, but frankly I'm not even sure it's good at that.  Sat is probably better.  I use it for clear air winds aloft though, and there's not much else to use.

I just fire up goes-16 and a regional radar and that usually gives me what i need inside 12hrs or so, I found the HRRR even using the 0z, 06z, 12z and 18z runs to not be that good, I followed it quite a bit last winter and it was not very good until actual go time which at that point IDGAF.

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Just now, CoastalWx said:

My plants and trees are taking a beating. Sucks. Garden has done well.

First year that i actually got abundant blueberries out of my bushes even with the lack of rain, Those have done well too, But you can already see a lot of stressed trees up here which is quite early.

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