SACRUS Posted June 25, 2022 Share Posted June 25, 2022 60 hours of some heat with many areas getting into the low 90s today and Sun (6/26). Front comes through early enough Monday (6/27) to spoil the hat trick (heat wave) for many. Friday came close to starting one in many places but tipped out in the upper 80s. Cooler Tue (6/28) - Wed (6/29) before the seasons first official heatwave looks likely, especially for the hot spots sas we end June and open the long July 4th weekend. 850 temps look to range >16c by Thu Jun 30th and >18c Fri Jul 1st and Sat Jul 2nd. 4th of July : GFS gas cool front clearing through Sat night (7/2) into Sun (73) while the ECM is slower and arrives Sun (7/3) lingering into the 4th of July. Will need to work out those details/timing. Beyond there its looking like another blast of the western furnace is on tap by the 7th. First 10 days of July look normal / bas above normal with opportunity for >3 days of 90+ on the current guidance. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted June 25, 2022 Share Posted June 25, 2022 Mostly sunny and temps pushing or already 80 in spots. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted June 25, 2022 Share Posted June 25, 2022 14 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: surprised it hasn't been wetter with that trough near us...we've lucked out in that regard. Could pick up a decent soaker on Monday (6/27) for the area with the front coming through. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted June 25, 2022 Author Share Posted June 25, 2022 27 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: surprised it hasn't been wetter with that trough near us...we've lucked out in that regard. MPO was the big rainfall winner coming in at the 16th wettest June so far. Time Series Summary for Mount Pocono Area, PA (ThreadEx) - Month of JunClick column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Rank Year Total Precipitation Missing Count 1 2006 12.10 0 2 1928 11.16 0 3 1972 10.14 0 4 2003 9.63 0 5 1973 9.41 0 6 1916 9.26 0 7 2013 9.19 0 8 2015 8.77 0 9 1922 8.73 0 10 1917 8.61 0 11 1941 8.02 0 12 2009 7.78 0 13 1932 7.08 0 14 1903 7.03 0 15 1925 7.02 0 16 2022 6.98 6 17 1948 6.55 0 18 1906 6.49 0 19 1989 6.38 0 20 1904 6.31 0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted June 25, 2022 Share Posted June 25, 2022 10AM roundup EWR: 86 JFK: 84 ISP: 82 New Brnswck: 82 BLM: 82 TEB: 81 PHL: 80 ACY: 80 LGA: 79 TTN: 79 NYC: 78 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
binbisso Posted June 25, 2022 Share Posted June 25, 2022 Just put in my AC units today one of the latest times I've installed. My electricity consumption is down 40% from last year. Keep this weather coming Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted June 25, 2022 Share Posted June 25, 2022 Definately heading for 90+ today. High for the day yesterday was 87 Current temp 86/DP 63/RH 47% Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted June 25, 2022 Share Posted June 25, 2022 1 hour ago, SACRUS said: Could pick up a decent soaker on Monday (6/27) for the area with the front coming through. Naturally the models have backed off the bigger totals Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted June 25, 2022 Share Posted June 25, 2022 7 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: Naturally the models have backed off the bigger totals Dry begets dry....especially city on east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted June 25, 2022 Share Posted June 25, 2022 Past Junes EWR 90 degree days. EWR should be 5 by the 30th much in line with the past 12 years excluding 2010 and last year. June: 2021 : 13 2020: 5 2019: 4 2018: 5 2017: 5 2016: 3 2015: 4 2014: 2 2013: 4 2012: 6 2011: 4 2010: 13 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted June 25, 2022 Share Posted June 25, 2022 11AM ROundup: EWR: 88 JFK: 86 New Brnswck: 86 ISP: 84 TEB: 84 LGA: 83 ACY: 83 PHL: 83 TTN: 82 NYC: 81 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted June 25, 2022 Share Posted June 25, 2022 87 here in nw Suffolk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted June 25, 2022 Share Posted June 25, 2022 Ewr just hit 90. Probably a 96 or 97 kinda day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted June 25, 2022 Share Posted June 25, 2022 89 in north-central Suffolk. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted June 25, 2022 Share Posted June 25, 2022 Noon ROundup EWR: 90 TEB: 88 BLM: 87 New Brnswck: 87 NYC: 86 TTN: 86 ISP: 86 JFK: 86 TTN: 85 LGA: 85 ACY: 84 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted June 25, 2022 Share Posted June 25, 2022 88 imby... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted June 25, 2022 Share Posted June 25, 2022 93 here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Intensewind002 Posted June 25, 2022 Share Posted June 25, 2022 Currently 86/67 here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted June 25, 2022 Share Posted June 25, 2022 89 now at NYC. Would think a good chance 90 happens Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted June 25, 2022 Share Posted June 25, 2022 91 nw Suffolk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted June 25, 2022 Share Posted June 25, 2022 15 minutes ago, SnowGoose69 said: 89 now at NYC. Would think a good chance 90 happens It’s been dry so that helps the park with less transpiration from the vegetation. Just another point of proof that the numbers are off being in a virtual forest. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted June 25, 2022 Share Posted June 25, 2022 4 minutes ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said: It’s been dry so that helps the park with less transpiration from the vegetation. Just another point of proof that the numbers are off being in a virtual forest. They cut away a ton of the junk around it too so I have wondered if maybe more its a sensor issue now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted June 25, 2022 Share Posted June 25, 2022 we bake 90 here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted June 25, 2022 Author Share Posted June 25, 2022 The cooler subtropical Atlantic and lack of a SE Ridge this month is a shift from the persistent La Niña background state at least on the Atlantic side. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dWave Posted June 25, 2022 Share Posted June 25, 2022 Temp took off..93 here, probably helped by a dry as hell backyard Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycwinter Posted June 25, 2022 Share Posted June 25, 2022 i am surprised it made it to 90 in central park does not feel that bad due to comfortable dewpoints in the low 50's Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted June 25, 2022 Share Posted June 25, 2022 1 hour ago, nycwinter said: i am surprised it made it to 90 in central park does not feel that bad due to comfortable dewpoints in the low 50's Made it to 91 here but now 80 after the sea breeze started. That lifted the dew points up to the low 60s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted June 26, 2022 Share Posted June 26, 2022 Temperatures reached the 90s in many parts of the region with Newark topping out at 96° this afternoon. Tomorrow will be another hot day. Under partly sunny skies, temperatures will soar into the upper 80s and lower 90s across the region. A few middle 90s are possible. A cold front will likely move across the region on Monday. In the Pacific Northwest, the first significant heat of summer 2022 has now moved into the region. Portland could see the thermometer make a run at 100° tomorrow. However, that will be far from the record, as it coincides with the start of the hottest three-day period of last summer's historic heatwave. The daily record for Sunday is 108°. During June 16-20, the MJO has been in Phase 1 at an amplitude of 1.500 or above. Of the six cases that saw such an outcome during June 15-25 (1988, 2003, 2010, 2012, 2017 and 2020), four had a warmer than normal July, one was somewhat cooler than normal and one was cooler than normal. The ECMWF seasonal forecast indicates that the summer will be warmer than normal throughout the region and across much of North America. Based on how the pattern has been evolving during the spring transition to summer, it is more likely than not that the warmest anomalies of the summer will likely occur in July and August with June being the coolest of the three months in the Northeast. The latest ECMWF monthly forecast indicates that July will be warmer than June relative to normal and that August will be the warmest summer month relative to normal. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was -1.6°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -0.6°C for the week centered around June 8. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged -1.30°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.90°C. La Niña conditions will likely persist through the summer. The SOI was +14.41 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was -0.503 today. On June 23 the MJO was in Phase 1 at an amplitude of 1.700 (RMM). The June 22-adjusted amplitude was 1.467 (RMM). Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied 88% probability that New York City will have a cooler than normal June (1991-2020 normal). June will likely finish with a mean temperature near 71.0° (1.0° below normal). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted June 26, 2022 Share Posted June 26, 2022 6/25 EWR: 96 New Brnswck: 92 TEB: 91 PHL: 91 NYC: 90 ACY: 90 LGA: 90 ISP: 89 TTN: 89 BLM: 89 JFK: 88 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted June 26, 2022 Share Posted June 26, 2022 92/67 temp split today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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