CoastalWx Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 1 minute ago, JC-CT said: looked like it captured a bit later? A little bit, but does sort of progress along too. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 Just now, IowaStorm05 said: Reggie still distantly threatens taint on the coast, and terrifies the cape. wut? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 Yeah Reggie closes off just a little later/elongated, but it's a minor detail....it maybe just makes the difference between someone getting a 30 burger in banding vs 24. These minor nuances are going to happen between now and go-time....but the larger picture with the shortwaves is very good on these 12z runs so far. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rimetree Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 Can we lock in that NAM solution...would potentially rival Jan 2015 here. Or, is this just the NAM being the NAM? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: Nah everything sliding away since 18z yesterday. Everyone sober and not high. If you’re happy and you know it clap your hands well maybe we just don't think it's accurate when you say that this will be a historic storm with 5' for everyone from florida to chicago to maine. oh, you didn't actually say that? since when does that matter to you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IowaStorm05 Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 3 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: wut? Barely…. But a good part of the cape is threatened. On second glance the Coast I think will be OK as long as nothing drastic happens. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: Yeah Reggie closes off just a little later/elongated, but it's a minor detail....it maybe just makes the difference between someone getting a 30 burger in banding vs 24. These minor nuances are going to happen between now and go-time....but the larger picture with the shortwaves is very good on these 12z runs so far. There is zero concern out east. It's only a matter of 18" vs 24-30", if that is actually a concern for some. The ones out on the w and nw edge is where the small nuances and wobbles will result in 4" of dust or 8-12" of fluff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bristolri_wx Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 53 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: 0% chance we see blizzard watches Let's add to the model watching fun and make "blizzard watch" a drinking game! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Patrick-02540 Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 27 minutes ago, Lava Rock said: Had bad experience last wknd with some gummies. Took a 10mg gummie before bed thinking it would help me relax and sleep. No can do. Every time I'd shut my eyes, racing images would be going through my head. Had to open my eyes and stare at ceiling to make it stop. Duh, TCH kicking in. That was fine, until heart started racing (maybe 140bpm) for 2-3 hrs. Finally fell asleep around 2am. I was a bit panicked, but settled down and told myself I wouldn't die. 10mgs awhile back never did that, so no sure. Don't think I want to even try anymore. Juts stick to wine and beer. I get the exact same reaction. 2 hours of hell. Make your own tea from passion flower, lemon balm, lavender, and valerian root. Out cold in 20 minutes. Nature's benzo. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 ICON came west, if we even care (most of us don't) 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Patrick-02540 Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: ICON came west, if we even care (most of us don't) I care about everything showing "west." It's the only thing that will keep the in-laws from spending a weekend here. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bristolri_wx Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 5 minutes ago, IowaStorm05 said: Barely…. But a good part of the cape is threatened. On second glance the Coast I think will be OK as long as nothing drastic happens. The Cape is always "threatened". It's right next to the ocean thats not frozen. That's as much "accumulated snowfall" you'll see over the ocean on any storm. The fact that it shows snow over the ocean means mixing most likely not going to be an issue. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 4 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: There is zero concern out east. It's only a matter of 18" vs 24-30", if that is actually a concern for some. The ones out on the w and nw edge is where the small nuances and wobbles will result in 4" of dust or 8-12" of fluff. What is your definition of out East? River east? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cleetussnow Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 Just now, Patrick-02540 said: I care about everything showing "west." It's the only thing that will keep the in-laws from spending a weekend here. Are you the one putting the whammy on this? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IowaStorm05 Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 Experts in climate change have suggested the increase in frequency in monstrous east coast snowstorms. Once in a millennium event this time might be unlikely but what is insane is that it’s a possibility this time in the first place. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 8 minutes ago, Patrick-02540 said: I get the exact same reaction. 2 hours of hell. Make your own tea from passion flower, lemon balm, lavender, and valerian root. Out cold in 20 minutes. Nature's benzo. I find a good kava kava product far and away the most relaxing (while not dulling ability to concentrate if someone wants to ), don’t use it anymore but JUst chiming In..just by itself in a solid dose and good kavacatone quality . Those others I find sorta weak as anxiolytics . Also the Pacific Islanders love to mix it With rum for ...fun And have for centuries . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 Just now, IowaStorm05 said: Experts in climate change have suggested the increase in frequency in monstrous east coast snowstorms. Once in a millennium event this time might be unlikely but what is insane is that it’s a possibility this time in the first place. No. 1 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 Just now, ORH_wxman said: ICON came west, if we even care (most of us don't) Nice crushing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 Icon with dual lows too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 36 minutes ago, Lava Rock said: Had bad experience last wknd with some gummies. Took a 10mg gummie before bed thinking it would help me relax and sleep. No can do. Every time I'd shut my eyes, racing images would be going through my head. Had to open my eyes and stare at ceiling to make it stop. Duh, TCH kicking in. That was fine, until heart started racing (maybe 140bpm) for 2-3 hrs. Finally fell asleep around 2am. I was a bit panicked, but settled down and told myself I wouldn't die. 10mgs awhile back never did that, so no sure. Don't think I want to even try anymore. Juts stick to wine and beer. Illicit Drugs are not good man. Many stories of weed , gummies etc causing terrible issues Stick with beers.. specifically IPA’s and DIPA’s. Simply the best 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Patrick-02540 Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 1 minute ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: I find a good kava kava product far and away the most relaxing over those just by itself in a solid dose and good kavacatone quality and the Pacific Islanders love to mix it for ...fun . No doubt re: kava. But I'm a bit concerned with kava and liver effects with regular use. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 2 minutes ago, IowaStorm05 said: Experts in climate change have suggested the increase in frequency in monstrous east coast snowstorms. Once in a millennium event this time might be unlikely but what is insane is that it’s a possibility this time in the first place. Wait, are you the "Nantucket totaling 1" all Winter because of CC" guy 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dan11295 Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 Appears the dual lows may actually be a thing. RGEM/NAM/ICON all show it now. Will have to see how that impacts storm evolution going forward. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IowaStorm05 Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 Just now, SouthCoastMA said: Wait, are you the "Nantucket totaling 1" all Winter because of CC" guy Ya I cop to that. I feel like anything is possible to happen once over a long range of years now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bwt3650 Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 2 minutes ago, IowaStorm05 said: Experts in climate change have suggested the increase in frequency in monstrous east coast snowstorms. Once in a millennium event this time might be unlikely but what is insane is that it’s a possibility this time in the first place. We have no clue if there was a 960 low on the benchmark 1000 years ago…stop. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IowaStorm05 Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 1 minute ago, bwt3650 said: We have no clue if there was a 960 low on the benchmark 1000 years ago…stop. I’m not the person who suggested this an hour ago. I’m just commenting on it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 2 minutes ago, dan11295 said: Appears the dual lows may actually be a thing. RGEM/NAM/ICON all show it now. Will have to see how that impacts storm evolution going forward. it never seems like a good thing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 gfs I have never seen a more respected model be such a absolute choke artist on the big ones lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 GFS early on should be a little better than 6z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 Trifecta (PV, northern stream and southern stream) looks better already on GFS through 24 hours....we'll see what fly shows up in the ointment later, but so far I'd expect it west of 06z 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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