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OBS and nowcast now through - 6A Sunday(Halloween) 10/31/21


wdrag
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The gusty east winds of 45-60 MPH along the  NJ and Li coasts early tonight will ease from south to north by sunrise Saturday as the bands of heavy showers and embedded thunderstorms sweep north through the NYC subforum with generally 3/4-2" amounts. Depending on amounts ne NJ might end up with flooding overnight, while streams and rivers that were receding start rising again during the night through Saturday.

There should be a lull in the showery weather Saturday morning-midday, but drizzle may occur in some areas.

Another burst of showery rains, should develop across the subforum mid Saturday afternoon, except maybe missing to the east of PA. This is associated with low pressure and the approaching sharp but weakening 500MB trough heading east-northeast through the mid Atlantic states. There are questions on how much rain can occur with this second system, the HRRR and 3KNAM tending to be furthest west. It's possible thunder will occur with system as well as instability approaches 0C during the evening.

 

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5 minutes ago, wdrag said:

57 knots at Seaside Heights at about 715PM per Weatherflow sensor.    

10,000 meters without power in NJ, most in s NJ. MA still about 90,000 meters out from Wednesday morning hurricane force gusts. 

I am seeing a report of a 75 mph wind gust at Sea Bright. I think the storm is being a bit underestimated IMO. 

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The bouy south of the Rockaways is gusting to 50 mph. So the Shore Shore of NYC and Long Island could gust 50-60 mph next several hours. The wind gusts along the Jersey Shore are confirming the higher gusts that the 18z hi res NAM was showing.

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Took a drive down Wantagh parkway to Jones beach. Down right stormy near the water. Couple trees and limbs down. Wind has a lot of East to it and isn’t pushing too far inland. It’s windy at my house but it’s a different feeing 3 miles south along the immediate coast. 

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