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Major Hurricane Ida


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1 minute ago, MattPetrulli said:

Probably looking at a 110-115 MPH storm currently given the impressive core organization of the past few hours, imo.

 

Honestly think NHC will go ahead and nudge this up to 100kt with the 03z advisory... maybe even higher if we pop a warming eye with all this intense convection ongoing. 

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8 minutes ago, jojo762 said:

Honestly think NHC will go ahead and nudge this up to 100kt with the 03z advisory... maybe even higher if we pop a warming eye with all this intense convection ongoing. 

I agree, I would be surprised if they keep it at 90 knots, assuming the appearance doesn't degrade.

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3 minutes ago, cptcatz said:

Is it me or in the last hour did a new tiny eye just come in from the east and replace the old tiny eye?  

Clearing out an eye is an extremely dynamic process, that involves a lot of wobbling around, etc... that gives off the appearance of something like "a new tiny eye coming in and replacing the old tiny eye."

Once you've seen enough of them, you figure out that they are bizarre, seemingly inexplicable cycles/processes.

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Hurricane Opal many years ago was heading north in the gulf towards Pensacola as Cat 1, and strengthen to Cat 5 overnight. It didn't stay at that level long, but scared the hell out many down there. Tiny storm, too. Landed Cat 2 or 3, don't remember.

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Just now, Brian D said:

Hurricane Opal many years ago was heading north in the gulf towards Pensacola as Cat 1, and strengthen to Cat 5 overnight. It didn't stay at that level long, but scared the hell out many down there. Tiny storm, too. Landed Cat 2 or 3, don't remember.

1995?

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The USAF have launched an 'emergency replacement flight' to take the place of the earlier cancelled USAF mission. Aircraft has departed San Antonio and is enroute to Ida. Either that or the original aircraft's issue was quickly resolved. Regardless, commendations are in order for whoever made that happen. Not often you see a 'second' mission take off in place of the first. 

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Just now, MattPetrulli said:

11 PM stays at 105, pressure down to 964.

Surprising... But with a recon mission en route that's actually reasonable... Can make any upgrades as necessary when the plane arrives.

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Here is part of MOB’s historical disco on Opal.


On the morning of October 2nd, Opal intensified to a hurricane while centered 150
miles west of Merida, Mexico. By this time, Opal began to drift north as a large upper
level trough moved across the central United States. Opal then accelerated to the
north northeast on October 3rd and 4th and underwent a period of rapid intensification
- strengthening into a strong Category 4 hurricane early on October 4th. The minimum
central pressure of 916 mb with maximum sustained winds of 150 mph occurred when
the hurricane was centered about 290 miles south southwest of Pensacola, FL around
5am on October 4th.

Rapid Intensification and Evacuations

Anybody living along the northern Gulf Coast in 1995 will tell you they heard some unsettling news when they woke up the morning of October 4th. Gulf coast residents went to bed on October 3rd knowing that Opal was a Category 2 storm with maximum winds of 100 mph. By 4am the next morning, the winds had increased to 135 mph. By 10am, Opal had maximum sustained winds of an alarming 150 mph, which is just below Category 5 intensity. Upon learning this, thousands of residents decided to evacuate at the last minute, which resulted in grid lock on many major highways, including Interstate 65. Many of these residents ended up seeking refuge in local shelters as Opal closed in on the western Florida Panhandle.

bf36376a6ab4895d6f9447547abce5e8.jpg




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  • WxWatcher007 changed the title to Major Hurricane Ida

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