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David Reimer

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About David Reimer

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  • Birthday 05/30/1991

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  • Four Letter Airport Code For Weather Obs (Such as KDCA)
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  • Location:
    Norman, OK
  • Interests
    Storm Chasing, Social Media, and Freelance Videography

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  1. David Reimer

    Hurricane Barry

    55 knot FL wind, but the SFMR is flagged. Probably could get away with 50 MPH at 10 PM.
  2. David Reimer

    Hurricane Barry

    Well, we'll know shortly. The USAF aircraft is heading back in from the southeast now. 50 knot FL wind thus far with unflagged 43-knot SFMR.
  3. David Reimer

    Mid to Late May 2019 Severe Threats

    Punched the RFD from south to north of the Lawrence tornado as it crossed 59. That thing was certainly mean. I managed to get a visit from the ghost train before backing out and heading south to the Wichita storms. HP storms in major metropolitan areas (plus all the stupid trees) make Northeast Kansas a PITA to chase in.
  4. David Reimer

    Mid to Late May 2019 Severe Threats

    Core aloft with the storm approaching Binger has been coming down a bit over the last ten minutes. The Fort Cobb mesonet, about 8 miles south of the storm, has north winds. I don't believe the storm is entirely surface-based. It is after 1 AM here after all. Of course, I thought the same thing early Tuesday morning and ended up with a tornado four miles to my northeast, so we'll see. EDIT: aaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaand OUN just added the 'TOR Possible' tag back again. See? I'm on a roll this week.
  5. David Reimer

    Mid to Late May 2019 Severe Threats

    KJRH Tulsa has the Vinita tornado on their towercam.
  6. David Reimer

    Mid to Late May 2019 Severe Threats

    The HREF is being aggressive with the tornado probabilities for this afternoon and evening (May 23, 2019). I haven't had a chance to dig into the actual model data yet, but I am still worried about a messy convective evolution with some VBV showing up.
  7. David Reimer

    Mid to Late May 2019 Severe Threats

    OUN's afternoon AFD. It is worth noting they did add a SLGT for their CWA around 9 PM in conjunction with SPC. Their HWO is strongly worded as well. " A very subtle mid level vort max, strong mid level WAA, and weak divergence aloft near the left exit region of a weak upper jet may produce enough lift for widely scattered moist convection to develop late in the day. Given persistent QPF signal within the described zone, and increasingly unstable conditions expected during the afternoon/early evening, confidence was high enough to include low chance PoPs near I-35. However, height rises and very little low level forcing may limit the overall coverage. If storms do manage to develop, the environment will be favorable for supercells and this will include a conditional threat of strong tornadoes."
  8. David Reimer

    Severe storms and flash flooding for May 7-13

    Don't be surprised if we have a few more tornadic supercells pop up in far East Texas in the coming hours.
  9. David Reimer

    April 29-May 1 Severe Weather

    The southern jet originating from Mexico is going to add a few unknown variables into the coming days. Models handled extremely poorly with that element in events earlier this winter.
  10. David Reimer

    April 17-18 Severe Weather

    0Z guidance is also indicating the increasing potential for afternoon initiation in East Texas well east of the dryline in the open warm sector. FWIW those would likely pose a tornado threat given the favorable thermodynamics and kinematics. Unlike farther west, I don't see much VBV out that way during the afternoon. I'm interested to see the 06Z and 1730Z SWODY2. I wouldn't be too surprised if they went with a small MDT for hail at some point in the next day in North Texas/Southern Oklahoma (Texoma).
  11. David Reimer

    April 17-18 Severe Weather

    12Z TTU WRF has a very minor weakness around 800-825MB in North Texas at 22Z, and has it gone by the time a MONSTER supercell hits D/FW at 23-0Z. Something to watch closely as without that VBV there will likely a fairly substantial tornado risk with Wednesday's event in Texas. Either way, bowling-ball size hail with the afternoon storms and a decent high-wind event with the QLCS that night are good bets.
  12. David Reimer

    April 17-18 Severe Weather

    We'll see how Wednesday and Wednesday night involve in Texas, Oklahoma, east into the Arklatex. That VBV showing up at 0Z Thursday in the 0Z NAM is completely gone by 03Z. That VBV would result in a messy convective mode, but still, support a pretty significant hail threat with initial storms. Pretty good chance of a nasty QLCS into Thursday morning across Northeast Texas, East Texas, and Southeast Texas. We'll see just how much of a tornado threat can develop with that VBV.
  13. David Reimer

    April 13th-14th Severe Threat

    Watch out for boundaries from those storms in East Texas into far western LA. Those could be big hotspots for pre-frontal convection by the late morning.