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David Reimer

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About David Reimer

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  • Birthday 05/30/1991

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  • Four Letter Airport Code For Weather Obs (Such as KDCA)
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  • Location:
    Norman, OK
  • Interests
    Storm Chasing, Social Media, and Freelance Videography

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  1. Agreed. The QLCS in East Texas has been more impressive.
  2. Mmmm we'll see what the report/probability map looks like after damage surveys are complete.
  3. Assuming most occurred in the higher tornado probabilities that will certainly verify the level four risk SPC had out for today.
  4. Chasing fast-moving tornadoes in mountains and tall trees? Heh. I can think of better ways to spend my day, and I live less than three hours from the I-49 tornado's location. The northern end of the risk certainly busted that small 10% they had, but the hail/wind verified to at least some extent. The southern end? Eh, we'll see what the report map looks like once any surveys are complete. There were certainly more than two tornadoes and at least one of them was capable of producing EF2+ damage. The watch itself verified probability wise. As for the outlook's probabilities - we still have to get through the night.
  5. NOAA P3 confirms tornado in progress on the storm west of Monroe. The KULM radar in Monroe (academic radar) looking impressive.
  6. This evening's 0Z NAM, 3KMNAM, and GFS indicate the potential for a significant ice storm across parts of the Big Country, Northwest Texas, into portions of Oklahoma. I haven't looked farther north/east. I wouldn't be surprised to see some winter storm watches (prelude to any ice storm warnings) in the Tuesday morning packages.
  7. I'm getting pictures of accumulating sleet and light snow on cars and elevated objects in North Dallas and up in McKinney (380/75 area). Minor accumulations, but enough to keep roads wet. Wet roads with temperatures falling into the mid-20s in the next few hours could cause a flash-freeze (similar to what happened in BHM and ATL a few years back). That's my big worry for the next few hours. Anything that falls, even with surface temperatures below freezing, will probably melt as it hits surface roads and bridges. Soil temperatures are still around 40 degrees. That sleet/snow melts and makes the roads wet. Once surface temperatures fall to 25-26 degrees (or lower) those wet spots could easily flash-freeze into pure ice, especially on bridges and elevated roadways (which D/FW does not have a shortage of).
  8. D/FW is going to have some really big problems if that sleet doesn't stop in the next hour. Lots of pictures coming in showing wet roads (since sleet/snow melting on contact). All that is going to flash-freeze once we get into the middle 20s, which is only 2-3 hours away.
  9. The HRRRx (the HRRR experimental version) has done well in the past; so it is definitely worth watching as we get in operational range of the current HRRR. Remember that with surface temperatures falling into the 20s it won't take much precipitation to cause major travel problems. I'm also concerned with the potential for enhanced sleet bands across South-Central Texas. Some models have been hitting Austin and San Antonio pretty hard with sleet on Tuesday.
  10. Hurricane Maria

    Irma has regained major hurricane status with maximum sustained winds of 115 MPH according to the National Hurricane Center. 2AM ET 9/21/17
  11. Hurricane Maria

    I’m surprised that the NWS PR office has managed to stay up this whole time. Obviously they’re running on generator, but I figured they would have lost comms.
  12. Hurricane Maria

    Don’t think I’ve seen that happen before. Huge props to the flight crew for making that happen. Certainly adds to the paperwork for them and could have just as easily ended the flight early.
  13. Hurricane Maria

    FWIW the OEW has shot off a few CGs over the last hour. As far as EWC goes Maria seems to be holding on fairly well. Not good for PR.
  14. Hurricane Maria

    Dropsonde was 912 MB with a splashdown of 22 knots - so still about 910 millibars. Latest vortex does report two eyewalls. A 10 NM and 18 NM. For a 'new' eye that 18 NM seems fairly small. TJUA showing the highest winds now with the outer (new) eyewall, so the ERC seems to be well underway.
  15. Hurricane Maria

    To your credit Maria has not behaved as one would expect. I didn't think it would get its act back together so quickly this morning after moving back off-shore. Both Irma and Maria have demonstrated wacky/typhoon-like behavior.