mempho

Looks like SSTs pushing 90F?

My point was not really to derail the thread but just to get people to think a little bit about what's happening these days. I realize that these thoughts are a downer.

You are referring to the 1 in 1,000 year event last year?

Congrats if you can hold it.

Tellico, Do you have a link on that???

It’s down to 2F over here. Last hour, it was 3F at KMEM with a wind chill of -19F That was the 1am ob. Will it continue dropping?

What station is that?

Look at the map carefully. Some of that is lake effect.

It’s Baker!!!

Quick Question- Here's a weather belief that I hold and I want to know if it's true, false, or unresolved. For Gulf storms that landfall on the northern Gulf Coast or potentially traversing along the Florida West Coast... Does the land interaction cause or increase the risk that the storm turns to the right just before landfall (or, in the case of a storm like this, can it potentially cause it to "turn right" into a landfall)? I recall several strong hurricanes appearing to turn or jog to the right along the northern Gulf coast. Also, I'm talking generally...which may or may not be specific to this storm. Lastly, if this were the case, would this or would this not be factored in to the track forecast?

We had one of these days last year in Memphis with a foot of snow on the ground. A foot of snow on the level on Memphis, TN and the kids were in class. My internet - thankfully- got jacked up and I took the kids sledding. When I returned home, I discovered that somehow the power supply had been disconnected from the modem. Sent from my SM-G950U using Tapatalk

Optimism is critical! Sent from my SM-G950U using Tapatalk

It's called a BLIZZARD. Now, thru just have to say the word in the forecast. Sent from my SM-G950U using Tapatalk

Models historically have underestimated Gulf moisturize when these type systems tap the Gulf. Think about that. Sent from my SM-G950U using Tapatalk

That's definitely better than the alternative Sent from my SM-G950U using Tapatalk

I'm saying that because my understanding is that there is no risk of storm surge inside the system.... That's what they were telling everyone, at least. Sent from my SM-G950U using Tapatalk

This is inside the Storm Damage Reduction System for New Orleans. I mean, could easily be extreme flash flooding... I hope so. Sent from my SM-G950U using Tapatalk

Does anyone know how to find the levee cams for levees protecting New Orleans? Sent from my SM-G950U using Tapatalk

They said "little to no storm surge flooding expected" and that forecast was based on rapid intensification. Sent from my SM-G950U using Tapatalk

Yes, it will probably hold but a part of me is just used to never-ending black swan events. Sent from my SM-G950U using Tapatalk

True... I stand *slightly* corrected. Sent from my SM-G950U using Tapatalk

Also- question here from someone who knows nothing about the new system. Does this new system protect against even the most intense hurricanes imaginable? Sent from my SM-G950U using Tapatalk

I understand that... I was just stating that it felt disconcerting for them to actually say that in the warning text. Sent from my SM-G950U using Tapatalk

So, in reading this.... It looks like there is no risk to NOLA other than wind damage. There is NO risk of storm surge inside the new levee system (according to forecasts).... I find that disconcerting in a way. It seems like the Titanic when it was deemed "unsinkable." Exact text: Sent from my SM-G950U using Tapatalk

175/175/914/Grand Isle Sent from my SM-G950U using Tapatalk