Wurbus
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About Wurbus
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January 2019 Medium/Long Range Pattern Discussion
Wurbus replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Wish we could see clown snow maps past 240, but the 12z FV3 brings the goods with 3 systems from the 23rd to the 29th and very cold air. -
Thanks. I'm planning to go 40. I assume 441 will be closed. I'll probably just check the road conditions and the radar Saturday morning and make a judgement call.
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Does anyone know how Cherokee, NC performs in these type of CAD events? We are supposed to be driving over there from Knoxville, TN on Saturday, but I'm worried we won't be able to get there if there is going to be a lot of ice.
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I wound up getting about 2 inches in Knoxville (close to Karns). We didn't receive anything significant last night. I thought it was interesting that my neighborhood still had about 1/4-1/2 inches of snow on the grass, decks, and roof this morning, but when I drove about a mile north, to Middlebrook Pike, all the snow had already disappeared. I guess that is a testament to how close the temp profile was across Knoxville and East Tennessee in general.
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That looks awesome.....too bad its not the FV3 & Euro with that look.
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I was just about to comment that the Euro will still finish before the FV3. I swear someone is messing with all of us on the FV3 and it will run at normal speed after this storm passes.
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Would the temperature profile over Wisconsin & Minnesota affect the temps a few frames later for us? The NAM has temps in that area in the mid to upper teens, while the FV3 and other models have the air temperature in the single digits. I'm suspecting that is why the NAM is warmer. NAM at 48 FV3 at 48
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Looks like the 12z FV3 lays down some big fatties at 72 for the valley.
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For the GEFS, I usually use https://weather.cod.edu/forecast/
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Through 102 here is the snow total map from the FV3. I'm convinced something is not correct with the snow map on the FV3, but it looks like it snows through 126 in East TN.
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I think if you change the toggle on TT from "MSLP & Precip (Rain/Frozen)" to "Radar (Rain/Frozen)" you can see the radar on the FV3 out to 210.
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If you change the toggle from "MSLP & Precip (Rain/Frozen) to Radar (Rain/Frozen) the FV3 goes out to 210. Here is a shot at 120. Looks like the low just stalls off the NC coast for 24+ hours.
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Maybe the NAM is correct for once at 84...... So hard to try and not get hyped up for these events because of that pesky warm nose that seems to always comes up through the valley to shatter our dreams.
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On the main run of the RGEM the high over Iowa is at 1038 at the end of the run. There is a 1042 high, but that is sitting over Idaho.
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@TellicoWx What site do you use to get those charts?
