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Everything posted by mempho
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175/175/914/Grand Isle Sent from my SM-G950U using Tapatalk
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We're all expecting it. Sent from my SM-G950U using Tapatalk
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- hurricane gusts
- flooding rains
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Deep down, we all think "IT" is going to happen. Sent from my SM-G950U using Tapatalk
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Well, we could make it until 2068 but there's really strong indications that we have less than a dozen years left.... but I suspect the whatever years that remain will have lots of destruction. Sent from my SM-G950U using Tapatalk
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Well, I had kind of a rough year, bro! My son was in sick for a long time and I had COVID on NYE and it's just been a whirlwind coming back but this is certainly lifting the spirits. What a treat this week has been! Sent from my SM-G950U using Tapatalk
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HUGE Flakes here! Sent from my SM-G950U using Tapatalk
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I think you hit on it - the most logical reason to do it would be as a weapon of war. Weaponizing the weather effectively would be a regime change tool and it'd likely be one that worked best if very few knew you were doing it. I'd say that Katrina effectively ended the true power of the Bush presidency and - with it- the "legitimacy" of the Iraq war and the continuation of the WOT. Therefore, there were some that benefited from Katrina. Now, can it be done? I have no idea but- given enough time- someone will do it. It's a very similar concept to bioweapons. If you're an authoritarian leader and want regime change in a rival democratic regime, unleash a bioweapon. The authoritarian regime will survive (by its nature) while the democratic regime will have a change in leadership. Sent from my SM-G950U using Tapatalk
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Delta is a female name- such as Delta Burke or as in... Sent from my SM-G950U using Tapatalk
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Well, we just had a landfall in Portugal, so I think the question is legitimate. Is it part of the Atlantic for naming purposes or is it a separate basin? Sent from my SM-G950U using Tapatalk
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The Alpha always gets replaced one day. Just remember that kids. Sent from my SM-G950U using Tapatalk
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Is the Mediterranean not part of the Atlantic basin? Sent from my SM-G950U using Tapatalk
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Since 1950 the State of TN has only had 6 EF 3+ tornadoes and 2 EF4+ tornadoes. This- while not impossible - double digit snowfalls would be a more common occurrence. That doesn't mean that we won't see such an event but I wouldn't bet the house on it either. Sent from my SM-G950U using Tapatalk
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Southern MD / Lower Eastern Shore weather discussion
mempho replied to AnEndlessMaze's topic in Mid Atlantic
Wow- I remember this one - I lived in western NC at the time. Sent from my SM-G950U using Tapatalk -
Strong PV= Cold spring =good for spring marathons BUT Does not equal "good for the planet" Sent from my SM-G950U using Tapatalk
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As long as you never turn on the heat, you can generally get the house cool enough that it will stay semi-comfortable without AC except in extended blowtorch patterns. Truth be told-- heat is optional in our area of the country - AC is not (if you still want to be productive). Sent from my SM-G950U using Tapatalk
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And exactly how would blanket worldwide acceptance of AGW have prevented anything if there were absolutely no dissenting opinions as of say, 1992? The thing about these methane releases is that this was going to happen anyway. Therefore, we can't really blame anyone for it. Stuff happens. People live. People die. People get rich. People with private jets tell me that I am a cancer on the planet. X
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Going to be hard on the politicos who just wanted AGW as a means of consolidating transnational political control. Sort of hard to sell a solution when nothing can be done. Sent from my Milestone X
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Historic Tornado Outbreak April 27, 2011
mempho replied to CUmet's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
WAFF in Huntsville is reporting 147 in their corner of NW Alabama which doesn't include Birmingham or Tuscaloosa. These are apparently not all official numbers. Considering all factors, I would not rule out some of the larger numbers. I don't think it will happen, but I wouldn't be just utterly shocked if the adding machines got into Katrina-like figures. We're talking about some densely-populated areas that got hit with what amounts to a death sentence. -
Historic Tornado Outbreak April 27, 2011
mempho replied to CUmet's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
I'm agreeing with this part. I think the impression a lot of people were given was just wrong. I watched Spann and he did an excellent job and I don't know what else could've been done but I think a lot of the average people were under the impression that they were "supposed to survive" if they only listened and did what they were told. Honestly, everyone on these forums knew better than that before this thing ever left Tuscaloosa. Many people on here correctly said that it would be a miracle if it weakened or dissapated before hitting the Birmingham region. We had all of the indicators....radar signature, live video footage, storm structure, unthinkable g2g velocities....I mean, we all were sitting here and we all knew that this was most likely going to be a major problem for some portion of the Birmingham metro. We watched it strengthen and watched its breadth increased as it approached and all of us knew in our guts that the hall closet was no place to be for this one. I happen to think that people deserve to know what kind of risk they are facing and I think most of them ignored their gut instincts by trying to do the "smart thing" and listened to the experts. I don't feel as if anyone was dishonest or did a bad job or anything but I think the impression a lot of people had was just not in sync with the harrowing reality of the situation at hand. Personally, I think they deserved to know if for no other reason than to say their last goodbyes or make their peace with God. You know, I've heard it around the office today....people look at these pictures today and ask "what is the point of trying to stay in your closet if you're going to be killed no matter what?" -
Historic Tornado Outbreak April 27, 2011
mempho replied to CUmet's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Not on his status? -
Historic Tornado Outbreak April 27, 2011
mempho replied to CUmet's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
FYP -
Historic Tornado Outbreak April 27, 2011
mempho replied to CUmet's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
I must be thinking about a much smaller neighborhood than you're thinking. I'm thinking about a 90 second maximum walk or so but I live in a fairly densely populated area that would be one of those areas that are difficult to flee due to congestion. So, it might be that there would be multiple multi-family shelters just depending upon the size of the neighborhood. My street has 48 homes on it and putting one in the middle commons area underneath the little "park" would make the maximum walk, door-to-door, about 60 seconds. Almost any shelter requires going outside to at least some extent. One shelter for 48 homes is infinitely more cost-effective than 48 individual shelters. -
Historic Tornado Outbreak April 27, 2011
mempho replied to CUmet's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Not cost effective for everyone. It's just not. People spend $5k on a shelter and end up needing the money for medical problems so I don't think it's simply a matter of values. I do think, however, that having a community shelter is a great idea. I think it's a great idea for organizations like HOAs (homeowners associations). It's a lot cheaper to build one big one that everyone in a reasonably-sized neighborhood can get to than building one small one for every family. The cost per family would be fairly inexpensive. -
Historic Tornado Outbreak April 27, 2011
mempho replied to CUmet's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Evacuation might not be the only feasible alternative. I believe there is a feasible and cost-effective solution out there.
