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SNE "Tropical" Season Discussion 2021


WxWatcher007
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3 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said:

There’s your weenie GFS run of the season. Basically a perfect “capture” to slingshot it into eastern NE as ridging over the top closes the escape route. 

Interesting, but show me the ensembles. 

This run was also way stronger 

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2 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

This run was also way stronger 

Very first thing I noticed. It seems like a sensitive forecast to be based on intensity, and the next 24-48 hours are really tricky because moderate shear could increase Wednesday/Thursday and small storms can be more impacted by that. 

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