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About hurricaneman

  • Birthday 07/10/1980

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    Davenport, Fl

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  1. The thing I’m seeing is that the GFS is slowly trending towards the Euro
  2. The long run of the 0zGFS is showing a major hurricane near New England,l from 95L, wouldn’t bet on it this far out
  3. Several members if you go farther out in the ensemble run go west of Bermuda and impact the NE US and Nova Scotia, may have to watch this even though it’s a slim chance for the NE US but most probable an Atlantic Canada landfall especially Nova Scotia
  4. Similar in track to the HWRF
  5. Also this one on the 0zGFS has a cat 2 hurricane so we can’t rule out a major heading for Montauk, RI or SE Massachusetts
  6. The 0zGFS looks similar to Bob in 1991 but a bit weaker but the trend is stronger with Henri from run to run and not weird jumps in intensity and movement so this needs to be watched for sure
  7. Looks as though the GFS is beginning to cave to the Euro, but it’s only a half step. I expect the GFS to continue shifting west north of 35 the next few runs towards the Euro
  8. Looks like the track of Edna in 1954, the models will change so being in the GFS 5 day may be a blessing if it keeps trending east
  9. Big hit for southern New England on the 12zGFS, cat 2 or 3
  10. Looks like A big hit for southern New England on the 12zGFS
  11. Honestly eastern New England need to watch Chris as the models are trending closer and would be a hurricane as it passes by but the UKMET is showing SE Massachusetts landfall as a hurricane
  12. The thing is the UKMET showed into Cuba to Florida from a week away with Irmawhile all the other models showed east of Florida into North Carolina and we all know which model nearly verified so looking at things I feel the current motion is more in line with the UKMET than any of the other models so it's going to be a long week
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