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The next 8 days are averaging 80degs.(71/88), or +2.0.

Month to date is  76.0[-1.3].       Should be  77.4[-0.2] by the 25th.

80*(75%RH) here at 6am, hazy blue.  (was 79* at 5am)     82* by 9am.

After the early PM showers, it cleared late and T zoomed to 88* at 5pm.

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Morning thoughts…

It will be partly sunny and very warm today. An approaching cold front will trigger showers and thunderstorms, some of which could produce damaging winds and flooding downpours. Temperatures will likely reach the upper 80s and lower 90s in most of the region. Likely high temperatures around the region include:

New York City (Central Park): 89°

Newark: 94°

Philadelphia: 93°

Normals:

New York City: 30-Year: 85.3°; 15-Year: 86.4°

Newark: 30-Year: 87.3°; 15-Year: 88.6°

Philadelphia: 30-Year: 88.1°; 15-Year: 89.2°

Rain should end during tomorrow morning and clouds could break. It will be cooler.

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88/73 and a few hours before clouds/storms arrive with a cold front.  Should notch 90s area wide before the PM storms.  Cool front comes through later and slow to clear by Mon pm.  Wouldnt take too much if Monday remained more cloudy as these fronts crawl through.  Beyond there near normal for the hottest peak of summer.  The warmer spots may touch 90 Tue and Wed but its less Florida like and with less rain.  Heat factory out west in full production.  Pieces of that heat will break off eastwards and despite a trough into the northeast its a matter of how far north the heat can get in the 7/24 - 7/26 period.  Beyond there to end the month it looks like that heat out west grows eastward with the Western Atlantic Ridge progressing westwards by early next month.

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3 hours ago, CIK62 said:

The next 8 days are averaging 80degs.(71/88), or +2.0.

Month to date is  76.0[-1.3].       Should be  77.4[-0.2] by the 25th.

80*(75%RH) here at 6am, hazy blue.  (was 79* at 5am)     82* by 9am.

I must have NYC using different averages?  I am showing -0.2 thrugh 16-Jul

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18 minutes ago, bluewave said:

This is an odd looking departure map for July. Looks more like a spring backdoor pattern. Warmer west of NYC away from the onshore influence.


136B3F60-B5D1-421D-B220-236A7234FD78.thumb.png.62b7498f294c449fe28055438f55e5ea.png

 

July 3 and Jul 13 were the main culprits so far with  this month's lower departures but that is aninteresting catch on the onshore NE sections and NE.  We'll see if Sunday can reach 80 with storms.

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24 minutes ago, SACRUS said:

July 3 and Jul 13 were the main culprits so far with  this month's lower departures but that is aninteresting catch on the onshore NE sections and NE.  We'll see if Sunday can reach 80 with storms.

It’s the reason that EWR has 23 days of 90° and LGA only 14 through yesterday.

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43 minutes ago, bluewave said:

This is an odd looking departure map for July. Looks more like a spring backdoor pattern. Warmer west of NYC away from the onshore influence.


136B3F60-B5D1-421D-B220-236A7234FD78.thumb.png.62b7498f294c449fe28055438f55e5ea.png

 

I'm further inland and it has definitely been quite hot even for July standards (1-2F AN). 

I do think we'll get closer to normal with more near normal to even below normal weather after today. 

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19 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said:

I'm further inland and it has definitely been quite hot even for July standards (1-2F AN). 

I do think we'll get closer to normal with more near normal to even below normal weather after today. 

The less warm pattern coming up may prevent Newark from getting 3 top 10 warmest Julys in a row.

Time Series Summary for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ - Month of Jul
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Rank
Year
Mean Avg Temperature 
Missing Count
1 2011 82.7 0
2 1993 82.5 0
3 2010 82.3 0
4 1994 81.9 0
5 2013 80.9 0
6 2020 80.8 0
- 2012 80.8 0
- 1999 80.8 0
7 2019 80.6 0
8 1955 80.5 0
9 1988 80.4 0
10 2002 80.0 0
11 2016 79.9 0
12 1983 79.6 0
- 1966 79.6 0
13 1995 79.5 0
- 1949 79.5 0
14 2006 79.4 0
- 1987 79.4 0
15 2021 79.3 15
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2 hours ago, SACRUS said:

Departures through 7/17

EWR: +2.1
BLM: +2.0
TTN: +1.3
ISP: +0.7
LGA: +0.6
TEB: +0.3
JFK: +0.1
NYC: -0.2
 

 Can you please post accurate information as every climate site is still below normal except Newark.

Edit.   Not sure about  Teterboro and Trenton but all New York City climate sites are below normal

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57 minutes ago, binbisso said:

 Can you please post accurate information as every climate site is still below normal except Newark.

Edit.   Not sure about  Teterboro and Trenton but all New York City climate sites are below normal

posted right in this thread a page back

136B3F60-B5D1-421D-B220-236A7234FD78.png

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The numbers would obviously look different if we were still using the old normals (1980-2010).  I think they switched to 1990-2020 in May of this year.

 

Some of you don't realize any positive departure would be a top 20 summer month.  

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