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Feb 18-19 long duration manageable snow and ice event


wdrag
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4 minutes ago, NJwx85 said:

WAA snows remind me of the November system from a few years ago that caught everyone off guard.

The only decent snow that season...when I see snow in Oct or Nov now, I don't expect much after....there's some theory for this but it's beyond my understanding.But I do remember a storm in 2014 that laid down a nice thump then flipped to rain for hours, and back to some snow and sleet to cap it off....was the  last big one that year....

 

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not gonna lie boys, i live for the snow thump.

yes yes we are all super enthusiasts who enjoy 2 inch rainstorms, 24 inch snowstorms, and probably a few of you are legally insane and enjoy those days in the winter where it just blows 40 mph of 0% humidity freezer burn air onto your face the entire day.

but more than anything i love that one hour of atmospheric puke.  is it snow?  here's 3"/hr.  is it lightning?  it's falling all around you for the next 15 minutes.

gimme gimme that sweet convection.

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Just now, Will - Rutgers said:

not gonna lie boys, i live for the snow thump.

yes yes we are all super enthusiasts who enjoy 2 inch rainstorms, 24 inch snowstorms, and probably a few of you are legally insane and enjoy those days in the winter where it just blows 40 mph of 0% humidity freezer burn air onto your face the entire day.

but more than anything i love that one hour of atmospheric puke.  is it snow?  here's 3"/hr.  is it lightning?  it's falling all around you for the next 15 minutes.

gimme gimme that sweet convection.

awww yissssss.
Uh, 31 in Flemington rn

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18 minutes ago, Will - Rutgers said:

not gonna lie boys, i live for the snow thump.

yes yes we are all super enthusiasts who enjoy 2 inch rainstorms, 24 inch snowstorms, and probably a few of you are legally insane and enjoy those days in the winter where it just blows 40 mph of 0% humidity freezer burn air onto your face the entire day.

but more than anything i love that one hour of atmospheric puke.  is it snow?  here's 3"/hr.  is it lightning?  it's falling all around you for the next 15 minutes.

gimme gimme that sweet convection.

There is treatment available for this. :weenie::weenie:

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Just now, Northof78 said:

NAM is a lot of snow for majority of forum...9-13"; although once north of 84 gets iffy with confluence and tight gradient 

This is through hr57. Looks like maybe at the very end and when precip is light there can be some sleet near the coast on this run but as you can see it doesn't make a difference in accums. Far northern people may be sweating a little but these always have banding north of where the snow is supposed to stop.  

sn10_acc.us_ne (11).png

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27 minutes ago, jm1220 said:

This is through hr57. Looks like maybe at the very end and when precip is light there can be some sleet near the coast on this run but as you can see it doesn't make a difference in accums. Far northern people may be sweating a little but these always have banding north of where the snow is supposed to stop.  

sn10_acc.us_ne (11).png

And ratios are probably going to be 15:1. 

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6 minutes ago, White Gorilla said:

Getting a sinking 2-4 inch feeling up here north of 84.  Whiff city. 

Seems like most events ticked north in the end so wouldn't be surprised to see that again.

However the last mini snow event did stay south and never really ticked north.

I feel good about this one here bc even north ticks would likely result in a 6" front-end thump. 

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9 minutes ago, Jt17 said:

This has to be the slowest this forum has been less than 2 days before what's looking like an 8-12 inch mostly snow event for the entire sub-forum lol!

Just complain you're not getting as much snow as you were in the previous model cycle and that'll cause a stir.

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gfs_namer_060_500_vort_ht.thumb.gif.d2c1e804c4851be338120894f1a3d822.gif

The trof axis is still west of us on Friday (from 18z GFS), with a bit of a vortmax down near the Gulf coast and a pretty sharp trof. Yes the strongest baroclinicity is already offshore, but with this look we're not so far away from regenerating coastal snow bands throughout much of the day on Friday.

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