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George BM

February Discobs 2021

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29 minutes ago, MN Transplant said:

22.3 here.  I got to 19 once last winter.

My memory was that BWI didn't get in the teens at all last winter, but I see they reported 1 19F reading per DJF month last winter.  Nothing in the teens this winter.  

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Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC
921 AM EST Mon Feb 8 2021

MDZ004>006-008-011-507-508-082030-
Frederick MD-Carroll-Northern Baltimore-Cecil-Southern Baltimore-
Northwest Harford-Southeast Harford-
Including the cities of Frederick, Ballenger Creek, Eldersburg,
Westminster, Reisterstown, Cockeysville, Elkton, Baltimore,
Jarrettsville, and Aberdeen
921 AM EST Mon Feb 8 2021

...POTENTIAL WINTER COMMUTING HAZARD FOR NORTH-CENTRAL AND
NORTHEAST MARYLAND INCLUDING THE CITY OF BALTIMORE TUESDAY
MORNING...

There is a potential for hazardous commuting conditions for the
Tuesday morning commute. A period of light snow and freezing rain
are POSSIBLE (a 30 percent chance) Tuesday morning across north-
central and northeast Maryland including the city of Baltimore.
A coating of snow or a light glaze of ice is possible on area
roads.

If this threat does materialize during the Tuesday morning rush-
hour, many roads could quickly turn icy. This could lead to
dangerous traveling conditions, multiple accidents, and extensive
delays.

If commuting Tuesday morning, be aware of the POSSIBILITY of
significant travel disruptions. Plan ahead by allowing for extra
travel time, and consider using public transportation and telework
options.

Stay tuned for updates on this potential winter weather episode.
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LWX radio just announced potential commuting hazard for the Washington and Fredericksburg areas tomorrow morning.

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Text:

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC
1127 AM EST Mon Feb 8 2021

DCZ001-MDZ013-014-016-503>506-VAZ052>057-501-502-505-506-090000-
District of Columbia-Prince Georges-Anne Arundel-Charles-
Northwest Montgomery-Central and Southeast Montgomery-
Northwest Howard-Central and Southeast Howard-
Prince William/Manassas/Manassas Park-Fairfax-
Arlington/Falls Church/Alexandria-Stafford-Spotsylvania-
King George-Northern Fauquier-Southern Fauquier-Western Loudoun-
Eastern Loudoun-
((snip))
1127 AM EST Mon Feb 8 2021

...POTENTIAL WINTER COMMUTING HAZARD FOR THE WASHINGTON AND
FREDERICKSBURG METROPOLITAN AREAS TUESDAY MORNING...

There is a potential for hazardous commuting conditions for the
Tuesday morning commute. A period of light freezing rain is
POSSIBLE (a 30 percent chance) Tuesday morning across the
Washington and Fredericksburg Metropolitan areas. A light glaze of
ice is possible on area roads.

If this threat does materialize during the Tuesday morning rush-
hour, many roads could quickly turn icy. This could lead to
dangerous traveling conditions, multiple accidents, and extensive
delays.

((snip))

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I've been really happy with my Tempest weather station. About $300, and $10 for a homemade mounting kit. Really nice...highly recommend.

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9 minutes ago, Deck Pic said:

wouldnt be surprised by a cartopper here tomorrow morning.

Gonna be close but I suspect it’s gonna go just north of us

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1 hour ago, losetoa6 said:

Another all frozen hit for many nw areas . What a 2 week stretch of winter underway since last Sunday through this coming week .

Tomorrow will make 9 straight days of snow cover here.  The 3” hardpack should survive a 45° degree day, so I may be looking at an extended February stretch if the models are on to something.

The only 2 Februaries with extended snowpack here in the past 15 years were 2010 and 2014.  Feb ‘10 had 23 straight days (and 26 of 28 for the month) and Feb ‘14 also had 23 straight, as part of 39 consecutive days that began on 1/21.

 

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6 minutes ago, WVclimo said:

Tomorrow will make 9 straight days of snow cover here.  The 3” hardpack should survive a 45° degree day tomorrow, so I may be looking at an extended February stretch if the models are on to something.

The only 2 Februaries with extended snowpack here in the past 15 years were 2010 and 2014.  Feb ‘10 had 23 straight days (and 26 of 28 for the month) and Feb ‘14 also had 23 straight, as part of 39 consecutive days that began on 1/21.

 

That Feb 2010 is interesting. We never came close to seeing grass here that year. Guess it had to do with us getting a better snow on Jan 31

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13 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said:

That Feb 2010 is interesting. We never came close to seeing grass here that year. Guess it had to do with us getting a better snow on Jan 31

Yep.  The 3” I got from 1/30 was only patchy spots by the morning of 2/2 and the 4” later that day was gone by the time the big dog started.  Actually, during the afternoon of 2/5 I had non-accumulating snow for a while.

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IMO, big takeway from this winter is the Euro is not what it used to be. Not sure if there was an update that improved forecasting in another domain at the sacrifice of North America, but man it's been hot garbage this winter.

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2 hours ago, Eskimo Joe said:

IMO, big takeway from this winter is the Euro is not what it used to be. Not sure if there was an update that improved forecasting in another domain at the sacrifice of North America, but man it's been hot garbage this winter.

it has also exposed just how many forecasters basically just use the Euro output as their forecast

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