Obs and nowcast Major Nor'easter near blizzard Sunday afternoon Jan 31 - Sunrise Wednesday Feb 3

[donsutherland1]

10 minutes ago, SnowGoose69 said:

Now I'm really confused...is the total 16.3 or 18.3?!

I guess we'll have to wait until tomorrow morning unless an update is issued before the daily climate report is issued.

[NorthShoreWx]

1 hour ago, winterwx21 said:

Yeah, I miss the old radar so much. The new NWS radar site is horrendous. Sometimes I have to wait forever for it to load. Don't know why they had to change a good thing.

They had to get rid of the reliance on Flash.  It looks like they tried to add a lot of features.  Not the first project to be totally ruined by gold plating it   Project Management 101 fail!

 

[Lawnguyland]

4 minutes ago, LibertyBell said:

still a good chance to get 4 more inches before this storm pulls out

 

That's what she said.

[Heisy]

Just now, jm1220 said:

Gravity wave bands SE of Long Island. This one's definitely legit. 

I’m legitimately thinking I have a shot to hit 3 feet here. It’ll depend what happens late tonight and Tom if we can add on like 2-3” after this band fades... it’ll be the most snow I’ve ever seen 

[Brian5671]

6 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

The 18.3 inches for Central Park is wrong.

 

They have 16.3 inches

NBC got it wrong

i think that's today-you have to add 2 inches from yesterday?

[SnowGoose69]

2 minutes ago, MANDA said:

This Central Park stuff is such nonsense.  Simple task and it can't be performed correctly?????

What a joke.

They did okay, NBC made two incorrect tweets which confused everyone.  Central Park used to always report at 4 or 430 for the climate report in addition to at 7am, 1pm, 7pm, 12am.  I believe starting 2 winters ago they stopped reporting at midnight on some occasions and at 430 on all days for some reason

[alexj7]

The 3K Nam seemed to handle NYC/NJ well. Yesterday morning it was predicting some 30" maximums in Morris county and that's actually verifying. It went a little too high in South/Central NJ I believe.

Here's what it predicted for NYC yesterday morning:

Mon 7am: 7.1"
Mon 1pm: 14.5"
Mon 7pm: 18.6"
Tue 10am: 21.2"

Central park (Actual)

Mon 7am: 5.3"
Mon 1pm: 13.3"
Mon 7pm: 18.3" (16.3" apparently?)

[sussexcountyobs]

7 :45 pm

Measured 24"

Very heavy snow falling.

24°

[EastonSN+]

5 minutes ago, Brian5671 said:

i think that's today-you have to add 2 inches from yesterday?

What did u measure in Fairfield?

[HVSnowLover]

Rates have been mostly garbage here since 4 pm but on the plus side no mixing yet 

[NorthShoreWx]

1 hour ago, HVSnowLover said:

Odd how a lot of LI is colder than nyc. Somehow this always happens even in setups that you’d think would favor nyc 

Probably a combination of UHI and much of LI being farther north than Central Park.  Also sometimes with a cold high to the N or NE and the right wind direction, we might benefit from some colder air draining down the CT River valley.  Basically cold air damming.

If the mid level warming from the SE was more robust, or the boundary winds were more easterly,  NYC would likely have been a few degrees colder than LI.  Could still trend that way

[KeithB]

28 minutes ago, sctvman said:

 

She feels bad...and I am jealous

[sussexcountyobs]

1 minute ago, HVSnowLover said:

Rates have been mostly garbage here since 4 pm but on the plus side no mixing yet 

What? We've had about 6" of new snow since 4pm.

[nycsnow]

Radar filling in again over boroughs 

[Mitchel Volk]

14 minutes ago, Brian5671 said:

i think that's today-you have to add 2 inches from yesterday?

Makes sense I was thinking the same

[MikeStorms]

Measures 16.5 about a half hour ago in Ossining. Averaged 1.5 an hour from 11am on.


.

[jm1220]

11 minutes ago, alexj7 said:

The 3K Nam seemed to handle NYC/NJ well. Yesterday morning it was predicting some 30" maximums in Morris county and that's actually verifying. It went a little too high in South/Central NJ I believe.

Here's what it predicted for NYC yesterday morning:

Mon 7am: 7.1"
Mon 1pm: 14.5"
Mon 7pm: 18.6"
Tue 10am: 21.2"

Central park (Actual)

Mon 7am: 5.3"
Mon 1pm: 13.3"
Mon 7pm: 18.3" (16.3" apparently?)

I think in the end the models will end a little too bullish east of the city (certainly not SW CT though, it really came together there). The dryslot came in fast again like Dec because of the less than ideal 700mb track. Even this morning they mostly had 16-20" here and although there's an outside chance over the next day we make it to the low end of this but 13-14" is probably what I have. Still a great event regardless. 

I think there was a GFS v16 run yesterday that showed the distribution particularly well with the huge max over E PA, S NY and NJ where the 700 low would allow the best pivot which looks like it'll verify very well. 

[hooralph]

16 minutes ago, MANDA said:

This Central Park stuff is such nonsense.  Simple task and it can't be performed correctly?????

What a joke.

THEY HAD ONE JOB.

In all seriousness, I scratched my head ay 18.3. I had just spent an hour out in Riverside and you wouldn't have convinced me we had more than 15-16".

[cleetussnow]

7 minutes ago, KeithB said:

She feels bad...and I am jealous

 She must have 54 inches at her house.  Thats obviously what happened.  

[Mitchel Volk]

Then the 18.3 makes sense when you account for setling of the snow

[nesussxwx]

35 minutes ago, jdt said:

28.3” as of 7:30pm. Sparta NW NJ. More winds last few hours which may be affecting measurements at this point. With compaction snow depth sitting at about 24-25”.

Should hit 30", still a few hours to go. What's your temperature?

[jm1220]

Just now, hooralph said:

THEY HAD ONE JOB.

In all seriousness, I scratched my head ay 18.3. I had just spent an hour out in Riverside and you wouldn't have convinced me we had more than 15-16".

For once I can accept they measured a little too much vs how they usually undermeasure.  

[snywx]

Moderate snow continues 

16.2" otg

[jm1220]

Boston ouch, downgraded to an advisory because either snow that's not sticking or rain/snow mix. 

[HailMan06]

11 minutes ago, KeithB said:

She feels bad...and I am jealous

Yeah that's about right. Mendham is right next to me and I got around 25" OTG.

[HailMan06]

Just now, NorthShoreWx said:

Because in our society we often equate being a victim with heroism.  So some people take it to the extreme and want to paint themselves as victims of this awful storm.  Or maybe she hates snow.

Yeah very likely but to be a little fair it's been years since we've had any major snowstorms around here. Cool stat though.

[donsutherland1]

At 7:00 PM EST, Bloomingdale [Passaic Co, NJ] TRAINED SPOTTER reports HEAVY SNOW of 25.20 INCH

[BxSnowWx37]

16 minutes ago, HVSnowLover said:

Rates have been mostly garbage here since 4 pm but on the plus side no mixing yet 

None here neither. Wait till the pivot later on. We snow till very early wed it might seem..its a very slow mover.

[NorthShoreWx]

Smithtown, NY 14.6" storm total snowfall as of 7:30PM. 

Snow mixed with sleet shortly after 6pm.  Was mostly light sleet for a while, then went back to mostly snow when it got heavier and so forth.  All snow at the moment.

At 8:15pm: 30.9  S-

15" on the stake. 

[rgwp96]

9 minutes ago, nesussxwx said:

Should hit 30", still a few hours to go. What's your temperature?

You won’t have 30 on the ground ?