Damage In Tolland Posted February 3, 2021 Share Posted February 3, 2021 15 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Yes didn't understand the hugger cutter rain forecasts yesterday. Either its a UKMET or its OTS. I am more bullish on the 10th through 15th Interesting how Friday has become more “snowier” Nam actually pops a weak 2ndary which would lock in colder solution and perhaps enhance snow a bit.. may still change over , but that threat has become a 1-2” deal before any possible mixing 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted February 3, 2021 Share Posted February 3, 2021 6z GFS scrapes the Cape for 2/8 with rain. No cold to be had in SNE in that depiction. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted February 3, 2021 Share Posted February 3, 2021 5 hours ago, TheSnowman said: A 20”+ in 9 Hour or less storm where NW of me gets less than those SE of me is the ONLY thing that will bring me back. I’m the most Anti-Socialism person you’ll find; except....when it comes to Snow. Can’t Stand the rich getting richer. Come on Euro. Bring me back. Oh baby, what an obliteration. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 3, 2021 Share Posted February 3, 2021 44 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Interesting how Friday has become more “snowier” Nam actually pops a weak 2ndary which would lock in colder solution and perhaps enhance snow a bit.. may still change over , but that threat has become a 1-2” deal before any possible mixing I still think that is north of you but maybe a a little snow before rain. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 3, 2021 Share Posted February 3, 2021 1 hour ago, Ginx snewx said: Yes didn't understand the hugger cutter rain forecasts yesterday. Either its a UKMET or its OTS. I am more bullish on the 10th through 15th Yesterday morning looked huggish. Yesterday afternoon looked different. Never a fan of those PV lobes, but having it elongated prevents that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 3, 2021 Share Posted February 3, 2021 1 hour ago, wdrag said: Good morning everyone, As noted above the EC has temporarily (hmmmm-do we remember about 4-5 days before this top 10r just past?) dropped the ball. GFS now closer. V16 not posting due to data flow problems with an unknown (to us, or at least me) return. As noted above the UK unreliable but on. What I think, and I'll attach as a placeholder for WPC, is that we're still on... with atmospherics needing to sort out the myriad of disturbances and bring us a little more consensus (or is the consensus too many short waves and a relatively flat but cold westerly flow?). One thing that's changed since the thread inception. Great Lakes 500MB troughing has put much more stock in the first disturbance carving into the northeast Friday, and holding back on the 7th-8th. That would probably negate sub 14F cold into NYC by the 9th, but not necessarily beyond as modeling persists with anomalous cold from the Great Lakes to the Northern Plains beyond Valentines Day. One of these disturbances coming through between now and the 19th 'should' become a substantial northeast wintry weather event and draw in a pretty decent cold shot. So, since the ensmbles and modeling are flipping and uncertain, I keep the thread alive as is, with doubts about wind and temps meeting thread options by the 9th but not a shut down yet, in my mind. Snow is definitely on the table (aside from current on going at this 6AM writing, and the 5th 1" potential for the I84 corridor for which I may eventually start an OBS thread I84?). I do think we'll see some sort of snow here in NYC 7th or 8th- but will be corrected by reality. Not every thread works out... this one may be that. Too much uncertainty as of now. Still in play.. but we’ll need to have EPS make some kind of move back 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 3, 2021 Share Posted February 3, 2021 GFS made a better move. Definitely still in play. EPS mean had some hints of it. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 3, 2021 Share Posted February 3, 2021 Need some Tippy thread magic. And Lars!!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 3, 2021 Share Posted February 3, 2021 38 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: GFS made a better move. Definitely still in play. EPS mean had some hints of it. Should be many threats as the tpv keeps rotating south under the block, just need a little luck with the configuration. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IowaStorm05 Posted February 3, 2021 Share Posted February 3, 2021 Sometimes it snows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 3, 2021 Share Posted February 3, 2021 44 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: GFS made a better move. Definitely still in play. EPS mean had some hints of it. Eps is worse at 6z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 3, 2021 Share Posted February 3, 2021 Just now, MJO812 said: Eps is worse at 6z Yeah maybe it misses. I don't know or care..lol. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 3, 2021 Share Posted February 3, 2021 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Yeah maybe it misses. I don't know or care..lol. Yes you do Weenies care about snow 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 3, 2021 Share Posted February 3, 2021 She gone. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 3, 2021 Share Posted February 3, 2021 Just now, MJO812 said: Yes you do Weenies care about snow Wouldn’t sweat it, if Sunday fails a few days later there’s a threat, and it’ll continue for a few weeks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 3, 2021 Share Posted February 3, 2021 5 minutes ago, Wentzadelphia said: Wouldn’t sweat it, if Sunday fails a few days later there’s a threat, and it’ll continue for a few weeks. Agree Very active pattern ahead Snowpack will not be going away anytime soon I haven't dug my car out yet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 3, 2021 Share Posted February 3, 2021 3 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Yes you do Weenies care about snow I really don't. If it snows great. If not, life goes on. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 3, 2021 Share Posted February 3, 2021 Outside of the hills and mountains, Friday looks wet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted February 3, 2021 Share Posted February 3, 2021 5 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I really don't. If it snows great. If not, life goes on. Life with kids..no time to dwell too much on the white stuff. Emphasis on too much. Heh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted February 3, 2021 Share Posted February 3, 2021 1 minute ago, dryslot said: Outside of the hills and mountains, Friday looks wet. Only in this piss poor winter can we get rain in any given month of the season Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wdrag Posted February 3, 2021 Share Posted February 3, 2021 1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said: Still in play.. but we’ll need to have EPS make some kind of move back AND...if no one believes now...please the 00z/3 GGEM move up 1 day. It's meager for now, compared to prior EC ops but a confused atmosphere, which means I dunno but think the opportunity is there...especially when you look at GEFS 06Z 2m temp anoms that show a window of opportunity here around late 7. Off line til probably 230. It is so beautiful here too... wow! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 3, 2021 Share Posted February 3, 2021 2 hours ago, Ginx snewx said: Yes didn't understand the hugger cutter rain forecasts yesterday. Either its a UKMET or its OTS. I am more bullish on the 10th through 15th Man, I hope the 10th through the 15th fails....I'll be away, and that would sting lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 3, 2021 Share Posted February 3, 2021 2 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said: Hopefully Euro and EPS are wrong with the whiff. With that progressive look this may be tough. Ukie was a good hit Lol, yesterday you said no whiff, it’s hugging. Some things never change. Ya, let’s hope we can bring her back. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted February 3, 2021 Share Posted February 3, 2021 6 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Lol, yesterday you said no whiff, it’s hugging. Some things never change. Ya, let’s hope we can bring her back. To his defense, I think I saw him say yesterday too progressive and biggest risk is a whiff. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted February 3, 2021 Share Posted February 3, 2021 17 minutes ago, wdrag said: AND...if no one believes now...please the 00z/3 GGEM move up 1 day. It's meager for now, compared to prior EC ops but a confused atmosphere, which means I dunno but think the opportunity is there...especially when you look at GEFS 06Z 2m temp anoms that show a window of opportunity here around late 7. Off line til probably 230. It is so beautiful here too... wow! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 3, 2021 Share Posted February 3, 2021 6 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: To his defense, I think I saw him say yesterday too progressive and biggest risk is a whiff. We did. He was busy scolding, telling and teaching Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted February 3, 2021 Share Posted February 3, 2021 39 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I really don't. If it snows great. If not, life goes on. Tom Brady and the Patriots I mean Bucs are playing in the Super Bowl he doesn't need snow that day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 3, 2021 Share Posted February 3, 2021 1 minute ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: Tom Brady and the Patriots I mean bucs are playing in the Super Bowl he doesn't need snow that day. Hope there is a blizzard of confetti raining down on Bill B and Kraft's face when he wins. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 3, 2021 Share Posted February 3, 2021 36 minutes ago, Lava Rock said: Only in this piss poor winter can we get rain in any given month of the season Hate to see it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted February 3, 2021 Share Posted February 3, 2021 1 minute ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: Tom Brady and the Patriots I mean bucs are playing in the Super Bowl he doesn't need snow that day. Don't worry the Pats are releasing the best of Cam Newton 2020 DVD on sunday....... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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