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Major Nor'easter snow storm (possible top 20) Noon Wednesday-Noon Thursday Dec 16-17, 2020

wdrag

By wdrag,
in New York City Metro

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White Gorilla

White Gorilla

Posted
Posted
21 minutes ago, HeadInTheClouds said:

I'll take the 26 inches it gives Poughkeepsie, lol, but I agree with you about that cutoff in SE PA. Funky run to say the least. 

Way overdone for our area in Poughkeepsie even with ratios factored.  I think we get around 10.  Looks pretty but not going to verify as such up here. 

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David-LI

David-LI

Posted
Posted
5 minutes ago, Blizzard-on-GFS said:

NAM is clueless lol. This run's solution is laughable. I wouldn't even look at the NAM till tomorrow afternoon. No way the cutoff is that sharp and southeastern PA gets shafted like that. 

Because it doesn't have a foot in your backyard throw the run out?

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Blizzard-on-GFS

Blizzard-on-GFS

Posted
Posted
1 minute ago, David-LI said:

Because it doesn't have a foot in your backyard throw the run out?

No because it's an outlier.  I don't live in in SE Pa but there's no way that Northern Bucks County PA gets 5" while northern Ocean County NJ gets over a foot. Also it extends the heavy precip way further north than any other model. 

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HeadInTheClouds

HeadInTheClouds

Posted
Posted
8 minutes ago, White Gorilla said:

Way overdone for our area in Poughkeepsie even with ratios factored.  I think we get around 10.  Looks pretty but not going to verify as such up here. 

Agreed. I wouldn't argue with an 8-12 forecast for our area. nam gave us 26 and gfs will give us 2. Split the difference, lol. American models suck. 

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hudsonvalley21

hudsonvalley21

Posted
Posted 
URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service New York NY
400 PM EST Mon Dec 14 2020

CTZ005>012-NJZ002-004-006-103>108-NYZ067>071-151000-
/O.NEW.KOKX.WS.A.0001.201216T1900Z-201217T1800Z/
Northern Fairfield-Northern New Haven-Northern Middlesex-
Northern New London-Southern Fairfield-Southern New Haven-
Southern Middlesex-Southern New London-Western Passaic-
Eastern Passaic-Hudson-Western Bergen-Eastern Bergen-
Western Essex-Eastern Essex-Western Union-Eastern Union-Orange-
Putnam-Rockland-Northern Westchester-Southern Westchester-
400 PM EST Mon Dec 14 2020

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
THURSDAY AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Heavy snow possible. Total snow accumulations of 12 to 17
  inches possible. Winds could gust as high as 45 mph, especially
  along the coast.

* WHERE...Portions of northeast New Jersey, southern Connecticut
  and southeast New York.

* WHEN...From Wednesday afternoon through Thursday afternoon.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult to impossible.
  Hazardous conditions could impact the Wednesday evening and
  Thursday morning commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Monitor the latest forecasts for updates on this situation.

 

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NJwx85

NJwx85

Posted
Posted 
URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service New York NY
400 PM EST Mon Dec 14 2020

CTZ005>012-NJZ002-004-006-103>108-NYZ067>071-151000-
/O.NEW.KOKX.WS.A.0001.201216T1900Z-201217T1800Z/
Northern Fairfield-Northern New Haven-Northern Middlesex-
Northern New London-Southern Fairfield-Southern New Haven-
Southern Middlesex-Southern New London-Western Passaic-
Eastern Passaic-Hudson-Western Bergen-Eastern Bergen-
Western Essex-Eastern Essex-Western Union-Eastern Union-Orange-
Putnam-Rockland-Northern Westchester-Southern Westchester-
400 PM EST Mon Dec 14 2020

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
THURSDAY AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Heavy snow possible. Total snow accumulations of 12 to 17
  inches possible. Winds could gust as high as 45 mph, especially
  along the coast.

* WHERE...Portions of northeast New Jersey, southern Connecticut
  and southeast New York.

* WHEN...From Wednesday afternoon through Thursday afternoon.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult to impossible.
  Hazardous conditions could impact the Wednesday evening and
  Thursday morning commute.
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NYC10023

NYC10023

Posted
Posted
1 minute ago, Snowman86 said:

Im excited like a little kid for christmas!!!

 

Amen

me too. 

I told my friends, I'm like an 8 year old with this stuff. I'm catching up on sleep now since I full intend to be out at Central Park for the duration. Luckily only 2 blocks away so I can come home, rejuvenate, then head back out 

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CPcantmeasuresnow

CPcantmeasuresnow

Posted
Posted
10 minutes ago, ny10019 said:

me too. 

I told my friends, I'm like an 8 year old with this stuff. I'm catching up on sleep now since I full intend to be out at Central Park for the duration. Luckily only 2 blocks away so I can come home, rejuvenate, then head back out 

Make sure you bring a yard stick and a camera.

Central Park needs 11.3 inches of snow this December to get the 30 year average to 30 inches. Don't let them under measure it as is often the case.

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