Jump to content

Blizzard-on-GFS

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    697

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by Blizzard-on-GFS

  1. Blizzard-on-GFS
    After it totally botched the forecast on the last storm for Central New Jersey I’ve lost a lot of trust in it…
  2. Blizzard-on-GFS
    check out the massive differences below. 10” for CNJ on 10-1 vs 2” on snow depth. That should always be a tell tale sign.
  3. Blizzard-on-GFS
    One thing I’ve learned from this is if temperatures are iffy, always use the snow depth snow maps, or look at soundings. Kuchera and 10-1 maps were completely off, even the 12z Kuchera this morning were printing out over 8 inches of snow for central New Jersey when most places in that area ended up with 1-2” at best. I remember last night the RGEM snow depth had about 1 to 3 inches for the area so it was pretty dang close and it was also pretty good for north and west areas where it had 6 to 8 inches modeled.
  4. Blizzard-on-GFS
    Epic Bust here in CNJ happy for the NW crew though. We got less than 2" and it has all been completely melted by mid-afternoon here in Bordentown, NJ. Kind of amazing how every model this morning had 4-8" for the area. Probably got around 1.5" if that....
  5. Blizzard-on-GFS
    That 1-3” zone is going to bust terribly. Should be at least 4-8”
  6. Blizzard-on-GFS
    i-95 CRUSHJOB!
  7. Blizzard-on-GFS
    Starting to buy into the idea of an area-wide 5-10". With real heavy rates.
  8. Blizzard-on-GFS
    BARK BARK!
  9. Blizzard-on-GFS
    Yes, slightly but the whole idea that this is going to be nothing but rain for odd 95 is definitely a doomer attitude. This is legitimate threat for I 95.
  10. Blizzard-on-GFS
    Well, well well, the “it’s going to trend north Crew” is in shambles right now lol.
  11. Blizzard-on-GFS
    Ripping snow down in Manahawkin, radar looks great down here, we only saw a little over an inch with the earlier bands. This is our chance here for accumulations. SE Jersey coast looks to be in good shape. Waiting/hoping that this band pivots into an inverted trough as the low pulls away. Gonna be real interesting to see if that feature ends up setting up or not.
  12. Blizzard-on-GFS
    Waiting from them to drop a TOR warning on that bucks county cell. Rotation keeps strengthening
  13. Blizzard-on-GFS
    Huge bow echo. Gonna be widespread wind damage with this. Lots of reports already to the west.
  14. Blizzard-on-GFS
    Is this rotation on both cells? Might see a TOR warning soon…
  15. Blizzard-on-GFS
    Got some weak rotation on this cell; watching it closely. Could pop off.0
  16. Blizzard-on-GFS
    They will adjust downward. I think the HRRR has a pretty good handle of the final solution here.
  17. Blizzard-on-GFS
    Nice rotation signature developing on radar for the TOR WARNED cell. This could drop down for sure.
  18. Blizzard-on-GFS
    Do you think that band in eastern PA holds together into NJ? Looks like it would drop 1-2”. I’ve not even had a trace in Bordentown, NJ, hoping I don’t get skunked.
  19. Blizzard-on-GFS
    Manahawkin, NJ
  20. Blizzard-on-GFS
    Manahawkin, NJ. Puking snow
  21. Blizzard-on-GFS
    Ripping down LBI! I think we might jackpot here IMG_5245.MOV
  22. Blizzard-on-GFS
    Ripping snow down here in LBI! Winds have picked up considerably. Thinking we might verify blizzard conditions tonight
  23. Blizzard-on-GFS
    Bullseye over my house, please and thank you Mr. Rap.
  24. Blizzard-on-GFS
    I'm hoping I get nuked on LBI! I'm hoping with ratios I can pull in close to 18"
  25. Blizzard-on-GFS
    Why is everybody jumping off a bridge based off of one euro run? Quite honestly it seems like an outlier, it is the furthest east of every other model. At this point I think the short term Hi-Rez models have a better idea of the banding on the western side.
×
×
  • Create New...