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Blizzard-on-GFS

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Everything posted by Blizzard-on-GFS

  1. Yeah I WAS skeptical, but after looking over all the 0z model runs. Seems like tight consensus for another 18-22" for us. So when this thing gets cranking and pivoting, things might change quick. Dew point is currently at 31 so as soon as this next band rolls through I think we start cooking.
  2. 18.5" MAX over my house in Manahawkin, NJ. HRRR prints out another 20" here in south jersey. I only have 2" so far so I hope I cash in when these bands start pivoting.
  3. WOOF. I'm in a good spot in Manahawkin,. I'm hoping this deathband pivots over me. Where ever it pivots on is going to get clocked.
  4. "I'm playing both sides that way I always end up on top" [emoji23] Sent from my SM-F966U1 using Tapatalk
  5. I'm riding out the storm at my parents house in Manahawkin New Jersey and I think we have a real chance at 30 in down there. Going to be a historic storm. I'm hoping this will be the best snow storm I've ever seen in my life as a 34 year old. Sent from my SM-F966U1 using Tapatalk
  6. For me at the Jersey shore in Ocean county this might be the best model of run I've ever viewed ever for my town lol going to be 3 ft at least Sent from my SM-F966U1 using Tapatalk
  7. I feel like that goes for really any of the major models. When one model is absolutely locked on to a solution with consistency you have to give it greater consideration. Sent from my SM-F966U1 using Tapatalk
  8. A lot of you guys are going to owe the GFS a big apology after this storm wrecks us lol Sent from my SM-F966U1 using Tapatalk
  9. Ripping snow in Bordentown, NJ Sent from my SM-F966U1 using Tapatalk
  10. lmao you beat me to it! I was about to post this hahah. Day After Tomorrow Vibes!
  11. Hey that's 2" for my house in CNJ, I TAKE. LOL. not gonna happen....
  12. so cool! thanks for the heads up! Also, that Timelapse I stunning. I've always wanted to see the northern lights my whole life so hopefully tonight is the night!
  13. Thanks for the awesome explanation! Based on this chart, can you give a rough prediction for the next time window we might see the lights again in our area? I missed the first round!
  14. After it totally botched the forecast on the last storm for Central New Jersey I’ve lost a lot of trust in it…
  15. check out the massive differences below. 10” for CNJ on 10-1 vs 2” on snow depth. That should always be a tell tale sign.
  16. One thing I’ve learned from this is if temperatures are iffy, always use the snow depth snow maps, or look at soundings. Kuchera and 10-1 maps were completely off, even the 12z Kuchera this morning were printing out over 8 inches of snow for central New Jersey when most places in that area ended up with 1-2” at best. I remember last night the RGEM snow depth had about 1 to 3 inches for the area so it was pretty dang close and it was also pretty good for north and west areas where it had 6 to 8 inches modeled.
  17. Epic Bust here in CNJ happy for the NW crew though. We got less than 2" and it has all been completely melted by mid-afternoon here in Bordentown, NJ. Kind of amazing how every model this morning had 4-8" for the area. Probably got around 1.5" if that....
  18. That 1-3” zone is going to bust terribly. Should be at least 4-8”
  19. Starting to buy into the idea of an area-wide 5-10". With real heavy rates.
  20. Yes, slightly but the whole idea that this is going to be nothing but rain for odd 95 is definitely a doomer attitude. This is legitimate threat for I 95.
  21. Well, well well, the “it’s going to trend north Crew” is in shambles right now lol.
  22. Ripping snow down in Manahawkin, radar looks great down here, we only saw a little over an inch with the earlier bands. This is our chance here for accumulations. SE Jersey coast looks to be in good shape. Waiting/hoping that this band pivots into an inverted trough as the low pulls away. Gonna be real interesting to see if that feature ends up setting up or not.
  23. Waiting from them to drop a TOR warning on that bucks county cell. Rotation keeps strengthening
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