40/70 Benchmark Posted November 19, 2020 52 minutes ago, Cold Miser said: I am still bitter from the year where you stole our snow. (2011/12?). A year that will live in infamy. Never forgive, never forget. Alaska and October stole our snow in 2011-2012. Mid atl stole it in 2009-2010. 1 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
CoastalWx Posted November 19, 2020 Weeklies suck. Not much else to say. 2 1 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 19, 2020 29 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Why? So you can risk cutters? So Canada won't be void of cold....its a balance. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
CoastalWx Posted November 19, 2020 2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: So Canada won't be void of cold....its a balance. So we freeze our nuts off after fropa. Yay. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Chrisrotary12 Posted November 19, 2020 Starting to think that we should throw our "classic nino/nina" patterns out the window with climate change, global warming, Hadley cell expansion (whatever you want to call it) . I feel like I keep reading......that's not a nino look. That's not a nina look. That's not a neutral look. when we are squarely in one of the phases. 1 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 19, 2020 Just now, CoastalWx said: So we freeze our nuts off after fropa. Yay. So we get a perfect track with cold rain and only freeze one nut off. Yay. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 19, 2020 Just now, Chrisrotary12 said: Starting to think that we should throw our "classic nino/nina" patterns out the window with climate change, global warming, Hadley cell expansion (whatever you want to call it) . I feel like I keep reading......that's not a nino look. That's not a nina look. That's not a neutral look. when we are squarely in one of the phases. The abridged cliff-note version of Tip. 1 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted November 19, 2020 6 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Weeklies suck. Not much else to say. Sad! That our best snow event was in October. Ive never had high hopes for this winter. Long range stuff across the board has kind of looked like poo. Doesnt mean we can’t sneak something in somewhere over the next four months. On balance though, I don’t think it’s going to be pretty. That includes NNE too. 1 2 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
CoastalWx Posted November 19, 2020 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: So we get a perfect track with cold rain and only freeze one nut off. Yay. It’s all about location. But given how guidance looks, no worries this December. 1 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Chrisrotary12 Posted November 19, 2020 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: The abridged cliff-note version of Tip. Did Tip already say this somewhere? I've started giving up trying to follow his posts. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
CoastalWx Posted November 19, 2020 2 minutes ago, Chrisrotary12 said: Starting to think that we should throw our "classic nino/nina" patterns out the window with climate change, global warming, Hadley cell expansion (whatever you want to call it) . I feel like I keep reading......that's not a nino look. That's not a nina look. That's not a neutral look. when we are squarely in one of the phases. Well it’s not a Niña look. Whatever is causing it. It is a sucky look. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 19, 2020 Just now, Chrisrotary12 said: Did Tip already say this somewhere? I've started giving up trying to follow his posts. Every post for about the past 3 years. 1 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
CoastalWx Posted November 19, 2020 AK is due for some blues. If anything else the stats point to that. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Chrisrotary12 Posted November 19, 2020 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Every post for about the past 3 years. Right. Was able to follow those 6 months ago. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
STILL N OF PIKE Posted November 19, 2020 I’m getting a hotel in Alaska , if they have any. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 19, 2020 Just now, STILL N OF PIKE said: I’m getting a hotel in Alaska Navahut MILFS....grab a clunker and take her to sled dog night. 1 1 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
CoastalWx Posted November 19, 2020 3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Navahut MILFS....grab a clunker and take her to sled dog night. He better be careful, he might turn over and see that it’s Pete’s long flowing locks with his AK buddy. 1 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
ORH_wxman Posted November 19, 2020 Hopefully the weeklies are as accurate as last winter. 2 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
weathafella Posted November 19, 2020 Weeklies are a crapshoot in a weak MJO. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
SnowGoose69 Posted November 19, 2020 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: Weeklies suck. Not much else to say. The funny thing is thats the exact sort of pattern where somehow Richmond or Atlanta or Nashville will find a snow event but anything major won't happen in the NE. It sort of is 01-02/11-12ish, its not classic Nina SER at all, its just weak to moderate AK vortex, east has a trof at times (hard to tell with the smoothing) but no cold air source at all. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
rclab Posted November 19, 2020 8 hours ago, tamarack said: So you had to trigger my PTSD from 2009-10, didn't you? And that winter's BWI vs. CAR snowfall comparison is probably a 200-year event, maybe 500. My apologies. I was in my usual state of blissful ignorance until I checked some stats. Caribou had a little over 68 inches in 1961-62. Nearly 9 inches less than Baltimore’s 2010 totals. I couldn’t get the Caribou 2010 total. I believe Phineas will be a snow charm for both locales. As always ..... Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
powderfreak Posted November 20, 2020 4 hours ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Sad! That our best snow event was in October. Ive never had high hopes for this winter. Long range stuff across the board has kind of looked like poo. Doesnt mean we can’t sneak something in somewhere over the next four months. On balance though, I don’t think it’s going to be pretty. That includes NNE too. There's always 2014-2015... trash until late January. People trying to sled, coming home muddy when it's 2" of glop on top of dirt. Meltdowns, bickering and blaming. Then the stars align for 4-weeks. 1 1 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
512high Posted November 20, 2020 3 minutes ago, powderfreak said: There's always 2014-2015... trash until late January. People trying to sled, coming home muddy when it's 2" of glop on top of dirt. Meltdowns, bickering and blaming. Then the stars align for 4-weeks. Freak, if you can guarantee 2014-2015 I will wait quietly ................ Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Whineminster Posted November 20, 2020 Windy as hell here right now Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Damage In Tolland Posted November 20, 2020 19 minutes ago, Whineminster said: Windy as hell here right now Stay very safe 2 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
MJO812 Posted November 20, 2020 I remember when it use to snow in December Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Spanks45 Posted November 20, 2020 18z GEFS looked pretty good at the end of the run... Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
WinterWolf Posted November 20, 2020 1 hour ago, powderfreak said: There's always 2014-2015... trash until late January. People trying to sled, coming home muddy when it's 2" of glop on top of dirt. Meltdowns, bickering and blaming. Then the stars align for 4-weeks. Lol...some were constantly saying Nickel and dimes was the theme of that winter, and we’d better enjoy the piddlings cuz it’s all we’re gonna have/get. And it was the very end of January(27th) at that. As we know Things can Change, and fast. And sometimes they don’t. It’s early, very early. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
HIPPYVALLEY Posted November 20, 2020 12 minutes ago, Spanks45 said: 18z GEFS looked pretty good at the end of the run... It often does. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Typhoon Tip Posted November 20, 2020 Yeah ... all that, and .. what are y’all really grousing for ? is it because the winter May be uninspired, or is it because there isn’t an idealized imaginative hyperbolic pattern in the models like right now. 1 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites