November 2020 Discussion

[40/70 Benchmark]

52 minutes ago, Cold Miser said:

I am still bitter from the year where you stole our snow. (2011/12?). 

A year that will live in infamy. 
Never forgive, never forget. 

Alaska and October stole our snow in 2011-2012.

Mid atl stole it in 2009-2010.

[CoastalWx]

Weeklies suck. Not much else to say. 

[40/70 Benchmark]

29 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Why? So you can risk cutters?

So Canada won't be void of cold....its a balance.

[CoastalWx]

2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

So Canada won't be void of cold....its a balance.

So we freeze our nuts off after fropa. Yay.

[Chrisrotary12]

Starting to think that we should throw our "classic nino/nina" patterns out the window with climate change, global warming, Hadley cell expansion (whatever you want to call it) .

I feel like I keep reading......that's not a nino look. That's not a nina look. That's not a neutral look. when we are squarely in one of the phases.

[40/70 Benchmark]

Just now, CoastalWx said:

So we freeze our nuts off after fropa. Yay.

So we get a perfect track with cold rain and only freeze one nut off. Yay.

[40/70 Benchmark]

Just now, Chrisrotary12 said:

Starting to think that we should throw our "classic nino/nina" patterns out the window with climate change, global warming, Hadley cell expansion (whatever you want to call it) .

I feel like I keep reading......that's not a nino look. That's not a nina look. That's not a neutral look. when we are squarely in one of the phases.

The abridged cliff-note version of Tip.

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

6 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Weeklies suck. Not much else to say. 

Sad! That our best snow event was in October.

Ive never had high hopes for this winter. Long range stuff across the board has kind of looked like poo.

Doesnt mean we can’t sneak something in somewhere over the next four months. On balance though, I don’t think it’s going to be pretty. That includes NNE too.

[CoastalWx]

Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said:

So we get a perfect track with cold rain and only freeze one nut off. Yay.

It’s all about location. But given how guidance looks, no worries this December.  

[Chrisrotary12]

Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said:

The abridged cliff-note version of Tip.

Did Tip already say this somewhere? I've started giving up trying to follow his posts.

[CoastalWx]

2 minutes ago, Chrisrotary12 said:

Starting to think that we should throw our "classic nino/nina" patterns out the window with climate change, global warming, Hadley cell expansion (whatever you want to call it) .

I feel like I keep reading......that's not a nino look. That's not a nina look. That's not a neutral look. when we are squarely in one of the phases.

Well it’s not a Niña look. Whatever is causing it. It is a sucky look. 

[40/70 Benchmark]

Just now, Chrisrotary12 said:

Did Tip already say this somewhere? I've started giving up trying to follow his posts.

Every post for about the past 3 years.

[CoastalWx]

AK is due for some blues. If anything else the stats point to that. 

[Chrisrotary12]

1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Every post for about the past 3 years.

Right. Was able to follow those 6 months ago. 

[STILL N OF PIKE]

I’m getting a hotel in Alaska , if they have any.

[40/70 Benchmark]

Just now, STILL N OF PIKE said:

I’m getting a hotel in Alaska 

Navahut MILFS....grab a clunker and take her to sled dog night.

[CoastalWx]

3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Navahut MILFS....grab a clunker and take her to sled dog night.

He better be careful, he might turn over and see that it’s Pete’s long flowing locks with his AK buddy. 

[ORH_wxman]

Hopefully the weeklies are as accurate as last winter. 

[weathafella]

Weeklies are a crapshoot in a weak MJO. 

[SnowGoose69]

1 hour ago, CoastalWx said:

Weeklies suck. Not much else to say. 

The funny thing is thats the exact sort of pattern where somehow Richmond or Atlanta or Nashville will find a snow event but anything major won't happen in the NE.  It sort of is 01-02/11-12ish, its not classic Nina SER at all, its just weak to moderate AK vortex, east has a trof at times (hard to tell with the smoothing) but no cold air source at all.

[rclab]

8 hours ago, tamarack said:

So you had to trigger my PTSD from 2009-10, didn't you?    And that winter's BWI vs. CAR snowfall comparison is probably a 200-year event, maybe 500. 

My apologies. I was in my usual state of blissful ignorance until I checked some stats. Caribou had a little over 68 inches in 1961-62. Nearly 9 inches less than Baltimore’s 2010 totals. I couldn’t get the Caribou 2010 total. I believe Phineas will be a snow charm for both locales. As always .....

[powderfreak]

4 hours ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Sad! That our best snow event was in October.

Ive never had high hopes for this winter. Long range stuff across the board has kind of looked like poo.

Doesnt mean we can’t sneak something in somewhere over the next four months. On balance though, I don’t think it’s going to be pretty. That includes NNE too.

There's always 2014-2015... trash until late January.  People trying to sled, coming home muddy when it's 2" of glop on top of dirt.  Meltdowns, bickering and blaming.  Then the stars align for 4-weeks.

[512high]

3 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

There's always 2014-2015... trash until late January.  People trying to sled, coming home muddy when it's 2" of glop on top of dirt.  Meltdowns, bickering and blaming.  Then the stars align for 4-weeks.

Freak, if you can guarantee 2014-2015 I will wait quietly ................

[Whineminster]

Windy as hell here right now

[Damage In Tolland]

19 minutes ago, Whineminster said:

Windy as hell here right now

Stay very safe 

[MJO812]

I remember when it use to snow in December

[Spanks45]

18z GEFS looked pretty good at the end of the run...

[WinterWolf]

1 hour ago, powderfreak said:

There's always 2014-2015... trash until late January.  People trying to sled, coming home muddy when it's 2" of glop on top of dirt.  Meltdowns, bickering and blaming.  Then the stars align for 4-weeks.

Lol...some were constantly saying Nickel and dimes was the theme of that winter, and we’d better enjoy the piddlings cuz it’s all we’re gonna have/get. 
 

And it was the very end of January(27th) at that.   As we know Things can Change, and fast. And sometimes they don’t.  
 

It’s early, very early. 

[HIPPYVALLEY]

12 minutes ago, Spanks45 said:

18z GEFS looked pretty good at the end of the run...

It often does.  

[Typhoon Tip]

Yeah ... all that, and .. what are y’all really grousing for ?

is it because the winter May be uninspired, or is it because there isn’t an idealized imaginative hyperbolic pattern in the models like right now.