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Bostonseminole

November 2020 Discussion

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Posted in the other thread that late November looked colder on the weeklies with western ridging....but it's week 6. Almost no skill.

It does look like we warm up after the colder wx in the first few days of November.

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56 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Torched until TGiving week. Month ends snowy 

Define the departure to fulfill the torch categorization.

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snowy[ snoh-ee ]


adjective, snow·i·er, snow·i·est.

1. abounding in or covered with snow: snowy fields.
2. characterized by snow, as the weather: a snowy day.
3. pertaining to, consisting of, or resemblingsnow.
4. of the color of snow; snow-white: snowy skin.
5. immaculate; unsullied.
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That's quite a punch the PV is taking at the end of the 12z EPS....didn't show that on the 00z run. We'll have to see if that is a trend that sticks. Would probably mean colder wx down the line in November vs previous forecasts.

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33 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Shaping up to be a pretty warm first half of Nov at least. Watch for tropical development near Bahamas first week -10 days 

Agree, maybe a glancing cool shot early on, but Nov looks to be mild most of the month. Verbatim no pig on the EPS, but a more -PNA pattern will have us more on the mild side later in the first week or so.

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6 hours ago, CoastalWx said:

Agree, maybe a glancing cool shot early on, but Nov looks to be mild most of the month. Verbatim no pig on the EPS, but a more -PNA pattern will have us more on the mild side later in the first week or so.

No pig=less angst...and a polar opposite from November 2011.

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Yep....piggy has disappeared on guidance so fingers crossed that holds. Look more -PNA like Scott said but there's actually some weak ridging up in AK/EPO region.

 

Weeklies look like they may cool down late month into early December with western CONUS ridging, but that is out in clown range.

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29 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Yep....piggy has disappeared on guidance so fingers crossed that holds. Look more -PNA like Scott said but there's actually some weak ridging up in AK/EPO region.

 

Weeklies look like they may cool down late month into early December with western CONUS ridging, but that is out in clown range.

We should be really cranking by xmas IMO.

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Should be some cold building in Canada if the EPS is right. Looks better than recent runs. Will see if that spills east...but plan on seasonal to mild temps maybe at that time. 

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11 hours ago, Ginx snewx said:

Kevin remember who you first heard it from. Happy Bday flakes

We lost the snow next week . Not that many more years left to have it happen. Also looks warmer later next week and beyond on overnight guidance. Disappointed all around 

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12 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

We lost the snow next week . Not that many more years left to have it happen. Also looks warmer later next week and beyond on overnight guidance. Disappointed all around 

Seems like everything is on track to me. 

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Looks like another bout of winter again for the Plains near Veterans Day as -PNA takes shape. Looks rather mild and mundane here, but that is not a change from guidance.

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1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Looks warm and dry after early week thru mid month 

I'd say more seasonal to mild, and that is how it has look on the ensembles so I see no change. Hell of a cold shot early next week.

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