weathafella Posted November 21, 2020 Share Posted November 21, 2020 26 minutes ago, Spanks45 said: This winter is definitely going to be a year for little to no snow retention for SNE. Probably go from snow and 15 degrees to 50 and rain 2 days later... Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted November 21, 2020 Share Posted November 21, 2020 36 minutes ago, weathafella said: Lol They will be falling like flies by Christmas, just let them go, nothing you can do... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted November 21, 2020 Share Posted November 21, 2020 41 minutes ago, rimetree said: 60F Nice out there Stunning day! Already well above forecast temperatures here. 55° in downtown Greenfield. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 21, 2020 Share Posted November 21, 2020 1 hour ago, Spanks45 said: This winter is definitely going to be a year for little to no snow retention for SNE. Probably go from snow and 15 degrees to 50 and rain 2 days later... Wouldn’t be far from climo in my area lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted November 21, 2020 Share Posted November 21, 2020 Morale is shaky Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 21, 2020 Share Posted November 21, 2020 4 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Morale is shaky We should scroll back to each of the past 10 November 21st posts. Bet it’s similar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted November 21, 2020 Share Posted November 21, 2020 Just now, WxWatcher007 said: Morale shaky and knees getting weak. Folks down south aren’t even sweating that much yet It’s sad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 21, 2020 Share Posted November 21, 2020 24 minutes ago, weathafella said: We should scroll back to each of the past 10 November 21st posts. Bet it’s similar. You still going big big monster winter? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
It's Always Sunny Posted November 21, 2020 Share Posted November 21, 2020 4 hours ago, weatherwiz said: That is a pretty crazy jet extension being modeled moving into at least the first week of December. Raging jet too Even with resultant east coast troughing still showing cutters. Has potential though... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 21, 2020 Share Posted November 21, 2020 2 hours ago, ORH_wxman said: Last 3 or 4 frames on EPS were encouraging. You could see this big height rise starting near AK/Aleutians. Yep. Thought the same. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 21, 2020 Share Posted November 21, 2020 Can’t say this is what a typical Niña December looks like. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 21, 2020 Share Posted November 21, 2020 That’s the 12z GEFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted November 21, 2020 Share Posted November 21, 2020 47 minutes ago, PhineasC said: It’s sad. Part of it seems to be folks opting toward setting the bar low early so they can be pleasantly “surprised” At a so-so winter . Some employ this strategy The pig on guidance was gasoline to that fire and will shake most which I believe is valid ..But to varying degrees Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted November 21, 2020 Share Posted November 21, 2020 Just now, STILL N OF PIKE said: Part of it seems to be folks setting the bar low early so they can be pleasantly “surprised” At a so-so winter . Some employ this strategy Yes, definitely some reverse psychology practitioners here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 21, 2020 Share Posted November 21, 2020 5 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Can’t say this is what a typical Niña December looks like. That’s a pretty nice look though if we can get it. Hopefully EPS trend toward that. They’ve been kind of straddling the line between hideous and something closer to GEFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rimetree Posted November 21, 2020 Share Posted November 21, 2020 And reverse modelology, where everything that looked good last winter turned to crap, therefore, the inverse must be true this year. I admit to dabbling in this myself. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted November 21, 2020 Share Posted November 21, 2020 16 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Can’t say this is what a typical Niña December looks like. That almost looks like a +PNA, -AO, -NAO situation there..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 21, 2020 Share Posted November 21, 2020 5 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: That’s a pretty nice look though if we can get it. Hopefully EPS trend toward that. They’ve been kind of straddling the line between hideous and something closer to GEFS. Yeah seems like the eps maybe trying to look closer to that, but we’ll see what 12z does. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 21, 2020 Share Posted November 21, 2020 1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said: You still going big big monster winter? I don’t think I ever endorsed big monster. I think average to slightly above snow. A muted 2010-11. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cleetussnow Posted November 21, 2020 Share Posted November 21, 2020 Euro looks good day 10 operational. Seeing a nice eastern us trough at 500. Far out there but there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted November 21, 2020 Share Posted November 21, 2020 Bottle up today for the next 4mo. 66F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted November 21, 2020 Share Posted November 21, 2020 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: Yeah seems like the eps maybe trying to look closer to that, but we’ll see what 12z does. Definitely more trending towards the GEFS today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 21, 2020 Share Posted November 21, 2020 Pants tent today in low 60s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 21, 2020 Share Posted November 21, 2020 It seems we’ve seen eps cave to GEFS a lot more frequently in recent years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted November 21, 2020 Share Posted November 21, 2020 1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said: You still going big big monster winter? I hope you get 12ft on your house...that way by the time you dig yourself out, you will have missed the entire Winter....lolol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 21, 2020 Share Posted November 21, 2020 Enjoy the nice day guys. Low 40s here today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 21, 2020 Share Posted November 21, 2020 I had a zoom call yesterday with a woman in Fort Kent. She was telling me how she had gone for a walk in the snow. I was basking in Westborough warmth. I told my wife I should apply for the job that's available up there. She wasn't especially supportive of the idea. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 21, 2020 Share Posted November 21, 2020 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: Yeah seems like the eps maybe trying to look closer to that, but we’ll see what 12z does. This isn’t bad at all. We’re going the right direction. Best EPS long range yet...still need to get this closer obviously and even that look is only the beginning of the change. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted November 21, 2020 Share Posted November 21, 2020 i've seen lots of great looking 360 hour maps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted November 21, 2020 Share Posted November 21, 2020 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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