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It's Always Sunny

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About It's Always Sunny

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  • Four Letter Airport Code For Weather Obs (Such as KDCA)
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    Dallas, TX

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  1. It's Always Sunny

    June 13-23 Severe weather

    I'm not sure my answer is 100% correct but from my experience it is more about the timing than the distance apart. What I mean by timing is how long it takes for that second line to pass through the same environment the first line did. Generally that second line would weaken as it pushes east due to the fact of the first line eats up all the moisture and instability ahead of it. However, looking at previous models it was ridiculously unstable across that geographic area when those two lines passed through to where it would be hard for that first squall line to work over the atmosphere enough. Those lines were also moving really fast so it's not like that first line had time to work over the atmosphere enough either. Also the LLJ was very strong which definitely fueled those lines. Personally, I would consider this event an anomaly. I'm sure other mets can correct me or add onto this but I hope my explanation helps a bit at least!
  2. It's Always Sunny

    Spring 2019 New England Banter and Disco

    I read that in several cases it outperformed the Euro for tropical systems in regards to model forecast error so I'm expecting good things with it. Here is one article I read that highlights a lot of new features: https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/scn19-40gfs_v15_1.pdf
  3. It's Always Sunny

    Spring 2019 New England Banter and Disco

    Don't the new equations enhance the resolution to a certain degree though despite it still having a resolution of 13km in the horiztonal and 64 in vertical?
  4. It's Always Sunny

    June 2-9 Great Plains area Svr Activity

    Pretty sure I saw the crane when I was in that area yesterday. Also a billboard toppled over on a gas station just by Love Field. It was nasty here. Going to check PWS when I get home and see what it recorded but it tends to undervalue due to nearby trees, houses, etc. Some people at work who drove through it thought it could've been a tornado but it's easy to confuse when you have wind blowing rain at your windshield at 70+mph.
  5. It's Always Sunny

    Severe weather Potential Nov 30-Dec 1

    CAMS did a bad job on this event. HRRR catching onto it 2 hours out doesn't count as a "hit" in my book.
  6. It's Always Sunny

    Severe weather Potential Nov 30-Dec 1

    Yeah I've been following that too. 21Z sounding doesn't show much difference than from 18Z but radar already shows cells popping near SPS.
  7. Just noticed the SPC has a slight over NE TX though. Will be interesting to see how that materializes.
  8. You may not want to go around saying that word this far out lol. Looks more like a potential panhandle snow event as of now.
  9. It's Always Sunny

    Bulk Shear Formula

    Thanks for this. Would elevation difference make a difference so in this case it would be 3000ft.
  10. It's Always Sunny

    Bulk Shear Formula

    Have been having a hard time finding this online so figured I'd ask here. I am looking for a bulk shear equation to subtract two wind vectors with their wind directions included as well. An example would be: What is the bulk shear between a 15kt wind out of the SW (220 degrees) at 5000 ft and a 40kt wind out of the W (270 degrees) at 8000ft? Thanks in advance.
  11. It's Always Sunny

    Western Pacific Oscillation

    So it appears that it is directly correlated with the EPO considering that index focuses on the area near AK?
  12. It's Always Sunny

    Western Pacific Oscillation

    Ok, I see it in the graphic above. Just north of Kamchatka Peninsula. My eyes were drawn to the positive anomalies not the negative. Thanks again! I don't have any direct questions yet; just familiarizing how to identify it at this time. When/if I do think of a question I'll be sure to let you know!
  13. It's Always Sunny

    Western Pacific Oscillation

    These are great links. Thank you! So identifying the WPO appears to be fairly straightforward: Ridging (positive height anomalies) south and east of Japan = +WPO Troughing (negative height anomalies) south and east of Japan = -WPO
  14. It's Always Sunny

    Must have iOS apps

    WeatherGeek is pretty good too. Gives you access to different models.
  15. Becoming more familiar with it. Can anyone explain what it is (positive and negative phases) as well as provide any research papers or websites that explain it well? Thanks in advance.