Winter 2020-21 Medium/Long Range Discussion

[A-L-E-K]

[Malacka11]

3 minutes ago, michsnowfreak said:

consistency of a storm is very good for so far out, of course where it goes no one knows. Unlike the rather last minute Detroit snowfall Sunday and Chicagos snow today, this one will be dissected all week. Let the model mayhem of the 2020-21 season commence!

Fr. This is the verbatim start of "meteorological winter"

[Cary67]

Recent winters say strung out, weak, SE

[A-L-E-K]

Gfs goin west

 

Hr 152 is madness

[Malacka11]

1 minute ago, A-L-E-K said:

Gfs goin west

 

[Malacka11]

The GFS is doing the same wonky stuff that the Euro did. If I may venture a humble guess, I'd say that someone could stand to cash in pretty hard, and by someone I mean probably a large number of us. 

[Malacka11]

For posterity, so we may all admire the first true clown map of the year. 

[A-L-E-K]

Grab some weenie screenshots of that run for the true heads, the full fetch winds into IN are chef's kiss

[Baum]

Just now, Malacka11 said:

For posterity, so we may all admire the first true clown map of the year. 

It doesn't snow in Indianapolis. Easy toss.

[ILSNOW]

2 minutes ago, A-L-E-K said:

Grab some weenie screenshots of that run for the true heads, the full fetch winds into IN are chef's kiss

Alek to your point. 

[michsnowfreak]

DTX just issued their winter forecast. Slightly above avg temps, above avg precip, near avg snowfall for December. Then average temps, above avg precip, and near to above avg snowfall

[Gino27]

4 hours ago, Malacka11 said:

I, for one, have actually not given up quite yet on this baby moving back west

This man is an oracle.

[Malacka11]

2 minutes ago, Gino27 said:

This man is an oracle.

I appreciate that truthfully, if you're optimistic every time, then eventually you have to get it right lol

[StormfanaticInd]

17 minutes ago, ILSNOW said:

Alek to your point. 

 

[Gino27]

I'm not even sure what to think at this point. Is a low spinning out like that over the lakes even a valid solution? I know this is a rare/unusual pattern so models will likely struggle for quite a bit longer.

[Stebo]

GFS solution verbatim is probably unrealistic, the system will occlude but I don't buy the low running backwards west that much. Ideally I would love to see the low go through or east of Cleveland for local interests.

[schoeppeya]

23 minutes ago, StormfanaticInd said:

 

I would die of weenieism if we get even half that. Short lived though, my wife would be packing up the bags to head back to Oklahoma.

[Snownado]

Realistically is there any chance Indy even gets 6" next week ? 

[Chicago Storm]

good luck on getting that phase.


.

[A-L-E-K]

2 minutes ago, Chicago Storm said:

good luck on getting that phase.


.

counterpoint - lock it in

[A-L-E-K]

[Solution Man]

Will be interested in the GFS 0z run, and if there is anymore movement West.

[Hoosier]

1 hour ago, StormfanaticInd said:

 

lol

 

36 minutes ago, Snownado said:

Realistically is there any chance Indy even gets 6" next week ? 

Considering there is a storm being modeled with some consistency (talking about a storm anywhere, not the details), sure there's a chance.  Obviously a ways to go yet.

[IWXwx]

I found out a long time ago that pulling back on the reins usually doesn't work once wagons head west. Chicagoland's gonna lasso another one.

Seriously, don't get too excited down in Indy yet, but Hoosier's right, there's a chance. In the meantime, you might get to enjoy some boomers tomorrow.

[Frog Town]

Surprisingly some of our more conservative local Mets are actually bringing mention to this potential next week.  Climo tells me this is a Illinois/Wisc Special, but it is 2020....

[Baum]

local met in chitown buying in a bit. and this guy is fairly conservative...just to throw some more gas on the embers.....

[michsnowfreak]

Same with DTX; they mention a possible winter storm,  very unusual for them this far out as they are conservative 

[Gino27]

30 minutes ago, michsnowfreak said:

Same with DTX; they mention a possible winter storm,  very unusual for them this far out as they are conservative 

ILN even mentioned it. They don't usually bring up snow until a day or two before.

[Gino27]

Nice to see I'm back in the screw zone

[RyanDe680]

Won’t believe it until I see an unrealistic NAM run