Jim Martin

When compared to the actual air temperatures tonight, tonight's short term forecast models are not handling the cold that well. Fully expect a widespread frost, with a higher risk of freezing conditions before sunrise Tuesday.

Vibrant sunset tonight.

Looking at potential for multiple frost(s)/freeze(s) here in Northwest Ohio tomorrow night, along with Wednesday Night as well.

Looking uneventful as well for the next seven days here. However, frost(s)/freeze(s) looking more likely for NW Ohio the next several days.

Fall colors beginning to pop here in Findlay.

Models so far shifting a tad south. Still a flood risk for much of Northwest Ohio.

The European Ensemble is similar to this map too.

18z NAM shifting north too this afternoon.

Looking like Gordon will have a big say in the amount of rainfall/possible severe weather later this week in the lower Great Lakes.

From the National Weather Service in Cleveland in their Area Forecast Discussion this evening... The frontal boundary may slow down or try to stall somewhere in the region by the end of the week. We will have to watch closely what is going on down near Florida currently with a potential tropical system developing. Models show this area of tropical moisture and system coming around the ridge of high pressure into the Midwest and Great Lakes Region by Friday and Saturday. If that is the case and we have a stalled out front in the region, we will potentially have a very wet and stormy weather pattern. It is way to early to get specific but definitely something to be weather aware.

Risk for severe weather tomorrow in the lower Great Lakes.

1.03" of rain here in Findlay from last night's storms.

Slight risk for severe weather extended into Northwest Ohio for today.

Holy cow.

From the National Weather Service in Northern Indiana this evening... .LONG TERM...(Tuesday through Saturday) Issued at 110 PM EDT Sat Apr 21 2018 Aforementioned system will phase with incoming secondary wave sharpening through the lakes Wed. Based on good model consensus will truncate pops associated with this feature further late Tue night/Wed. Thereafter attention yet another following nrn stream sw disturbance similarly progged to amplify considerably through the srn lakes late Thu/early Fri with a period of frontally forced rain. Still modest spread aloft seen in med range guidance and will generally follow blended pops. After that substantial ridging aloft builds east across the lakes downstream of quite robust meridonal deep trough building over the wrn US. This would point to very warm temps and dry wx manifesting through the OH valley Days 8-11 (Sun-Wed).