psv88 Posted October 31, 2020 Share Posted October 31, 2020 29.3 in commack Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lee59 Posted October 31, 2020 Share Posted October 31, 2020 Both the Euro and GFS have a 965 millibar low just northeast of Maine early next week. That pressure is lower than many hurricanes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted October 31, 2020 Share Posted October 31, 2020 32 at FRG 29 at ISP 29.5 here in Holbrook. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted October 31, 2020 Share Posted October 31, 2020 POU got down to 23. @Juliancolton @snywx Low temps? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted October 31, 2020 Share Posted October 31, 2020 17 minutes ago, Rjay said: POU got down to 23. @Juliancolton @snywx Low temps? 21 here, nothing special Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted October 31, 2020 Share Posted October 31, 2020 It’s ironic, considering this is one of the lengthiest amounts of time between snowfalls for me personally, I haven’t seen snow since mid January, over 9 months ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted October 31, 2020 Share Posted October 31, 2020 Looks like the new shortest duration between 2 different seasonal T’s. May 9th to October 30th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted October 31, 2020 Share Posted October 31, 2020 26° this morning. Downright cold for this time of year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sferic Posted October 31, 2020 Share Posted October 31, 2020 Lynbrook Low 28.0 Liberty NY Low 21.3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wdrag Posted October 31, 2020 Share Posted October 31, 2020 A question: IFFFF ASOS sees a snowflake in CP Monday or Tuesday morning, will that qualify for shortest period? ?? AM tied up with lots of at home stuff so no starter post yet, but thinking of a damaging wind-power outage 50MPH wind gust post for the forum 15z-22z Monday. Just need more time. Am pretty sure we'll see some of this Monday (75% certainty on my part-hasty checks are my uncertainty). I do think scattered coatings of snow for parts of the higher I84 terrain Monday and possibly Tuesday morning with scattered snow showers. That too at least 75% certainty. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted October 31, 2020 Share Posted October 31, 2020 28 here this morning also. Bye bye bugs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
binbisso Posted October 31, 2020 Share Posted October 31, 2020 The mjo in Phase 5 for most of October didn't have the usual outcome here in the Northeast which is usually much below-normal temperatures. We will finish solidly about normal throughout the region Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
binbisso Posted October 31, 2020 Share Posted October 31, 2020 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wdrag Posted October 31, 2020 Share Posted October 31, 2020 FWIW: mixing forced turnover is currently modeled up to 850 MB Monday... Not commenting on anything for a topic til tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted October 31, 2020 Share Posted October 31, 2020 1 hour ago, binbisso said: The mjo in Phase 5 for most of October didn't have the usual outcome here in the Northeast which is usually much below-normal temperatures. We will finish solidly about normal throughout the region It’s looks like those record warm SSTs off the West Coast and East Coast had a greater influence on our weather than the MJO. Notice how close the October pattern matched the +PMM. Those are the warmest SSTs off the West Coast that we have seen with such a strong La Niña. It’s probably why the October pattern was so different than we would expect from a La Niña. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
binbisso Posted October 31, 2020 Share Posted October 31, 2020 Blue Wave I have heard that the atmosphere is currently coupled with the la nina but according to your post above it is not. Do you think this winter will not behave as a typical moderate to Strong La Nina? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted October 31, 2020 Share Posted October 31, 2020 Chilly 44/30 temp split today...Will finish up month with a +0.8 degree temp departure. Precip 5.97". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Intensewind002 Posted October 31, 2020 Share Posted October 31, 2020 No freeze here yet, had a low of about 35. Still the coldest of the season though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted October 31, 2020 Share Posted October 31, 2020 5 hours ago, Rjay said: POU got down to 23. @Juliancolton @snywx Low temps? 22 here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted October 31, 2020 Share Posted October 31, 2020 27 minutes ago, snywx said: 22 here 23 here...I can feel the love from @Rjay Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted October 31, 2020 Share Posted October 31, 2020 5 hours ago, Cfa said: It’s ironic, considering this is one of the lengthiest amounts of time between snowfalls for me personally, I haven’t seen snow since mid January, over 9 months ago. I saw snowflakes in May on the coast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted October 31, 2020 Share Posted October 31, 2020 Snow showers on Monday with the cold front ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternLI Posted October 31, 2020 Share Posted October 31, 2020 @bluewave That's very interesting about the PMM October pattern. I didn't even think to look at that for some reason. I remember we discussed that in the past. I found that particular pattern interesting when it was first showing up on ensembles. So I dug into some Nina years to look into it a little. I had some difficulty finding anything. Which I guess suggests the rarity of it. I see 1995 was brought up a few pages back. That was actually the closest match I could find. Albeit, it didn't happen until the end of the month that year. Therefore the composite for the month as a whole looks different. Interestingly, it's almost a mirror image of the PMM pattern composite you posted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lee59 Posted October 31, 2020 Share Posted October 31, 2020 Probably some kind of wind advisories will be issued for Monday. Should be an interesting day with snow showers also in the air. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted October 31, 2020 Share Posted October 31, 2020 1 hour ago, IrishRob17 said: 23 here...I can feel the love from @Rjay I initially put you in there but I figured you'd post it without me asking lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted October 31, 2020 Share Posted October 31, 2020 Under mostly sunny skies, the temperature rose into the middle 40s making for a perfect mid-autumn day. Three photos: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted October 31, 2020 Share Posted October 31, 2020 41 minutes ago, Rjay said: I initially put you in there but I figured you'd post it without me asking lol Is that a shot? It sounds like a shot. Speaking of shots... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted October 31, 2020 Share Posted October 31, 2020 35 minutes ago, IrishRob17 said: Is that a shot? It sounds like a shot. Speaking of shots... Not a shot lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted November 1, 2020 Share Posted November 1, 2020 Despite abundant sunshine, much of the region saw high temperatures reach no higher than the 40s. October 2020 had a monthly mean temperature of 57.9°, which was 1.0° above normal. Parts of New England experienced a historic October snowfall yesterday. Select seasonal snowfall totals through today are: Albany: 1.2" (2019-2020: 49.7") Boston: 4.3" (2019-2020: 15.8") Caribou: 1.5" (2019-2020: 151.9") November will commence on a cool note with the first week winding up cooler than normal. A surge of cold air could move into the region early next week. A prolonged period of above normal temperatures could develop latter part of the first week of November. The first half of the month will likely wind up at least somewhat warmer than normal and November should wind up somewhat warmer than normal overall (1° to 2° above normal). The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was -1.1°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -1.4°C for the week centered around October 21. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged -0.87°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -1.15°C. La Niña conditions will likely prevail at least into mid-winter. The SOI was +20.30. Today, the preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) figure was +1.209. On October 30 the MJO was in Phase 7 at an amplitude of 1.369 (RMM). The October 29-adjusted amplitude was 1.277. Since 1950, there have been five cases where a La Niña developed during June-July-August or afterward following an El Niño winter. 4/5 (80%) of those cases saw a predominant EPO+/AO+ winter pattern. The most recent such case was 2016-17. 9/10 (90%) of the La Niña winters that followed an El Niño winter featured a predominantly positive EPO. A predominant EPO+/AO+ pattern is likely for winter 2020-21. In response, it is likely that the Middle Atlantic and southern New England areas will see a warmer than normal winter with potentially below normal snowfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted November 1, 2020 Share Posted November 1, 2020 A record 11 consecutive warmer than average Octobers. Oct.......EWR...NYC...LGA 2020...+1.5...+1.0...+1.8 2019..+3.8...+3.0 ...+2.8 2018...+0.8...+0.8...+1.7 2017...+7.2...+7.2...+7.4 2016...+2.3...+1.9....+3.1 2015...+0.6...+1.1....+0.3 2014...+2.7...+2.7....+2.2 2013...+3.0....+3.3...+2.8 2012...+2.2....+1.1....+1.9 2011...+1.5...+0.2.....+0.2 2010...+1.7...+1.2....+2.1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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