Tropical connection NYC forum area Sun-Wed, 8/2-5/20- Tropical Storm Isaias

[lee59]

46mph. gust here

[wizard021]

I had a gust in Staten Island well over 60.

[Wxnyc]

Ok, just gusted to almost hurricane strength here in Brooklyn. 71 MPH

[NJwx85]

Special Marine Warning
ANZ335-345-355-375-041715-
/O.COR.KOKX.MA.W.0072.200804T1619Z-200804T1715Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Special Marine Warning
National Weather Service New York NY
1226 PM EDT Tue Aug 4 2020

The National Weather Service in Upton NY has issued a

* Special Marine Warning for...

  Sandy Hook NJ to Fire Island Inlet NY out 40 NM...

  Long Island Sound West of New Haven CT / Port Jefferson NY...

  Long Island South Shore Bays...

* Until 115 PM EDT.

* At 1225 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located 15 nm east of
  Shark River Reef, moving northwest at 50 knots.

  HAZARD...Wind gusts in excess of 50 knots.

  SOURCE...Radar indicated.

  IMPACT...Boats could suffer significant structural damage in high
           winds. Small craft could capsize in suddenly higher
           waves.

[eduggs]

1 minute ago, NJwx85 said:

I'm at work and without a gauge, but it's been pouring non stop for over an hour and radar estimates are well over an inch.

Based on the past 2 days off inter-model averages, I'd say it's a bit of an underperformer in the QPF department for much of the State.  NW areas have been consistently modeled in the 2-6" range.  It's not over yet.

[dmillz25]

Just gusted over 60 here

[sussexcountyobs]

4 minutes ago, Animal said:

I have barely an inch.

that shows over 2 inches in my area

As of 1 minute ago 1.91" in Cliffwood Lake

[snywx]

1 minute ago, eduggs said:

Based on the past 2 days off inter-model averages, I'd say it's a bit of an underperformer in the QPF department for much of the State.  NW areas have been consistently modeled in the 2-6" range.  It's not over yet.

Im already at 1.25" and the meat of it isn't even here yet. 

[weatherdude888]

Significant Power Issues on Staten Island...numerous outages being reported, power has dipped at least 10 times in the last hour, with only moderate winds and rain (located near the SI Mall, in New Springville)

[Animal]

1 minute ago, sussexcountyobs said:

As of 1 minute ago 1.91" in Cliffwood Lake

What are you using to measure rain with?

[NJwx85]

8 minutes ago, eduggs said:

Based on the past 2 days off inter-model averages, I'd say it's a bit of an underperformer in the QPF department for much of the State.  NW areas have been consistently modeled in the 2-6" range.  It's not over yet.

Outside of the UKMET, my area has been forecast for 1-2" since yesterday morning.

[eduggs]

1 minute ago, snywx said:

Im already at 1.25" and the meat of it isn't even here yet. 

You are pretty far NW - relatively speaking.

[NJwx85]

Just now, Animal said:

What are you using to measure rain with?

Serious question, does your rain gauge have a hole in the bottom of it or are you just trolling?

[Rtd208]

Is KDIX radar down?

[sussexcountyobs]

1 minute ago, Animal said:

What are you using to measure rain with?

It's my buddy's station. It's Canistear Reservoir Station on Wunderground

[psv88]

I am not liking what i am seeing south of here. Very concerned

[Allsnow]

1 minute ago, Rtd208 said:

Is KDIX radar down?

Yes 

[forkyfork]

no power for me

[Cfa]

Getting some gusts now, nothing major yet though. 78/76 with 0.01” from a brief shower.

Didn’t see any Tropical Storm Warnings posted on the LIE like with Fay (and every other TS), everything still COVID related. A lot of people seem oblivious to what’s about to happen.

[psv88]

Just now, Cfa said:

Getting some gusts now, nothing major yet though. 78/76 with 0.01” from a brief shower.

Didn’t see any Tropical Storm Warnings posted on the LIE like with Fay (and every other TS), everything still COVID related. A lot of people seem oblivious to what’s about to happen.

Those supercells south of the island are headed right towards us. ITs going to get ugly

[NJwx85]

2 minutes ago, forkyfork said:

no power for me

Everybody drink!

[Prue11]

2 minutes ago, psv88 said:

I am not liking what i am seeing south of here. Very concerned

Me either doesn’t look good

[SnowGoose69]

Tornado risk looks to be most central and eastern LI based on radar.  Nassau should  dry slot 

[eduggs]

3 minutes ago, NJwx85 said:

Outside of the UKMET, my area has been forecaste for 1-2" since yesterday morning.

I'm not calling model bust.  I'm saying that relative to where things stood 2 days ago, considering the tropical storm path, jet structure, PWATS, time of year, and atmospheric instability, I consider this an underperformance relative to potential.  This has not been a very big rain producer in most of NJ.

 

[MJO812]

10 minutes ago, Wxnyc said:

Ok, just gusted to almost hurricane strength here in Brooklyn. 71 MPH

There aren't any reports of winds over 70 up here

[lee59]

8 minutes ago, dmillz25 said:

Just gusted over 60 here

Do you have an anemometer?

[Allsnow]

Numerous trees and wires down around Metuchen. Police department advised everyone to stay home. 
 

I always knew this would be impactful 

[qg_omega]

Just now, SnowGoose69 said:

Tornado risk looks to be most central and eastern LI based on radar.  Nassau should  dry slot 

NYC got lucky they found a hole in the severe line 

[Prue11]

1 minute ago, SnowGoose69 said:

Tornado risk looks to be most central and eastern LI based on radar.  Nassau should  dry slot 

Headed straight towards me 

[NJwx85]

1 minute ago, eduggs said:

I'm not calling model bust.  I'm saying that relative to where things stood 2 days ago, considering the tropical storm path, jet structure, PWATS, time of year, and atmospheric instability, I consider this an underperformance relative to potential.  This has not been a very big rain producer in most of NJ.

 

I'll take 2-3" of rain and the wind over 6-8" rain and no wind.