NJwx85 Posted August 3, 2020 Share Posted August 3, 2020 4 minutes ago, White Gorilla said: A more potent PRE than modeled? It’s kind of falling apart now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prue11 Posted August 3, 2020 Share Posted August 3, 2020 5 minutes ago, LibertyBell said: yeah a 3ft surge wouldn't be something we want to see. is high tide around 8 PM tomorrow night on the south shore? 9ish Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted August 3, 2020 Share Posted August 3, 2020 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted August 3, 2020 Share Posted August 3, 2020 6 minutes ago, LibertyBell said: yeah a 3ft surge wouldn't be something we want to see. is high tide around 8 PM tomorrow night on the south shore? Jones Inlet is just before 9pm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LoboLeader1 Posted August 3, 2020 Share Posted August 3, 2020 Heard on the news that any power restoration required tomorrow afternoon/evening may take longer, due to the pandemic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tdp146 Posted August 3, 2020 Share Posted August 3, 2020 Just got an email from PSEG. If we really do get the severe wind impacts out here, regular people really are not aware. PSEG Long Island has been monitoring Isaias around the clock and our latest projections show that this storm has been escalating in strength and has the potential to cause a significant number of power outages. We now anticipate that this storm may be one of the strongest to reach Long Island in years and some outages could last for an extended period. The energy grid is much stronger now than it was just a few years ago, but we are prepared to respond to any outages safely and as quickly as possible with our own crews and additional utility crews that we are bringing in from off-island. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted August 3, 2020 Share Posted August 3, 2020 Pressure down to 989 mb at the buoy off South Carolina. https://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=41004 Atmospheric Pressure (PRES): 29.21 in AS OF 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...993 MB...29.33 INCHES Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted August 3, 2020 Share Posted August 3, 2020 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted August 3, 2020 Share Posted August 3, 2020 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BombsAway1288 Posted August 3, 2020 Share Posted August 3, 2020 11 minutes ago, tdp146 said: Just got an email from PSEG. If we really do get the severe wind impacts out here, regular people really are not aware. PSEG Long Island has been monitoring Isaias around the clock and our latest projections show that this storm has been escalating in strength and has the potential to cause a significant number of power outages. We now anticipate that this storm may be one of the strongest to reach Long Island in years and some outages could last for an extended period. The energy grid is much stronger now than it was just a few years ago, but we are prepared to respond to any outages safely and as quickly as possible with our own crews and additional utility crews that we are bringing in from off-island. I honestly don't get how there isn't more concern for the wind impact on LI, especially along the immediate south shore by most people/media outlets. Yes, those Euro/UK maps are waaaaay overdone but with the wind direction coming straight off the Atlantic thanks to the western track, LI could really get slammed here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
purduewx80 Posted August 3, 2020 Share Posted August 3, 2020 3 minutes ago, BombsAway1288 said: I honestly don't get how there isn't more concern for the wind impact on LI, especially along the immediate south shore by most people/media outlets. Yes, those Euro/UK maps are waaaaay overdone but with the wind direction coming straight off the Atlantic thanks to the western track, LI could really get slammed here. This is where the recent heat wave and warm SSTs come into play. Allows for steeper low level lapse rates to tap into the low level jet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted August 3, 2020 Share Posted August 3, 2020 2 minutes ago, BombsAway1288 said: I honestly don't get how there isn't more concern for the wind impact on LI, especially along the immediate south shore by most people/media outlets. Yes, those Euro/UK maps are waaaaay overdone but with the wind direction coming straight off the Atlantic thanks to the western track, LI could really get slammed here. That’s the main takeaway. This isn’t like most storms in the past were the strongest winds were from the NE or E. It’s going to be a straight onshore wind with minimal loss from land friction. I expect tree damage and power outages will be wide spread. The one saving grace is the fact that sandy took out so many large old trees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted August 3, 2020 Share Posted August 3, 2020 Brooklyn NY point and click forecast 2-4 inches of rain with 40-50 mph winds with gusts to 70. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted August 3, 2020 Share Posted August 3, 2020 Recon found 985 in the storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted August 3, 2020 Share Posted August 3, 2020 12 minutes ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said: That’s the main takeaway. This isn’t like most storms in the past were the strongest winds were from the NE or E. It’s going to be a straight onshore wind with minimal loss from land friction. I expect tree damage and power outages will be wide spread. The one saving grace is the fact that sandy took out so many large old trees. You don’t necessarily always mix down winds on S or SE flow. I suspect the event being during the day will help somewhat but we’ve seen plenty of events similar to this which underachieve somewhat Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted August 3, 2020 Share Posted August 3, 2020 1 hour ago, IrishRob17 said: My son is down near Georgetown SC, he had been underwhelmed but things may be picking up. His latest text, he’s no longer underwhelmed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BombsAway1288 Posted August 3, 2020 Share Posted August 3, 2020 11 minutes ago, purduewx80 said: This is where the recent heat wave and warm SSTs come into play. Allows for steeper low level lapse rates to tap into the low level jet. Thanks for bolstering my argument and teaching the knowledge you have that my brain couldn't muster up enough as an 18 y/o going into college. 11 minutes ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said: That’s the main takeaway. This isn’t like most storms in the past were the strongest winds were from the NE or E. It’s going to be a straight onshore wind with minimal loss from land friction. I expect tree damage and power outages will be wide spread. The one saving grace is the fact that sandy took out so many large old trees. Exactly. Good point about clear-out Sandy did. Certainly took out most of/all of the weaker tree's in my hometown in NE Bergen County when I was still living there. Never forget that storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
btcs31 Posted August 3, 2020 Share Posted August 3, 2020 1 hour ago, uofmiami said: Surprised it wasn't cancelled already, it will be later tonight most likely. Well I just needed to wait. Flight just cancelled. Guess it’s more than some windy rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
s_parr1092 Posted August 3, 2020 Share Posted August 3, 2020 His latest text, he’s no longer underwhelmed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tatamy Posted August 3, 2020 Share Posted August 3, 2020 BULLETIN Hurricane Isaias Intermediate Advisory Number 27A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL092020 800 PM EDT Mon Aug 03 2020 ...ISAIAS REGAINS HURRICANE STRENGTH AND IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL TONIGHT WITH DANGEROUS WINDS AND STORM SURGE... ...STRONG WINDS AND HEAVY RAINFALL LIKELY FROM THE EASTERN CAROLINAS TO THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST TONIGHT AND TUESDAY... SUMMARY OF 800 PM EDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...32.8N 79.0W ABOUT 60 MI...100 KM E OF CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA ABOUT 60 MI...100 KM S OF MYRTLE BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 15 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...988 MB...29.18 INCHES Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted August 4, 2020 Share Posted August 4, 2020 Jeez 18z Euro is insane with the wind gusts. 80+ for many on the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted August 4, 2020 Share Posted August 4, 2020 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Franklin0529 Posted August 4, 2020 Share Posted August 4, 2020 received_1698689880342183.mp4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Franklin0529 Posted August 4, 2020 Share Posted August 4, 2020 This is in toms river Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted August 4, 2020 Share Posted August 4, 2020 Just had lightning hit something near by. The thunder was very loud also Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted August 4, 2020 Share Posted August 4, 2020 Tornado threat increasing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlizzLuv Posted August 4, 2020 Share Posted August 4, 2020 heavy rain and thunder here a few minutes ago Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted August 4, 2020 Share Posted August 4, 2020 Raining here with lightning Brooklyn NY Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted August 4, 2020 Share Posted August 4, 2020 Tropical downpour with wind Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maureen Posted August 4, 2020 Share Posted August 4, 2020 Light show here in Carteret. Any other night I’d figure it was fireworks. Good luck to all, stay safe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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