• Member Statistics

    15,844
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    maley.chris78@gmail.com
    Newest Member
    [email protected]
    Joined
Dr. Dews

March 2020 disc/obs

Recommended Posts

2 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said:

It’s comin’

Ukie actually looks pretty threatening at D6....and yes, before the woe-is-me and heat mongers try and spin this post....it's still unlikely to happen.

 

But it is occuring in that 3/6-3/7 window which might be able to support something.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Seems like if that northern stream energy can interact in time with the southern stream energy as it's departing that would open the door for something...particularly NNE Is this how some of those December event's worked out? 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

12z Euro is interesting too at D6....we'll see if it takes it all the way this run...but there's some synoptic features that are lining up here

 

  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Here's what I'm talking about at day 6.....you can see a well-placed ridge out west....then we have a good 50/50 low...and finally two shortwaves diving into the mean trough over the east.

 

 

Feb28_12zEuro150.png

  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
1 hour ago, powderfreak said:

Full on lake effect blizzard in Vermont.

3,000ft at 10:45am was checking in with 26" storm total stack (not multiple measurements, a 26" stack).

Here's 1,500ft at the office.

83814299_493190198026842_708710785274924

Absolutely raked.Nice man that's awesome 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Mm...ridge in the west, unlike pretty much ever since early December, is actually depicted in a good longitude ( axis ) centered on D6 ...check.

What I don't like is the impulse in the south that offers the seed/enticer for the stream interaction/phase ... it appears too concerved given the heights along the Gulf/continental interface latitudes leading (D's 4/5)... It seems that would be absorbed a bit more.

  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Verbatim, Euro misses this run, but synoptically there is actually a reason to keep an eye on this one.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

EPS looks better. Don't do it Scooter.

Maybe.....

 

Feb28_12zEPS156.png

  • Thanks 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
9 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

EPS looks better. Don't do it Scooter.

How's it look compared to 2012?

  • Haha 2
  • Weenie 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
3 hours ago, powderfreak said:

Set blasters on turbo... it is just choking dendrites all the sudden in town.

Wonder if I can clear 10” at home from this event.  8.4” so far and leaving for work.  Will find out later this evening. 

813FD3FD-D605-4F7C-ABF7-FA91E39C5ADB.thumb.jpeg.fbfa029aaa0625b61ff04cb2e13ee611.jpeg

Reminds me of th

 

2 hours ago, powderfreak said:

Full on lake effect blizzard in Vermont.

3,000ft at 10:45am was checking in with 26" storm total stack (not multiple measurements, a 26" stack).

Here's 1,500ft at the office.

83814299_493190198026842_708710785274924

Reminds me of the upslope I chased the winter before moving up there.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
4 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

It’s like 2012 just 20C cooler with a chance of frozen precip. 

Lol...oh ya Exactly like it.    I won't be here to witness it..but hope it works out just the same.  

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
36 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

EPS looks better. Don't do it Scooter.

I mean in a sense, we are kind of due right? I’d you swing enough times eventually you’ll make contact.

Like Will said, there seems to be two marginal windows, and after that, it may be close the shades for good.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
1 hour ago, ORH_wxman said:

Verbatim, Euro misses this run, but synoptically there is actually a reason to keep an eye on this one.

I don’t dislike the look at 500mb...

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
8 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

Is there another window on the 10-11 of March that looks more favorable too?

EPS are less enthused on that one...the GEFS and GEPS like it a lot more...we'll see if it trends colder...still over 10 days out. That one would not be a coastal type setup like 3/6-7....it would be more of an overrunning look as presently modeled.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
14 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

The look definitely works for a brief time

Yes...bingo!  Ephemeral indeed ... 

I'm not sure what the EPS tele 's look like, but the American don't really support anything other than a big warm up erupting in the first 10 days of March.  

      ( not that anyone asked, but we flip the clocks in 9 days ... I'd be tickled pink if I piled out of work that Monday, with a 75 on the car dash, windows down, and the sun still 3 hours up on the horizon ) 

Anyway, the term 'hale Mary' leaps to mind, like a last gasp attempt to save a little exit face - ... 

I dunno, but March is a long month... and we really have to get to Easter to really close the books around here. Some years, ...heh, like this one, the book is slammed shut out of rage way before then but, objectively... we could put up a week at 70 F and still white out on the 22nd of March... before melting it all off the next week. This March is about bi-polar swings of tormented loss and real hope. haha

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
1 hour ago, eyewall said:

Reminds me of th

 

Reminds me of the upslope I chased the winter before moving up there.

It's waist deep on the level.  I'm getting consistent 24-30" measurements.

89017087_10104056186801000_6301784253885

  • Like 7

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Just now, powderfreak said:

It's waist deep on the level.  I'm getting consistent 24-30" measurements.

89017087_10104056186801000_6301784253885

Pics courtesy of the March time machine? ;)

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
3 hours ago, powderfreak said:

Full on lake effect blizzard in Vermont.

3,000ft at 10:45am was checking in with 26" storm total stack (not multiple measurements, a 26" stack).

Here's 1,500ft at the office.

83814299_493190198026842_708710785274924

congrats, you finally scored a big one

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

Loading...

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    No registered users viewing this page.