CoastalWx Posted January 3, 2020 Share Posted January 3, 2020 NAM is abysmal Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted January 3, 2020 Share Posted January 3, 2020 Just now, CoastalWx said: NAM is abysmal It's beautiful. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 3, 2020 Share Posted January 3, 2020 I’m ‘85... March ‘93 is my first real weather memory. I remember going to a blizzard party next door where we could play Nintendo while it dumped. As a kid, walking through blizzard conditions for 100 yards down a quiet suburban street was like an epic migration and worthy of a memory. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted January 3, 2020 Share Posted January 3, 2020 I'm sitting at 6.5". A+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 3, 2020 Share Posted January 3, 2020 is anyone else having excessive slowness with Tropical Tidbits on phones? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 3, 2020 Share Posted January 3, 2020 140 kts over a broad swath entrance/exiting leaving the MA out ahead of that sharp trough... which is actually associated with the previous wave. Truly extraordinary wind velocities over that region and that orientation @ 500mb. No wonder this thing ended up a flat dud. Can’t roll out ridging ahead of a trough when you got that kind of fire hose grading everything down. This follow up wave never had any chance of breaking I think the euro saw those extraordinary wind velocity’s and assumed that they were incorrect and tried to smooth those out and that’s why it ended up with it’s previous deeper lie Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 3, 2020 Share Posted January 3, 2020 19 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: is anyone else having excessive slowness with Tropical Tidbits on phones? It’s always slow to load but tonight is nothing excessive or different imo. Maybe clear your porn browsing history? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 3, 2020 Share Posted January 3, 2020 4 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: 140 kts over a broad swath entrance/exiting leaving the MA out ahead of that sharp trough... which is actually associated with the previous wave. Truly extraordinary wind velocities over that region and that orientation @ 500mb. No wonder this thing ended up a flat dud. Can’t roll out bridging ahead of a trough when you got that kind of fire hose grading everything down. This follow up wave never had any chance of breaking I think the euro saw those extraordinary wind velocity’s and assumed that they were incorrect and tried to smooth those out and that’s why it ended up with it’s previous deeper lie Euro had a closed 5H that's all Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 3, 2020 Share Posted January 3, 2020 3 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Euro had a closed 5H that's all Yeah but the closure should not have been closed ....couldn’t close under the circumstances… And it was also why it lead to more of an impactful looking system was because it had that closure so it compounded its own error .... assuming it does error I mean there’s still a chance It could come back I suppose but I doubt it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 3, 2020 Share Posted January 3, 2020 4 hours ago, dryslot said: Looks like the meteo site goes out to hr72 now on there accumulation map Big change at 00z for Reggie. Holding on for dear life up here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted January 3, 2020 Share Posted January 3, 2020 Me thinks St. Nick is going to get crushed. I’m riding the line. Need the storm to come together sooner. Right now it doesn’t fire on all cylinders until it reaches Newfoundland. Still some time to fine tune. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted January 3, 2020 Share Posted January 3, 2020 She gone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 3, 2020 Share Posted January 3, 2020 9 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Big change at 00z for Reggie. Holding on for dear life up here. I love NE Mass going from like a foot of snow to An inch of slop in 6 hours Stick a fork in this threat, it is DONE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted January 3, 2020 Share Posted January 3, 2020 In this type of 80's winter, you have to salvage and stretch out the coating-1" amounts. Could it be one of the best snow events of the new year? Not a bad storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted January 3, 2020 Share Posted January 3, 2020 6 minutes ago, Dr. Dews said: In this type of 80's winter, you have to salvage and stretch out the coating-1" amounts. Could it be one of the best snow events of the new year? Not a bad storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted January 3, 2020 Share Posted January 3, 2020 8 minutes ago, Dr. Dews said: In this type of 80's winter, you have to salvage and stretch out the coating-1" amounts. Could it be one of the best snow events of the new year? Not a bad storm. you already got a 15-20" storm plus a few light events Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted January 3, 2020 Share Posted January 3, 2020 3 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said: you already got a 15-20" storm plus a few light events Hopefully NE Massachusetts gets 60-80" of additional snow this season with snowcover until April. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted January 3, 2020 Share Posted January 3, 2020 12 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said: you already got a 15-20" storm plus a few light events yeah, it hasn't been a shutout. However a shutout is very rare, even in the 80's there were a few moments like 82-83? Or 86-87? I forget specifically but, decent winters Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted January 3, 2020 Share Posted January 3, 2020 April 6, 1982, very cold blizzard for NYC and environs. February 1983 blizzard. I lived in NYC at the time and remember heavy wet snow with lots of thunder and lightning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 3, 2020 Share Posted January 3, 2020 @N. OF PIKE Nice job with this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 3, 2020 Share Posted January 3, 2020 19 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: @N. OF PIKE Nice job with this one. thanks but it wasn't apparent to me this was a dud until this morning. i was simply not buying the Euro handling 5H that much different than every other model at 66 hours out Everyone knows the rules with a ULL opening up like a tomato can on approach Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 3, 2020 Share Posted January 3, 2020 Glad I never took the bait. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 3, 2020 Share Posted January 3, 2020 4 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: thanks but it wasn't apparent to me this was a dud until this morning. i was simply not buying the Euro handling 5H that much different than every other model at 66 hours out Everyone knows the rules with a ULL opening up like a tomato can on approach Yea, an attenuating system on approach and a dearth of PNA ridging never engendered much confidence. Dud all of the way with me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 3, 2020 Share Posted January 3, 2020 This is what happens when you start threads too early. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 3, 2020 Share Posted January 3, 2020 4 hours ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Glad I never took the bait. I woke up yesterday to see the Euro showing a nice storm and then I woke up today showing a mess. Stupid pacific ruining everything Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 3, 2020 Share Posted January 3, 2020 I mean I don’t hate that EURO look. 0.55” QPF as snow for MVL. Gotta start making up some ground on climo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 3, 2020 Share Posted January 3, 2020 Really good consensus this morning now between ECM/GFS/GGEM/ICON. They all show remarkably similar outcomes. Still time for it to go to shit though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 3, 2020 Share Posted January 3, 2020 1 minute ago, powderfreak said: Really good consensus this morning now between ECM/GFS/GGEM/ICON. They all show remarkably similar outcomes. Still time for it to go to shit though. I’m heading up to BTV next week-I’m counting on you to keep the wintry appeal going. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 3, 2020 Share Posted January 3, 2020 30 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Really good consensus this morning now between ECM/GFS/GGEM/ICON. They all show remarkably similar outcomes. Still time for it to go to shit though. Nam 3k was not bad too if you keep this in perspective, It’s a 2-4” event with some seeing another 1-2” more right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 3, 2020 Share Posted January 3, 2020 6 minutes ago, dryslot said: Nam 3k was not bad too if you keep this in perspective, It’s a 2-4” event with some seeing another 1-2” more right now. Yeah I’ve got 2-5” for the Mtn right now. I think ratios could be lower with mild-ish boundary layer so those 10:1 maps might be a bit high. Take 8:1 or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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