HIPPYVALLEY Posted August 31, 2019 Share Posted August 31, 2019 27 minutes ago, Snow88 said: 0z tropical models have shifted more east Which 0z are already out? Paid sites I assume? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#NoPoles Posted August 31, 2019 Share Posted August 31, 2019 When I was on Parris Island, we had TS conditions that shut down training for 1 day but we didnt have to evac. I bet they are trying to decide if they need to pack up all the recruits and move them inland. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted August 31, 2019 Share Posted August 31, 2019 17 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: Which 0z are already out? Paid sites I assume? early 0Z models.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted August 31, 2019 Share Posted August 31, 2019 This east shift isn't really new. Looking back over previous cycles the models really began that trend a while ago. That said I would certainly hope no one's thinking they're out of the woods on this thing down there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted August 31, 2019 Share Posted August 31, 2019 Heh. That's not demonstrative really. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted August 31, 2019 Share Posted August 31, 2019 8 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: This east shift isn't really new. Looking back over previous cycles the models really began that trend a while ago. That said I would certainly hope no one's thinking they're out of the woods on this thing down there. What's good for Florida may be hell for the Carolina's. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted August 31, 2019 Share Posted August 31, 2019 It's still progged as a CAT 2 in NE FL on Wednesday evening. Very slow moving. If that high to our north is slow to move out later in the week, this could come closer to us as it deteriorates in cooler waters. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted August 31, 2019 Share Posted August 31, 2019 1 hour ago, Bostonseminole said: early 0Z models.. What the link to that one?? All my stuff got deleted.. I use tropical tidbits for now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted August 31, 2019 Share Posted August 31, 2019 Beast mode Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted August 31, 2019 Share Posted August 31, 2019 10 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: Beast mode Yes sir, he has been in beast mode since around 5:00 pm EDT yesterday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted August 31, 2019 Share Posted August 31, 2019 Sunrise approaching Dorian this morning, the hurricane should be visible completely by another half hour to an hour. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted August 31, 2019 Share Posted August 31, 2019 Fishy fishy? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
w1pf Posted August 31, 2019 Share Posted August 31, 2019 Interesting watching this as a new englander moving to florida. The IMBY-bullseye-turned-fish-storm is a familiar winter feeling.. How I feel about the storms is quite different, though. Two feet of snow? No big deal. 90MPH winds and 8 inches of rain? No thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted August 31, 2019 Share Posted August 31, 2019 Looks pretty solid for an Atlantic Canada landfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted August 31, 2019 Share Posted August 31, 2019 1 hour ago, OSUmetstud said: Looks pretty solid for an Atlantic Canada landfall. What a hoot if this went from being a likely FL landfall to Newfoundland one instead. Just a minor miss. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted August 31, 2019 Share Posted August 31, 2019 141 kts unflagged surface wind. Cat 5 at 11? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan Posted August 31, 2019 Share Posted August 31, 2019 sitting here on the side of the FL Turnpike in FT Pierce work in on storm prep and the trends while encouraging do not change the fact I am still in line for a possible direct hit. The next 24hrs of model runs are crucial here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted August 31, 2019 Author Share Posted August 31, 2019 3 hours ago, moneypitmike said: What a hoot if this went from being a likely FL landfall to Newfoundland one instead. Just a minor miss. Depends who you asked. I was laughed at in the main thread with scrape/ OTS call on Thursday. ;( Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted August 31, 2019 Author Share Posted August 31, 2019 Could it make LF ? Sure, it's razor close. Most likely outcome? Nah Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted August 31, 2019 Share Posted August 31, 2019 1 hour ago, Dr. Dews said: Depends who you asked. I was laughed at in the main thread with scrape/ OTS call on Thursday. ;( Where is the post? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted August 31, 2019 Author Share Posted August 31, 2019 5 minutes ago, OSUmetstud said: Where is the post? I forget and too many pages to sift through. We'll see what happens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted August 31, 2019 Share Posted August 31, 2019 7 minutes ago, Dr. Dews said: I forget and too many pages to sift through. We'll see what happens. You can easily find the post on your profile page. Would take you a couple of minutes at most. Where's the post???? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted August 31, 2019 Share Posted August 31, 2019 The 12z hurricane models, HWRF and HMON, have definitely trended back to the west and south. And the interim 6z run of the Euro has also. In fact the HMON now has a landfall just north of FL in Brunswick, GA and hugging the coast right up to Savannah. Be interesting to see the 12z Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted August 31, 2019 Share Posted August 31, 2019 Does anyone know when Levi updates his Tropical Tidbits discussion? With the track steadily inching eastward, I'm becoming mildly interested. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted August 31, 2019 Author Share Posted August 31, 2019 Just now, 78Blizzard said: The 12z hurricane models, HWRF and HMON, have definitely trended back to the west and south. And the interim 6z run of the Euro has also. In fact the HMON now has a landfall just north of FL in Brunswick, GA and hugging the coast right up to Savannah. Be interesting to see the 12z Euro. "Trend" is not necessarily true, though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
w1pf Posted August 31, 2019 Share Posted August 31, 2019 A friend went to our house about noon, closed up the storm shutters and moved everything loose indoors. He said about 3/4 of the houses in the community either had their shutters closed/boards up, or were working on it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowderBeard Posted August 31, 2019 Share Posted August 31, 2019 Surprised no one has started wishcasting/discussing a Floyd-like track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted August 31, 2019 Share Posted August 31, 2019 1 minute ago, PowderBeard said: Surprised no one has started wishcasting/discussing a Floyd-like track. Meh everything is out to sea for up here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cyclone-68 Posted August 31, 2019 Share Posted August 31, 2019 NWS already mentioning a possible “PRE” up here midweek Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted August 31, 2019 Share Posted August 31, 2019 8 minutes ago, Cyclone-68 said: NWS already mentioning a possible “PRE” up here midweek Yup saw that with flooding rain Monday beforehand.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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