aldie 22 Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 11 minutes ago, Hank Scorpio said: Here's the relevant 6 hour map from LWX. It also has 0.01" - 0.10" in Winchester for the following 6 hour period. why insult us by putting a big fat 0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 3 minutes ago, leesburg 04 said: why insult us by putting a big fat 0 It jackpots north of 70. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snjókoma Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 6 minutes ago, nj2va said: It jackpots north of 70. nah, just harford county. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 NAM coming in considerably colder so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Nam with a decent shift south. Edit: ninj'ed by nj2va Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowmagnet Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 50 minutes ago, Hank Scorpio said: Here's the relevant 6 hour map from LWX. It also has 0.01" - 0.10" in Winchester for the following 6 hour period. Is there any ice or snow earlier on Saturday? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 NAM 3k following suit also Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Do we know what the heck is going on here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Just now, Ji said: Do we know what the heck is going on here Yeah. NAM made a sizeable jump south and east. You could see it early on at H5. Meh..NAM and all Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 3 minutes ago, Ji said: Do we know what the heck is going on here 3k is a shallacking for the northern burbs EDIT: atleast for a few hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 LMAO! at the NAM's......OMG Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jac_not_in_dc Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Not believing any jump south/east until it shows up on ICON. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 12 more shifts like that and we are in business Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 10 minutes ago, Chris78 said: Nam with a decent shift south. Edit: ninj'ed by nj2va High impact event for 81, northern crew, and mountains. Will be interesting to see if rest of 00z suit follows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 5 minutes ago, Ji said: Do we know what the heck is going on here Ha this is like that one run that gave us 20 inches of snow the last storm and then cut it in half the next run never to be seen again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 The NAM is right. Obviously. How can you doubt it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 1 minute ago, osfan24 said: Ha this is like that one run that gave us 20 inches of snow the last storm and then cut it in half the next run never to be seen again. Comes naturally to you doesn't it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cae Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 12 minutes ago, Ji said: Do we know what the heck is going on here Includes sleet. The NAM came south, but Kuchera paints a more realistic picture. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 3k ferrier snow map Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
high risk Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 a friendly reminder that when the NAM accumulated snow depth and Ferrier (from the nest) maps show much less than the 10:1 "snow" accumulation map, then the model is not predicting the snowfest that you think it is..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
notvirga! Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Even if it's half right, it's as much snow as I got last weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 3k is all frozen for Garrett. Thump of heavy snow then sleet/freezing rain then back to snow. I really hope its right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 ICON should have a nice thump as well for the Northern and western crowd. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 20 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Yeah. NAM made a sizeable jump south and east. You could see it early on at H5. Meh..NAM and all It's in its wheelhouse (weenie rule #5723 section b clause 4) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 I'm gonna repeat...in complicated set ups go with the dumbest model...it cant overthink it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Just now, leesburg 04 said: I'm gonna repeat...in complicated set ups go with the dumbest model...it cant overthink it JMA it is Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 11 minutes ago, high risk said: a friendly reminder that when the NAM accumulated snow depth and Ferrier (from the nest) maps show much less than the 10:1 "snow" accumulation map, then the model is not predicting the snowfest that you think it is..... Sanity check, 2.5 hrs of snow isn't going to give you 6-10" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 NAM ICON RGEM all have the same trend, lower heights out ahead of the storm and a further southeast track. Seems like all of our trends are a day late and a buck short. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 18, 2019 Author Share Posted January 18, 2019 25 minutes ago, high risk said: a friendly reminder that when the NAM accumulated snow depth and Ferrier (from the nest) maps show much less than the 10:1 "snow" accumulation map, then the model is not predicting the snowfest that you think it is..... What's really off is the midlevels aren't even marginal. Not even close to a sleet sounding either but the snowmaps pile it up hour after hour. TT is using the JB algorithm tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Nice to see the RGEM continue the 00z trend. Getting excited for McHenry this weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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