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MLK Weekend Event - Making Lemonade Out of Lemons


Bob Chill
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58 minutes ago, mattskiva said:

Had plans to go to Canaan, really hard call on what it's going to be like up there.  They've gotten rain from a bunch of storms in Dec but above 3,000 feet there might be enough cold for this not to be a total disaster.  I like the 2-8 inch forecast...  reallly you could almost say 0-12" because it could easily bust high or low up there.

 

Yeah we're hosting some friends at our place in McHenry this weekend...we had plans to ski this weekend but will probably go on Sunday since it'll flip back to snow on overnight into Sunday in Deep Creek.  The mountains won't stay frozen the whole time...I expect a period of rain especially for the highest elevations in WV.  CAD doesn't hold on long at the highest elevations in these setups when we have an inland runner with a strong WAA push.  We'll flip to rain Saturday night if I had to guess.

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11 minutes ago, high risk said:

a friendly reminder that when the NAM accumulated snow depth and Ferrier (from the nest) maps show much less than the 10:1 "snow" accumulation map, then the model is not predicting the snowfest that you think it is.....

Sanity check, 2.5 hrs of snow isn't going to give you 6-10"

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25 minutes ago, high risk said:

a friendly reminder that when the NAM accumulated snow depth and Ferrier (from the nest) maps show much less than the 10:1 "snow" accumulation map, then the model is not predicting the snowfest that you think it is.....

What's really off is the midlevels aren't even marginal. Not even close to a sleet sounding either but the snowmaps pile it up hour after hour. TT is using the JB algorithm tonight. 

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