STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 1 minute ago, dryslot said: And your already seeing signs on where they will be coming from, Last nights run were not the best i will agree, But i remain reserved at this lead time, That cold is not getting eroded here like some modeling tries to do, May pelt more after snow, But we will see. You remain reserved because you are in NNE , LMAO, not the pike area Scooter has been more vocal than usual , that speaks volumes if you have been on this board years , most don’t wanna hear it . im making plans to head to VT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 20 minutes ago, weathafella said: Some early morning melting.....or shall I say drip drip into the freezer until 12z. Let's get Friday to trend towards paltry, strung out mess and amp SUnday and then the bridge jumping starts in earnest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 6z fv3 did get a tick colder Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 Just now, STILL N OF PIKE said: You remain reserved because you are in NNE , LMAO, not the pike area Scooter has been more vocal than usual , that speaks volumes if you have been on this board years , most don’t wanna hear it . im making plans to head to VT Bring your plow truck, my snowblower is still down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 2 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Didn’t believe I would go the gilfs but man there are a handful 46-51 that are just wow- usually former gymnast or just regular gym goers that have good genetics Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
512high Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 Just now, moneypitmike said: classic...some big guns Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 1 minute ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: You remain reserved because you are in NNE , LMAO, not the pike area Scooter has been more vocal than usual , that speaks volumes if you have been on this board years , most don’t wanna hear it . im making plans to head to VT How many days are we out again? Its been mentioned over and over again that some areas were going to be problematic in this setup, I don't see where any of that has changed or may change, But if you want to buy these runs verbatim to what there printing out to be end result, Have at it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 For the record I’m not 100% calling for rains to Maine’s like a certain person assumes. All I am saying is that I think the risk is for something like the euro op. It’s a risk....not a definite. 5 or so days out is still an eternity with this. Gonna take 2-3 days to sort it out. In addition to the two pieces of energy in the Plains, look in the Atlantic. There will be a closed ULL forming east of Bermuda. That also could put the squeeze play on ridging ahead of the digging energy in the Midwest and East. Although I do think the main issue is how the euro basically phases these two pieces of energy in the Deep South and the gfs clearly does not at the same time. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 I’m paying to wpc and gyx and I think it’s majority snow up here. I think the rain sleet and snow lines will level off at 12z and then trend back south. Potent arctic blast Thursday and a decent moderate storm passing by Friday are the reasons, also the tendencies of models to do this and then revert toward earlier solutions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 4 minutes ago, dryslot said: How many days are we out again? Its been mentioned over and over again that some areas were going to be problematic in this setup, I don't see where any of that has changed or may change, But if you want to buy these runs verbatim to what there printing out to be end result, Have at it. Now, now. I know you want your 6 incher Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 With insane snows not in the cards, I'll be satisfied if I can stay in some sort of non-rain situation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: For the record I’m not 100% calling for rains to Maine’s like a certain person assumes. All I am saying is that I think the risk is for something like the euro op. It’s a risk....not a definite. 5 or so days out is still an eternity with this. Gonna take 2-3 days to sort it out. In addition to the two pieces of energy in the Plains, look in the Atlantic. There will be a closed ULL forming east of Bermuda. That also could put the squeeze play on ridging ahead of the digging energy in the Midwest and East. Although I do think the main issue is how the euro basically phases these two pieces of energy in the Deep South and the gfs clearly does not at the same time. Scooter to further bring people to reality what are your thoughts on snowfall amounts from Friday for SNE. It’s ok...they need to kno. It’s very marginal and looks to go to rain baring a stronger secondary that doesn’t track over Boston. looks like another Berks to S VT to MHT and Maine deal on GFS. Not locked in but probably favored . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 6 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Now, now. I know you want your 6 incher May finally end up on the right side of the gradient for this one, Have fun at Stowe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 16 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: Let's get Friday to trend towards paltry, strung out mess and amp SUnday and then the bridge jumping starts in earnest. The stronger Thursday night is, the more SE Sunday is Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 Just amazing, it's been two months since I've had a measurable snowfall and there's nothing on the horizon. Yet living in NJ that's not unheard of versus good ole Boston. As of Jan 15 this is easily in my top 5 most awful winters, it's been like a colder, wetter version of 11/12. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 2 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: Just amazing, it's been two months since I've had a measurable snowfall and there's nothing on the horizon. Yet living in NJ that's not unheard of versus good ole Boston. As of Jan 15 this is easily in my top 5 most awful winters, it's been like a colder, wetter version of 11/12. On the upside, the frequency of our rainstorms has dropped from every 3 days to only once a week. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCweatherNOW Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 5 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: Just amazing, it's been two months since I've had a measurable snowfall and there's nothing on the horizon. Yet living in NJ that's not unheard of versus good ole Boston. As of Jan 15 this is easily in my top 5 most awful winters, it's been like a colder, wetter version of 11/12. Ummm u have snow coming Thursday night and Sunday night 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 45 minutes ago, weathafella said: Some early morning melting.....or shall I say drip drip into the freezer until 12z. Yeah a few good ones. Amazing when its 5 days out....lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCweatherNOW Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 Just now, ORH_wxman said: Yeah a few good ones. Amazing when its 5 days out....lol. Any word on the 06z eps run? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 10 minutes ago, NYCweatherNOW said: Any word on the 06z eps run? Only out to 72 right now 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 EPS coming in a touch flatter at 96h. Difference is PV up north isn't trying to stretch SW as much. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 Just now, ORH_wxman said: EPS coming in a touch flatter at 96h. Difference is PV up north isn't trying to stretch SW as much. Big key. Need the PV to stay above and not stretch to the SW into the base of the trough as much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Graupler Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 Not too sure what to make of the models but I think we should keep an eye to New England, especially on this forum 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Big key. Need the PV to stay above and not stretch to the SW into the base of the trough as much. It's not a big shift, but it probably matters once we get down to details. Obviously we're far enough out right now that any one of these shifts can just get erased in one run. The primary in W KY/W TN is actually a bit stronger this run, but the heights out ahead of it are lower because of the PV orientation...they are two opposing forces. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 The primary is actually a bit wets of the 00z EPS by 126 hours, but the CAD is stronger. This is a plausible trend too...where you see the upper levels getting amped but the low levels start showing up colder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: It's not a big shift, but it probably matters once we get down to details. Obviously we're far enough out right now that any one of these shifts can just get erased in one run. The primary in W KY/W TN is actually a bit stronger this run, but the heights out ahead of it are lower because of the PV orientation...they are two opposing forces. Primary has been trending stronger, unfortunately. This has the makings of a swfe. Thump, ice, rain with a cold tuck light snow at the end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 53 minutes ago, dendrite said: Under on 20:1. Lol I never checked that post I meant approaching 20 inches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 38 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Scooter to further bring people to reality what are your thoughts on snowfall amounts from Friday for SNE. It’s ok...they need to kno. It’s very marginal and looks to go to rain baring a stronger secondary that doesn’t track over Boston. looks like another Berks to S VT to MHT and Maine deal on GFS. Not locked in but probably favored . I could see a nice 2-4 deal just inland from BOS. Maybe 1-2 for city? Decent airmass ahead of iT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 Wrong thread for Thursday nights snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BombsAway1288 Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 9 minutes ago, The Graupler said: Not too sure what to make of the models but I think we should keep an eye to New England, especially on this forum Did someone hack this account? I remember you being nothing but pessimistic/trolling us the last two winters. What happened? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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