Greg Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 Secondary pulse comes right on its heals Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 Front end snow thump, back end snow thump. Something other than snow in the middle. End result works. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 That’s how I saw it too. But again man, playing with Fire. Lose any confluence and over the fanny it goes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Except it wants to anafront it now at 144 lol. anafraud 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: GFS still trying the anafront crap too...a few inches of 10F powder on top of pellets. That’s solidly 3-6 in the anafrontal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 Further east with the anafrontal stuff with that follow up wave. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 Just now, CoastalWx said: That’s how I saw it too. But again man, playing with Fire. Lost any confluence and over the funny it goes. How many times can you play with fire and eventually not get burned? Something is going to break right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 At hour 132 the GFS has a temp of 8F at LCI and 50F at TAN. What a gradient. 2F at LEW and 30F at PWM. Wow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 MLK day deeply cold with snow otg. We take. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 Anafrontal just sounds bad out loud. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greg Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 GFS still being the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 not sure i believe those surface temps 129-135 for most of the 128/495 corridor.. I think we stay colder at the surface Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 Just now, Bostonseminole said: not sure i believe those surface temps 129-135 for most of the 128/495 corridor.. I think we stay colder at the surface Classic gfs crap. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: How many times can you play with fire and eventually not get burned? Something is going to break right. You would think the odds would dictate that. When you’re on the edge in a no blocking pattern and two s/w’s in the Plains that want to mate, usually wagons north. We’ll see. Not always given that PV. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 1 minute ago, weathafella said: MLK day deeply cold with snow otg. We take. This is why ice would be bad, snow/sleet only please....I would prefer to have power on Monday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: How many times can you play with fire and eventually not get burned? Something is going to break right. The difference between you and Coastalwx in this event...might as well be in a different state. You're new spot on the NH border will be huge comparatively speaking. Your optimism vs his skepticism seems easily identified by location. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 Gfs has mid day temperatures near 10 Monday in the pike region to the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 IT's because the GFS always has too broad of an area of low pressure running into CAD....you will typically see the sfc isobars protrude out to the E and NE over SE areas when running into an arctic airmass but the GFS doesn't like to do that as much, so it torches back to ORH or even a little more quite frequently when in reality, even a place like BOS might have trouble warming much at all. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 Just now, weathafella said: Classic gfs crap. yeah.. cutter odds seems to be diminishing but need to see the EURO .. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 GFS and Canadian look pretty good for the deep interior. Again, I'll start psyching up if we are still holding serve Thursday morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JBinStoughton Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 1 minute ago, weathafella said: Gfs has mid day temperatures near 10 Monday in the pike region to the coast. Rock solid slush? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 12z Tuesday -8 BOS on Gfs. Sell. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 1 minute ago, powderfreak said: The difference between you and Coastalwx in this event...might as well be in a different state. You're new spot on the NH border will be huge comparatively speaking. Your optimism vs his skepticism seems easily identified by location. Yeah he's def in a worse spot than Ray by a lot in this event....but I can easily see this pulling a '94 with that high position where it's no chance of warming the sfc past PYM or something. But who knows...there is def a chance we could get something a lot worse...esp for SE areas. Still 5-5.5 days out. This is barely even inside of clown range...that's how long we've been tracking it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 Just now, ORH_wxman said: IT's because the GFS always has too broad of an area of low pressure running into CAD....you will typically see the sfc isobars protrude out to the E and NE over SE areas when running into an arctic airmass but the GFS doesn't like to do that as much, so it torches back to ORH or even a little more quite frequently when in reality, even a place like BOS might have trouble warming much at all. The fact that it almost has a tuck is a red flag. Might get a weak reflection running along the canal or something and the cold oozes down from PSM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 3 minutes ago, powderfreak said: The difference between you and Coastalwx in this event...might as well be in a different state. You're new spot on the NH border will be huge comparatively speaking. Yea, but I mean...I don't argue with any of his assertions...all 100% correct. We are just hedging differently. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: IT's because the GFS always has too broad of an area of low pressure running into CAD....you will typically see the sfc isobars protrude out to the E and NE over SE areas when running into an arctic airmass but the GFS doesn't like to do that as much, so it torches back to ORH or even a little more quite frequently when in reality, even a place like BOS might have trouble warming much at all. I was really scratching my head why the GFS p-type progs are mainly rain vs snow. Very little freezing rain and no sleet... makes no sense in this set up that there isn't a huge area of mixed precip. This isn't a rain vs snow type thing with that low level cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 1 minute ago, weathafella said: 12z Tuesday -8 BOS on Gfs. Sell. man, looks cold after the storm.. ICON showed similar cold Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 Biggest change in both of the warm up bands is the energy being held back, this trend is subtle but something to watch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 Just now, powderfreak said: I was really scratching my head why the GFS p-type progs are mainly rain vs snow. Very little freezing rain and no sleet... makes no sense in this set up that there isn't a huge area of mixed precip. This isn't a rain vs snow type thing with that low level cold. Those are such garbage. GFS can't get out of its own way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 Just now, CT Rain said: Those are such garbage. GFS can't get out of its own way. The Euro on the other hand has been showing large areas of IP/ZR on its p-type progs. Pretty evident which is the superior model on stuff like that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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