Damage In Tolland Posted November 24, 2018 Share Posted November 24, 2018 6 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Coldest 2 week Nov period ever, highly anomalous. Never seen by anyone alive. I suspect you worry way way too much. Take Wills advice Not worried .. just concerned we POTENTIALLY are losing Dec Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted November 24, 2018 Share Posted November 24, 2018 4 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Did you sleep through last March. March is half winter, like the 12 to 20 inches we had . Winter climo for the non coast from Pike South excluding the Berks in NW CT is a Dec 15th to March 15 th. Whoosh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 24, 2018 Share Posted November 24, 2018 25 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: To your point, the normal accumulation in the first 15 days of March > than the accumulation in the first 15 days of December at BOS (same at BDL and ORH). 850 ave in ALB concurs, using -5 for a solid winter air mass made a crude map Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted November 24, 2018 Share Posted November 24, 2018 A few confused folks in here today. The Angst is palpable! We’re back to climo now...which is the way it’s supposed to be...not the ridiculous fantasies of some. I wouldnt write off December on 11/24 lol...as fast as it(the long range) changed from good to not so good, it can change back again. Step back from the ledge.... long range modeling has been substantially less than stellar of late. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted November 24, 2018 Share Posted November 24, 2018 11 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: 850 ave in ALB concurs, using -5 for a solid winter air mass made a crude map I thought the heaviest snow was at the -8C isotherm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 24, 2018 Share Posted November 24, 2018 Looking forward to winter moths hanging out by the hundreds around the outdoor lights. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted November 24, 2018 Share Posted November 24, 2018 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Looking forward to winter moths hanging out by the hundreds around the outdoor lights. Is it too late for ladybugs and those western conifer seed bugs? I still haven't had my swarm of them yet this fall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greg Posted November 24, 2018 Share Posted November 24, 2018 March as far as I'm concerned is still a winter month. Your talking to a guy who measured 27" of snow normally (Without Snowboard) in one storm this past March and my location, based on true definition, is on the coast. So some of the comments are pure fluff, no punn intended. Boston itself still can snow from early December through March. It has been seen many times throughout the years. So I'm sort of curious, what and who's climo are people really using and comparing? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 24, 2018 Share Posted November 24, 2018 Riding the new GFS and the GGEM is a dangerous game but clowns look good in white. The NAM and regular GFS are a bit tamer but still have a shovelable snow. The Tue/Wed threat continues to look interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 24, 2018 Share Posted November 24, 2018 4 minutes ago, dendrite said: Is it too late for ladybugs and those western conifer seed bugs? I still haven't had my swarm of them yet this fall. Never got the stink bug issue this Fall. Lady bugs haven't been too bad either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 24, 2018 Share Posted November 24, 2018 1 minute ago, Greg said: March as far as I'm concerned is still a winter month. Your talking to a guy who measured 27" of snow normally (Without Snowboard) in one storm this past march and my location, based on true definition, is on the coast. So some of the comments are pure fluff, no punn intended. Boston itself still can snow from early December through March. It has been seen many times throughout the years. So I'm sort of curious what and who's climo are people really using and comparing? I was told November is a winter month and March is a Spring month, so I skirred. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted November 24, 2018 Share Posted November 24, 2018 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Never got the stink bug issue this Fall. Lady bugs haven't been too bad either. Same here. Usually it's pretty awful. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted November 24, 2018 Share Posted November 24, 2018 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I was told November is a winter month and March is a Spring month, so I skirred. 1 minute ago, Cold Miser said: Same here. Usually it's pretty awful. No fall this year. Dews straight to winter. Seasons in seasons like the days of yore. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 24, 2018 Share Posted November 24, 2018 Gfs is much better than 6z The blocking is doing the work on this run. The op runs will change alot. The interior should watch the storm for early next week. The models are starting to pop the coastal low earlier. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 24, 2018 Share Posted November 24, 2018 9 minutes ago, Snow88 said: Gfs is much better than 6z The blocking is doing the work on this run. The op runs will change alot. The interior should watch the storm for early next week. The models are starting to pop the coastal low earlier. The EURO looks as awful as it always has for SNE. Next. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 24, 2018 Share Posted November 24, 2018 I call BS on all the winter AK pig talk. Its not going to lock in...no way....not with that ENSO. That said, keep expectations in check for December. I'll bet against a white xmas in the Boston area. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted November 24, 2018 Share Posted November 24, 2018 16 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: The EURO looks as awful as it always has for SNE. Next. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 24, 2018 Author Share Posted November 24, 2018 Lol....Scooter with an ample supply of salt to drop in weenie wounds..... i thought the long range was suboptimal but as will opined...possibly serviceable. Also, those low heights in AK get there as a finger of the pv in Canada. Does not look like a stable feature. Finally, read up on winters of yore. Even the ancestors describe winter relaxing after it sets in before locking in at a more seasonal time. Keep hope alive weenies, it’s November fukking 24th. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 24, 2018 Share Posted November 24, 2018 16 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I call BS on all the winter AK pig talk. Its not going to lock in...no way....not with that ENSO. That said, keep expectations in check for December. I'll bet against a white xmas in the Boston area. 1994-1995 is lurking in the weeds waiting to pounce. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 24, 2018 Author Share Posted November 24, 2018 6 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: 1994-1995 is lurking in the weeds waiting to pounce. I remember 1994 was also cold as hell on Thanksgiving or maybe the day before.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 24, 2018 Share Posted November 24, 2018 7 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: 1994-1995 is lurking in the weeds waiting to pounce. No way, dude. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted November 24, 2018 Share Posted November 24, 2018 24 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I call BS on all the winter AK pig talk. Its not going to lock in...no way....not with that ENSO. That said, keep expectations in check for December. I'll bet against a white xmas in the Boston area. See my latest update post in my outlook thread. The Height restructuring is a function of the tropical momentum loss and should reverse in the middle part of the month once intraseasonal forcing is dampened and resumption of more Nino-esque forcing restarts. During the jet retraction period, HLB will develop in the ATL/ARC (8th-15th). 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted November 24, 2018 Share Posted November 24, 2018 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: Looking forward to winter moths hanging out by the hundreds around the outdoor lights. You do know that those have been basically eradicated? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 24, 2018 Share Posted November 24, 2018 4 minutes ago, Isotherm said: See my latest update post in my outlook thread. The Height restructuring is a function of the tropical momentum loss and should reverse in the middle part of the month once intraseasonal forcing is dampened and resumption of more Nino-esque forcing restarts. During the jet retraction period, HLB will develop in the ATL/ARC (8th-15th). The WWB is actually a catalyst for the resumption of forcing more congruent with modoki imo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted November 24, 2018 Share Posted November 24, 2018 59 minutes ago, Snow88 said: Gfs is much better than 6z The blocking is doing the work on this run. The op runs will change alot. The interior should watch the storm for early next week. The models are starting to pop the coastal low earlier. Agree but it's late in the game.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted November 24, 2018 Share Posted November 24, 2018 16 minutes ago, Isotherm said: See my latest update post in my outlook thread. The Height restructuring is a function of the tropical momentum loss and should reverse in the middle part of the month once intraseasonal forcing is dampened and resumption of more Nino-esque forcing restarts. During the jet retraction period, HLB will develop in the ATL/ARC (8th-15th). Your visits to our sub-forum are most welcome! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 24, 2018 Share Posted November 24, 2018 Did the Gefs get Scooter and DIT out of their safe rooms? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted November 24, 2018 Share Posted November 24, 2018 EURO was close definitely better than 0z 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 24, 2018 Share Posted November 24, 2018 43 minutes ago, weathafella said: Lol....Scooter with an ample supply of salt to drop in weenie wounds..... i thought the long range was suboptimal but as will opined...possibly serviceable. Also, those low heights in AK get there as a finger of the pv in Canada. Does not look like a stable feature. Finally, read up on winters of yore. Even the ancestors describe winter relaxing after it sets in before locking in at a more seasonal time. Keep hope alive weenies, it’s November fukking 24th. Of course I like to have fun. But, the Pacific will get hostile for a time. Nothing I can do, things change. Seems to fit climo too for a time as MJO forces this. However, I do not think ( on knees praying as I say this) it will last. Seems like a two week hiatus though give or take. Hopefully we can sneak something in, but when I start seeing that look...you gotta be reasonable with expectations. At least around my hood. Tblizz is one foot into the Taunton river. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 24, 2018 Share Posted November 24, 2018 The early week storm is for the mtns. Recognize and puff puff pass along. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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