CoastalWx Posted November 24, 2018 Share Posted November 24, 2018 21 minutes ago, Albert A Clipper said: it wasn't more than 7 days ago that scooter was heralding the first two weeks in December as cold and active. As the great Rocky Balboa once said.. "If I can change.....you can change....everyone can change!!!!" 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 24, 2018 Author Share Posted November 24, 2018 15 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: The early week storm is for the mtns. Recognize and puff puff pass along. Maine and NH lower els will get some nice snow-dryslot cleaning up and congrats dendrite. Powderfreak is already balls deep heading for the neck. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted November 24, 2018 Share Posted November 24, 2018 18 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: EURO was close definitely better than 0z What u got for S NH area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted November 24, 2018 Share Posted November 24, 2018 1 hour ago, ORH_wxman said: 1994-1995 is lurking in the weeds waiting to pounce. Was 1994 1995 bad due to lack of moisture/storms than warm air? At least we had that 1 big snowstorm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted November 24, 2018 Share Posted November 24, 2018 3 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said: Was 1994 1995 bad due to lack of moisture/storms than warm air? At least we had that 1 big snowstorm. That winter goes way beyond my memory, even 95/96 through 2000. I see one good storm on Ray's Winter Storm Archive on Feb 3-4, is that the only good one we got that year? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted November 24, 2018 Share Posted November 24, 2018 52 minutes ago, weathafella said: Maine and NH lower els will get some nice snow-dryslot cleaning up and congrats dendrite. Powderfreak is already balls deep heading for the neck. I think it's mostly rain here. Euro was worse for mby compared to 00z. Hopefully it isn't too much liquid. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted November 24, 2018 Share Posted November 24, 2018 5 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said: That winter goes way beyond my memory, even 95/96 through 2000. I see one good storm on Ray's Winter Storm Archive on Feb 3-4, is that the only good one we got that year? Correct. 1 snowstorm the entire winter but it was big. Got 1 foot in coastal Sw CT. I believe the winter was more dry than anything. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted November 24, 2018 Share Posted November 24, 2018 1 minute ago, EastonSN+ said: Correct. 1 snowstorm the entire winter but it was big. Got 1 foot in coastal Sw CT. I believe the winter was more dry than anything. That's worse than 11-12, at least that had two big storms Oct 27 and Jan 21 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted November 24, 2018 Share Posted November 24, 2018 11 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said: Was 1994 1995 bad due to lack of moisture/storms than warm air? At least we had that 1 big snowstorm. I remember a lot of mild, rainy periods. Jan 95 had an epic torch with dews. 2/4 was a blockbuster with bigtime cold behind it, but that was about it other than some light events. Eventually we Morched and had a summer of big heat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted November 24, 2018 Share Posted November 24, 2018 2 minutes ago, dendrite said: I remember a lot of mild, rainy periods. Jan 95 had an epic torch with dews. 2/4 was a blockbuster with bigtime cold behind it, but that was about it other than some light events. Eventually we Morched and had a summer of big heat. I remember we were supposed to change to rain being on the coast. Was eventually heavy snow and 34.5 degrees, but never changed over. Shoveling was heck. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 24, 2018 Share Posted November 24, 2018 94-95 was horrendous. It was warm and mostly snowless due to the one eyed pig in AK. We did get the typical El Niño frigid period for about 2-3 weeks in February with the already-mentioned 2/4 blockbuster storm but that was basically it the entire winter. I'm mostly trolling with that analog, but keep in mind it was a pretty weak modoki Niño. It was still only 3 years removed from pinatubo though so there could have been some residual effects still lingering in the high latitudes...though certainly reduced from the prior 3 winters. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted November 24, 2018 Share Posted November 24, 2018 4 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said: That's worse than 11-12, at least that had two big storms Oct 27 and Jan 21 Yup, buy 2001 2002 will always take the cake due to high winter expectations for an epic winter and only 1 snow event. Terrible all around. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted November 24, 2018 Share Posted November 24, 2018 Just now, EastonSN+ said: I remember we were supposed to change to rain being on the coast. Was eventually heavy snow and 34.5 degrees, but never changed over. Shoveling was heck. We had a rare blizzard warning in interior Rockingham county where I lived at the time. I wanna say I had 14-15". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted November 24, 2018 Share Posted November 24, 2018 I have @dendrite with 2-4" for Tuesday. But it's pretty razor's edge around there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted November 24, 2018 Share Posted November 24, 2018 2 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said: Yup, buy 2001 2002 will always take the cake due to high winter expectations for an epic winter and only 1 snow event. Terrible all around. I couldn't agree more and it was a POS 3-5"er that melted fast. The only good thing was watching that snow bowl game in Foxborough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 24, 2018 Share Posted November 24, 2018 2 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: I have @dendrite with 2-4" for Tuesday. But it's pretty razor's edge around there. Euro with the blue paste in the mountains. Looked real marginal in the lowest levels. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted November 24, 2018 Share Posted November 24, 2018 5 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: 94-95 was horrendous. It was warm and mostly snowless due to the one eyed pig in AK. We did get the typical El Niño frigid period for about 2-3 weeks in February with the already-mentioned 2/4 blockbuster storm but that was basically it the entire winter. I'm mostly trolling with that analog, but keep in mind it was a pretty weak modoki Niño. It was still only 3 years removed from pinatubo though so there could have been some residual effects still lingering in the high latitudes...though certainly reduced from the prior 3 winters. I remember a pretty chilly early Jan SWFE too where everyone up here was snowing at around 10F, but it was only an advisory event. One of the few wintry feels of that winter outside of the biggie. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted November 24, 2018 Share Posted November 24, 2018 7 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: I have @dendrite with 2-4" for Tuesday. But it's pretty razor's edge around there. Worst case scenario there. A few inches of glop. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 24, 2018 Share Posted November 24, 2018 1 minute ago, dendrite said: I remember a pretty chilly early Jan SWFE too where everyone up here was snowing at around 10F, but it was only an advisory event. One of the few wintry feels of that winter outside of the biggie. We had a couple inches in that...I recall the brutal cold at the onset...but then it eventually got everyone to about 60F as the primary ended up cutting through Detroit and Ottawa or something with a screaming southerly flow. Think it was Jan 12-13. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted November 24, 2018 Share Posted November 24, 2018 3 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Euro with the blue paste in the mountains. Looked real marginal in the lowest levels. I have 0" at PWM, 1" at my house (still in Portland 5 miles in and up), and 8" at GYX 12 miles to my north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted November 24, 2018 Share Posted November 24, 2018 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: We had a couple inches in that...I recall the brutal cold at the onset...but then it eventually got everyone to about 60F as the primary ended up cutting through Detroit and Ottawa or something with a screaming southerly flow. Think it was Jan 12-13. Just looked it up. Close. 1/11-12. About 4" in CON. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted November 24, 2018 Share Posted November 24, 2018 6 minutes ago, dendrite said: Worst case scenario there. A few inches of glop. Keep those hands dry shoveling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 24, 2018 Author Share Posted November 24, 2018 All this angst is over a projected pattern well beyond d10. EPS through d11 still with a good Pacific. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 24, 2018 Share Posted November 24, 2018 24 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: I have @dendrite with 2-4" for Tuesday. But it's pretty razor's edge around there. It’s close here I have 1-12”. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted November 24, 2018 Share Posted November 24, 2018 5 minutes ago, dryslot said: It’s close here I have 1-12”. Lol Yeah, I'd be curious to see what our snow probabilities would look like if we didn't have this little event tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 24, 2018 Share Posted November 24, 2018 13 minutes ago, weathafella said: All this angst is over a projected pattern well beyond d10. EPS through d11 still with a good Pacific. Looking somewhat putrid by 12/9. Def seems like a period of one eyed pig is going to happen. The hope is that it is transient and doesn't plant itself for weeks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LurkerBoy Posted November 24, 2018 Share Posted November 24, 2018 Just now, ORH_wxman said: Looking somewhat putrid by 12/9. Def seems like a period of one eyed pig is going to happen. The hope is that it is transient and doesn't plant itself for weeks. Yuuuuuuuuuuuge bummer :/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 24, 2018 Author Share Posted November 24, 2018 Just now, ORH_wxman said: Looking somewhat putrid by 12/9. Def seems like a period of one eyed pig is going to happen. The hope is that it is transient and doesn't plant itself for weeks. But it’s been in this time frame (d14-15) and so far no closer. So with the pattern we see we’d probably verbatim start paying mid month. And 6-10 looks good. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 24, 2018 Share Posted November 24, 2018 1 minute ago, OceanStWx said: Yeah, I'd be curious to see what our snow probabilities would look like if we didn't have this little event tonight. Pretty sharp cutoff on modeling to the Rain/Snow line for Tuesday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 24, 2018 Share Posted November 24, 2018 I think some are going a little wild with assuming a hiatus means canceling winter. I’m probably wrong l, but I got the feeling from December 10 through December 25 this so could be our hiatus. Let’s pray heavily it doesn’t last. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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