March 13th ... west Atlantic bombogenesis type low clipping SE New England, more certain ...may be expanding inland

[HIPPYVALLEY]

I'm certainly a little more encouraged that this system won't have as poor snow growth here as last week. The slp  being so far east might actually benefit this area.

[wxsniss]

Logan will be just as close to criteria as areas on north shore... surprised Blizzard Warning does include Boston

[SouthCoastMA]

The 12z Herpes is a big hit too. Better than 6z, which has been a running theme

[Chrisrotary12]

Is it just me or is the northern stream vort a lot further southwest of where it's modeled to be?

 

[NeonPeon]

13 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Congrats Peon on Narry Bay on the GFS

If a model is going to give me <6" leading up to a major storm, let it be the GFS.

There's enough model support, common sense, and war wounds saying you don't want to be just outside of the heavy band over taunton.  Not going to stop me mysteriously waking up at 3am and peering out the windows to see though.

[JC-CT]

1 minute ago, Chrisrotary12 said:

Is it just me or is the northern stream vort a lot further southwest of where it's modeled to be?

I think so too, models are definitely struggling with it.

[CoastalWx]

6 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

No, I mean CCB confined to those areas.

Close. If the models tickle west again, it's into your fanny. I feel like it gets into 128. 

[WintersComing]

2 minutes ago, Chrisrotary12 said:

Is it just me or is the northern stream vort a lot further southwest of where it's modeled to be?

 

Not sure I would say a lot but does look to be a little.

[dryslot]

3 minutes ago, Chrisrotary12 said:

Is it just me or is the northern stream vort a lot further southwest of where it's modeled to be?

 

Sure looks it.

[Hoth]

4 minutes ago, Chrisrotary12 said:

Is it just me or is the northern stream vort a lot further southwest of where it's modeled to be?

 

I have been saying this since last night, but figured it was just my weenie hallucination.

[BRSno]

They always leave BOS out of the Blizzard Warnings until the last minute.

[OceanStWx]

There’s always a bit of a caution flag, because models do a pretty poor job of handling ridge building ahead of East Coast cyclogenesis.

It’s why the NW trend sometimes seems like it won’t be denied.

[HoarfrostHubb]

Just now, Hoth said:

I have been saying this since last night, but figured it was just my weenie hallucination.

Yeah.  You have been on top of the WV loops.  Let’s see how this pans out.  Low expectations here

[bobbutts]

Taking the under on 10-14" with 18" locally here.  Seems like only the NAM supports those kinds of numbers.

I'll be rooting against my forecast though, rather have the snow than be right.

[JC-CT]

1 minute ago, OceanStWx said:

There’s always a bit of a caution flag, because models do a pretty poor job of handling ridge building ahead of East Coast cyclogenesis.

It’s why the NW trend sometimes seems like it won’t be denied.

convection to the south of me, vortmaxes to the north, here I am, stuck in the middle with you

[ROOSTA]

SREF- some members are in the 24-30" range for SE MA.

Would be nice if "B" conditions verified more widespread then having to search for the one or two that came close.   

______
How spoiled folks have become. Prior to '78 how rare an 12-18" snowfall was, droughts during the '60's a footer was jaw-dropping. Today it's expected....umm. 

[OceanStWx]

2 minutes ago, bobbutts said:

Taking the under on 10-14" with 18" locally here.  Seems like only the NAM supports those kinds of numbers.

I'll be rooting against my forecast though, rather have the snow than be right.

Also, that range and local lolli is an average of the whole WSW segment. So it could be all of NH for all I know.

[Lava Rock]

15 minutes ago, wxsniss said:

Logan will be just as close to criteria as areas on north shore... surprised Blizzard Warning does include Boston

Wondering if my wife's flight into BOS tomorrow at 130pm will be cancelled.

[kdxken]

We need this 

http://www.bostonglobe.com/metro/2018/03/12/this-storm-sounds-bad-the-great-blizzard-march-was-far-worse/xTFUSaFDII3AmEwCpJzGyI/story.html

[ORH_wxman]

2 minutes ago, kdxken said:

We need this 

http://www.bostonglobe.com/metro/2018/03/12/this-storm-sounds-bad-the-great-blizzard-march-was-far-worse/xTFUSaFDII3AmEwCpJzGyI/story.html

No screwjob for codfishsnowman in that storm. That was a doozy in the CT River valley. 

[wxsniss]

2 minutes ago, Lava Rock said:

Wondering if my wife's flight into BOS tomorrow at 130pm will be cancelled.

Boston.com feed just reported ALL American Airlines flights are canceled Tuesday out of Boston... 1:30pm flight, there's a very high chance it is canceled

[ajisai]

3 minutes ago, Lava Rock said:

Wondering if my wife's flight into BOS tomorrow at 130pm will be cancelled.

That's deep in the meat of the storm. My brother is scheduled for flying in on United tomorrow night (10:40ish) and they've already started issuing fee waivers for flights tomorrow and Wed.

[TalcottWx]

Honestly, how dare BOX hoist no blizzard warning for Suffolk County. I am appalled. 

On to next winter.

[Hoth]

4 minutes ago, kdxken said:

We need this 

http://www.bostonglobe.com/metro/2018/03/12/this-storm-sounds-bad-the-great-blizzard-march-was-far-worse/xTFUSaFDII3AmEwCpJzGyI/story.html

Probably the only nor'easter to put up a 50" spot in CT.

[Lava Rock]

5 minutes ago, Lava Rock said:

Wondering if my wife's flight into BOS tomorrow at 130pm will be cancelled.

just spoke to her. already cxcld.

[weathafella]

Uncle anyone?

[TalcottWx]

30 minutes ago, Hoth said:

Sullivan's?

Of course. They won't be open tomorrow.

[TheCloser24]

[TalcottWx]

Just looking at the RAP for early fun. Good lord. 3 feet E MA (out of its' range)

[Damage In Tolland]

Everything has come NW today with mid level goods.