Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    18,603
    Total Members
    14,841
    Most Online
    eloveday
    Newest Member
    eloveday
    Joined

March or BUST! - Pattern & Model Discussion


Baroclinic Zone

Recommended Posts

  • Replies 2.8k
  • Created
  • Last Reply

0z GFS had a very weird solution to next week. Basically has a coastal storm for 84 hrs from the Carolina's to SNE. Looks like it's two separate storms that get stuck under the block and move very slowly. The run was very strange and I'd put my savings on it that it doesn't play out like that but hey, stranger things have happened.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

6 hours ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

Are you certain you didnt Receive more snow. Judging by surrounding reports and radar you were near 2'

I might have.  I did not clear my board during the storm, and there was compaction.  I took the one measurement after the whole thing ended. But I am not fancy enough to know how to calculate for compaction.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

7 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

That’s where all 3 ensemble camps have it. I think for coastal areas, you want it falling at night if you want to maximize accumulation 

If the temperature is marginal yes.  But if cold air can be tapped, and we can keep it subfreezing it won’t matter.   We demonstrated that Tuesday.   The main thing is rates.   Good rates no problem.  Sub par rates and I don’t want it day or night at ths point.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

2 hours ago, Cold Miser said:

I might have.  I did not clear my board during the storm, and there was compaction.  I took the one measurement after the whole thing ended. But I am not fancy enough to know how to calculate for compaction.

Same with me. I do it old school by measuring on the ground WO snowboard. 

Figured what matters is what is sitting on the ground, and probably what people did in the years of our ancestors.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

We're finally in sensitivity range. Big spread in the GEFS northeast of the low.

Unfortunately a coherent signal is still about 72 hours away. But we're looking for the heights to be a little higher in the NW Atlantic (still going to be in cyclonic flow, but we don't want it too deep), and a deeper shortwave. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

10 hours ago, Cold Miser said:

Nope.  This is still nothing like the epic February from a few years back.

Had all 3 of them hit with the ferocity that they could have in a winter-time way...it'd be getting close.  But the first one was a huge rainer, and this most recent one Tuesday was pedestrian for a lot of folks in Central areas of CT/Mass, so those two things kept this from being a truly exceptional time for some of us.

 

Hoping for one last good one for my area...at 60"(normal is 48" here) for the year..and to honest I didn't think a few weeks ago I had a shot at 50" let alone 60".   So a pretty decent year overall here in the snow dept.  One more good hit would definitely bring this winter much higher in regard for me/my area...we'll see????

Link to comment
Share on other sites

21 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

 

If you wanted a line.. NNJ to E LI north 

Ya I have to say, the images you posted look good for SNE on those too...by just by looking at those I wouldn't think Pike North, but I'm no pro.  How the temp regime and all is, I don't know just by looking at those Ensemble images...but the look does look good for SNE in those images.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

This winter (well March really) probably already had more of a damaging impact then 2015 around here. These past 3 storms were all big impact events locally. The amount of damage from trees down, coastal flooding, grid, and property damage is rather staggering for winter. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

This winter (well March really) probably already had more of a damaging impact then 2015 around here. These past 3 storms were all big impact events locally. The amount of damage from trees down, coastal flooding, grid, and property damage is rather staggering for winter. 

I think damage in 2015 was mostly limited to roof/deck collapses and such... my memory might be faulty though.

The coastal impact of the first storm this month, then the paste bomb really did a number on some areas.

 

My BY has been spared any destruction, thankfully

Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 minute ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

I think damage in 2015 was mostly limited to roof/deck collapses and such... my memory might be faulty though.

The coastal impact of the first storm this month, then the paste bomb really did a number on some areas.

 

My BY has been spared any destruction, thankfully

There are people waiting for insurance adjusters because they are all swamped. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Archived

This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.

×
×
  • Create New...