Damage In Tolland Posted January 16, 2018 Author Share Posted January 16, 2018 2 minutes ago, JC-CT said: Tip seems to be pining over Saturday 40’s for a day but torch went bye bye Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Marshfield has done well. Diane not so much. They’ll get one. She's been in worst spot than even James this year. Pure bad luck. Though yesterday held promise but fickle they are. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Christine Wx. #triggered Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 10 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I think the yesterday and last night's euro was a smidge better for us...tightest thermal packing is sneaking south. yeah, I agree probably nowcast tomorrow at this point, how is the HRRR looking? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 Diane lives almost at the canal. I think the other side of Plymouth does much better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 5 minutes ago, weathafella said: Diane lives almost at the canal. I think the other side of Plymouth does much better. I'll take "sea anal" for 800 Alex. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 NoPoles/upper cape area has gotten porked so far..even more than me. The big difference was 6" here and 1" towards the canal during the blizzard..such a gradient. Reminds me of 10/11 a bit, at least with the gradient Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 1 minute ago, SouthCoastMA said: NoPoles/upper cape area has gotten porked so far..even more than me. The big difference was 6" here and 1" towards the canal during the blizzard..such a gradient. Reminds me of 10/11 a bit, at least with the gradient Unfortunately, this was expected pre season. The gulf stream giveth and taketh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 2 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Unfortunately, this was expected pre season. The gulf stream giveth and taketh. but she is more likely at some point to see snowfall totals and rates and depth from a monster storm that will blow away anything folks in the western part of the state will ever see Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 NWS backed my totals down 3-7. Makes more sense, but I imagine being on the low end of that. Maybe 4. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 This is a strange looking "storm"to me I really like NW N.J (to EEN) over to NW (of ALB) back to Binghamton for best snows. 5-9" I beleive over to MHT(maybe to ASH) and Sw maine do fine as well. (4-7"). That first batch of snows hits some of the above mentioned areas for like 6-8hrs prior to people S.E of a HFD-ORH-LWM (seeing anything) I would go conservative for BOS-495 back to ORH due to potential lack of QPF. This system seems pretty fast for people that dont see much of anything before 7am. (First batch) not much of a temp gradient over the coastal front area either. I see a potential screwgie area from Tolland to Ray and dont got a ton of confidence SE of that line due to QPF and or Temp concerns (S.CT to logan apt) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 12 minutes ago, Cold Miser said: NWS backed my totals down 3-7. Makes more sense, but I imagine being on the low end of that. Maybe 4. Is MPM stealing your snow again? This seems pretty straightforward where I am. No risk of taint really, quick hitter, in and out burger. 4-6" is my call still Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 I really dislike this storm. It has a dorky construction to it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 25 minutes ago, codfishsnowman said: but she is more likely at some point to see snowfall totals and rates and depth from a monster storm that will blow away anything folks in the western part of the state will ever see Well, to be fair, western NE gets its fair share of powder bombs. Dec 92 had 42" in Princeton, MA (which is really centrall Mass). But the coast can get lit up a la 2015 and it wouldnt be powder. They also can do wind much better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 3 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Is MPM stealing your snow again? This seems pretty straightforward where I am. No risk of taint really, quick hitter, in and out burger. 4-6" is my call still I am envisioning more rain than what NWS is showing. I don't think I will hit the warning criteria. Maybe less than 4. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 I'll take this NAM and run. 925 is holding strong, barely tickling the coast by 13z tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 It's gonna be close, dual pol watching. 18z vs 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 16, 2018 Author Share Posted January 16, 2018 10 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: This is a strange looking "storm"to me I really like NW N.J (to EEN) over to NW (of ALB) back to Binghamton for best snows. 5-9" I beleive over to MHT(maybe to ASH) and Sw maine do fine as well. (4-7"). That first batch of snows hits some of the above mentioned areas for like 6-8hrs prior to people S.E of a HFD-ORH-LWM (seeing anything) I would go conservative for BOS-495 back to ORH due to potential lack of QPF. This system seems pretty fast for people that dont see much of anything before 7am. (First batch) not much of a temp gradient over the coastal front area either. I see a potential screwgie area from Tolland to Ray and dont got a ton of confidence SE of that line due to QPF and or Temp concerns (S.CT to logan apt) Glad we don’t use your forecasts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 2 minutes ago, JC-CT said: It's gonna be close, dual pol watching. 18z vs 12z Wow, for TAN that's 4C cooler than 12z. I only flirt with the 0C line as opposed to being 4C. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BRSno Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 As expected Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 3 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: Wow, for TAN that's 4C cooler than 12z. I only flirt with the 0C line as opposed to being 4C. 3km even colder. But yeah, maybe it doesn't have a great grasp on this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 AWT... box cut way back Ray ORH TOL and points SE. makes a lot more sense now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 Just now, JC-CT said: 3km even colder. But yeah, maybe it doesn't have a great grasp on this one. Well the 12z run was OTL so it's more in line with everything else. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 1 minute ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: AWT... box cut way back Ray ORH TOL and points SE. makes a lot more sense now Yeah, it looks more in line with the more recent guidance, as compared to previous guidance. Amazing how that happens, seemingly every time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 3 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: Well the 12z run was OTL so it's more in line with everything else. On the 12z Euro, at 12z tomorrow the 925 line was past Scooter. On the 18z 3k it is around the canal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 Just now, JC-CT said: Yeah, it looks more in line with the more recent guidance, as compared to previous guidance. Amazing how that happens, seemingly every time. I think they over corrected just a bit. It's not like we're talking much. Maybe tack on 1-2" S & E of the I-84 line. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 1 minute ago, JC-CT said: Yeah, it looks more in line with the more recent guidance, as compared to previous guidance. Amazing how that happens, seemingly every time. Meh...don’t get the snark today... but there hasn’t been many model runs printing out the 4-6 they had up until now. Enjoy the snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 Starting to think we'll be closer to 4'' than 6 or 7'' here. Precipitation might be at a premium with a jack out west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 I do not think temps will be much of an issue NW of a BOS-PVD line. Even BOS SW to interior SE MA might be ok. It is not going to be very easy to penetrate the BL torch more than about 10-15 miles inland. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 Just now, JC-CT said: On the 12z Euro, at 12z tomorrow the 925 line was past Scooter. On the 18z 3k it is around the canal. I can't see the 925mb temps on the 3km. I think that model is OTL still but I'll take what it's selling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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