ORH_wxman Posted January 5, 2018 Share Posted January 5, 2018 16 minutes ago, bboughton said: They said they allow for 15-20 minute lulls on Twitter when I asked. So if they allow as long as 20 minutes....it appears ORH missed criteria by 1 minute. They failed to record a 35mph gust between 11:54 AM and 12:15 PM. A span of 21 minutes. Otherwise they would have gone over 4 consecutive hours of blizzard conditions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 5, 2018 Share Posted January 5, 2018 13 minutes ago, bboughton said: I did. Why would that be incorrect? Since it's sustained wind or gusts, I wasn't sure what else to use for those. You could do a moving average I suppose, doesn't impact things all that much. Because the gust is still higher than the sustained even though it isn't reported by the ASOS. There's a certain threshold where if the gust isn't X mph above the sustained it just gets lopped off the ob. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 5, 2018 Share Posted January 5, 2018 Looks like the cut-off is 5kt. Try giving those obs with no gusts 4kt (5mph) more than the sustained. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ice1972 Posted January 5, 2018 Share Posted January 5, 2018 Nice storm....I'll go with what Ryan reported at the station of 10" here in West Hartford......bit disappointed in the final amount as it started off well enough and then we got sucker holed - for lack of a better term - until that last heavy band rolled through in the afternoon but it was too quick.......can't believe how far west the actual band got before it set up shop DXR northeast and southwest into NY.....impressive......would have loved to crack a foot but oh well...... Not loving the GFS LR.....need to get another good one in here to bury us until Morch......I'm a pack queen.....it is what it is..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted January 5, 2018 Share Posted January 5, 2018 1 hour ago, tamarack said: And I'm certainly having fun reading of your enjoyment, in part because of the contrast with my move to Maine in Jan. 1973 (from the Jersey Highlands, so a much smaller change of climate.) BGR was coming off their snowiest Dec on record so the piles were large; NNJ had about 1" and lots of cold rain that month. We had a nice 7-8" event a week after arrival, then a 50F downpour followed by whiffs and a slop storm, then winter ended on March 1. Next season missed being BGR's least snowy by way of a lot of April snow, and featured a foot of rain in Dec, including one event where my parents in NNJ reported 15F and sleet while I had 56 and heavy RA (and the west part of SNE was lights-out with ZR.) It was Dec 1975, our last month in BGR, before we had "real" Maine snow and cold. (And moving to the northern tip of the state on 1/1/76 kind of guaranteed plenty of both.) May your sense of wonder never be lost. Thanks! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ncforecaster89 Posted January 5, 2018 Share Posted January 5, 2018 Hi guys (and ladies), Still on my way back home to SE NC. It's currently a toasty 11F here in Guilford, CT...accompained by very gusty winds. Wind chill below zero, for sure! Due to the long 900 sm drive up the coast, and 40 hours of no sleep, I'm way behind on posting and catching up with the thread. That aside, I did document the intense blizzard conditions in various areas along and near I-95 from CT to Boston. Highlights include the aforementioned intense blizzard conditions, blinding white-outs, 50-60 mph wind gusts, 12-15" snowfall, 6 foot snow drifts, and major coastal flooding of Boston streets (up to Atlantic ave) from the Harbor! It's so scenic and beautiful up here in SNE, it's truly hard to leave. Looking forward to coming back, very soon! P.S. Have a couple of very brief storm snippets, shot via my cell phone, posted on my YouTube channel...filmed in and near Boston. https://youtu.be/zdPeoTlFfzI Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bboughton Posted January 6, 2018 Share Posted January 6, 2018 3 hours ago, dendrite said: Looks like the cut-off is 5kt. Try giving those obs with no gusts 4kt (5mph) more than the sustained. Gets you closer but not quite there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bboughton Posted January 6, 2018 Share Posted January 6, 2018 3 hours ago, ORH_wxman said: So if they allow as long as 20 minutes....it appears ORH missed criteria by 1 minute. They failed to record a 35mph gust between 11:54 AM and 12:15 PM. A span of 21 minutes. Otherwise they would have gone over 4 consecutive hours of blizzard conditions. Was that the only lull? I don't think they allow repeated lulls of 20 minutes especially close together. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 6, 2018 Share Posted January 6, 2018 Residual effects tonight with more blowing and drifting snow in parts of SNE? The low level jet on the WRF is insane with 70kts at 850mb moving through the Berkshires and ORH Hills into NE CT. With CAA and downsloping WNW flow... man that could rip tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 6, 2018 Share Posted January 6, 2018 2 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Residual effects tonight with more blowing and drifting snow in parts of SNE? The low level jet on the WRF is insane with 70kts at 850mb moving through the Berkshires and ORH Hills into NE CT. With CAA and downsloping WNW flow... man that could rip tonight. It has been roaring today. Gust after gust 45-50. Snow blowing into mini tornado swirls. What time is that valid for? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 6, 2018 Share Posted January 6, 2018 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: It has been roaring today. Gust after gust 45-50. Snow blowing into mini tornado swirls. What time is that valid for? Dude...it even has EST right on there for you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 6, 2018 Share Posted January 6, 2018 6 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Residual effects tonight with more blowing and drifting snow in parts of SNE? The low level jet on the WRF is insane with 70kts at 850mb moving through the Berkshires and ORH Hills into NE CT. With CAA and downsloping WNW flow... man that could rip tonight. About an epic a winter night as it gets here. Huge drifts, blowing snow, snownados. Took a walk down to the lake under moonlit sky, total Antartica look and feel. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 6, 2018 Share Posted January 6, 2018 17 minutes ago, bboughton said: Was that the only lull? I don't think they allow repeated lulls of 20 minutes especially close together. There was another of exactly 20 minutes and maybe one more of around 15. They weren't close together though. The 5 minute criteria is definitely more stringent. That isn't a bad thing. It's just they have not seemed to use that more stringent criteria in the past. It makes for inconsistencies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 6, 2018 Share Posted January 6, 2018 Some nice pics from the storm. The last one was at my parents. More man snow there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 6, 2018 Share Posted January 6, 2018 Wind gusted to 32mph here today, that may be my highest recorded gust outside of a thunderstorm since I moved here 10 years ago. (Very sheltered location) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 6, 2018 Share Posted January 6, 2018 Nice pics Scott. Drift on the roof outside my office window Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted January 6, 2018 Share Posted January 6, 2018 12 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Some nice pics from the storm. The last one was at my parents. More man snow there. Great pics, CoastalWx! Congrats on your snow! Niiiiiice drifts! Only one thing though -- wags finger at CoastalWx like Morpheus --- That walkway you used a snow blower to clear like Old Man Weathafella, that SHALL NOT PASS muster. You can barely walk thru that tiny passage! This aint spelunking! Get your fat azz off of that deep warm couch, quit stuffing all of those jelly doughnuts into your fat face - and get out there in the snow and USE A SHOVEL! Use a shovel and dig that snow properly! I had better see at least 30 inches wide on that sorry excuse you call a path! You consider yourself a New Englander? Well dig snow like a New Englander! Don't make me have to come up there and show you how to shovel snow properly like a New Englander! Show some effin Pride! Represent, for a change! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 6, 2018 Share Posted January 6, 2018 12 minutes ago, Jebman said: Great pics, CoastalWx! Congrats on your snow! Niiiiiice drifts! Only one thing though -- wags finger at CoastalWx like Morpheus --- That walkway you used a snow blower to clear like Old Man Weathafella, that SHALL NOT PASS muster. You can barely walk thru that tiny passage! This aint spelunking! Get your fat azz off of that deep warm couch, quit stuffing all of those jelly doughnuts into your fat face - and get out there in the snow and USE A SHOVEL! Use a shovel and dig that snow properly! I had better see at least 30 inches wide on that sorry excuse you call a path! You consider yourself a New Englander? Well dig snow like a New Englander! Don't make me have to come up there and show you how to shovel snow properly like a New Englander! Show some effin Pride! Represent, for a change! Dude I’m not 500lbs. It works lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted January 6, 2018 Share Posted January 6, 2018 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Dude I’m not 500lbs. It works lol. I was just kidding lol. I am just joshing y'all because you got tons of snow and we are about to have 50s for highs for a time lol. Enjoy the snow. That passage could be a bit wider, though lol. You got the snow, shovel it. Can. You. Dig. It? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 6, 2018 Share Posted January 6, 2018 19 minutes ago, Jebman said: I was just kidding lol. I am just joshing y'all because you got tons of snow and we are about to have 50s for highs for a time lol. Enjoy the snow. That passage could be a bit wider, though lol. You got the snow, shovel it. Can. You. Dig. It? When a dood has two young ones and the entire fam is vomitting and scooter sh*t streaking around the house....i don’t think precision shoveling is at the forefront. Just a hunch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 6, 2018 Share Posted January 6, 2018 We drift Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 6, 2018 Share Posted January 6, 2018 1 hour ago, bboughton said: Gets you closer but not quite there. Yeah I knew it wouldn’t be enough...I just wanted to see the difference graphically. I’m starting to lean toward not caring if the obs are consecutive or not in the definition. Maybe up it to 5hrs and wherever the obs fall they fall? Impact wise, does it really matter if there’s 5hrs worth of blizz criteria, but it’s broken up by 30 mins of only 1/2SM instead of 1/4SM? Basically keep using the 5 min obs...there’s 12 of them in an hour. So make it so you need 60 qualifying obs over the course of the storm in order to meet criteria. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 6, 2018 Share Posted January 6, 2018 1 hour ago, Jebman said: Great pics, CoastalWx! Congrats on your snow! Niiiiiice drifts! Only one thing though -- wags finger at CoastalWx like Morpheus --- That walkway you used a snow blower to clear like Old Man Weathafella, that SHALL NOT PASS muster. You can barely walk thru that tiny passage! This aint spelunking! Get your fat azz off of that deep warm couch, quit stuffing all of those jelly doughnuts into your fat face - and get out there in the snow and USE A SHOVEL! Use a shovel and dig that snow properly! I had better see at least 30 inches wide on that sorry excuse you call a path! You consider yourself a New Englander? Well dig snow like a New Englander! Don't make me have to come up there and show you how to shovel snow properly like a New Englander! Show some effin Pride! Represent, for a change! You tell him Jeb, took a Jeb walk in Antarctic tonight. AWESOME Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted January 6, 2018 Share Posted January 6, 2018 2 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said: It has been roaring today. Gust after gust 45-50. Snow blowing into mini tornado swirls. What time is that valid for? The winds have been incredible. Not sure I ever remember two days of nonstop roaring winds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted January 6, 2018 Share Posted January 6, 2018 2 hours ago, Ginx snewx said: About an epic a winter night as it gets here. Huge drifts, blowing snow, snownados. Took a walk down to the lake under moonlit sky, total Antartica look and feel. Same observations. Just came back after driving down 169 through Canterbury. Drifts upon drifts halfway into the road. Great stuff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 6, 2018 Share Posted January 6, 2018 This has been about a winterlike as we get here in New England, the last 36 hours. The blowing snow and vortexes add a bitter appeal to the landscape. Wind roaring, already below zero here, headed to -6... The dog hates it though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 6, 2018 Share Posted January 6, 2018 47 minutes ago, Cold Miser said: Same observations. Just came back after driving down 169 through Canterbury. Drifts upon drifts halfway into the road. Great stuff. Was on 49 when you texted me Epic Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 6, 2018 Share Posted January 6, 2018 Verification analysis: http://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2018/01/blizzard-of-2018-verification.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tunafish Posted January 6, 2018 Share Posted January 6, 2018 24 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Verification analysis: http://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2018/01/blizzard-of-2018-verification.html Excellent write-ups and analysis. You just about nailed eastern and central areas; western areas nasomuch. Not sure anyone did, though. Good stuff much appreciated! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 6, 2018 Share Posted January 6, 2018 3 minutes ago, tunafish said: Excellent write-ups and analysis. You just about nailed eastern and central areas; western areas nasomuch. Not sure anyone did, though. Good stuff much appreciated! Thanks. Yea, I'm disappointed with my effort out west and on to a lesser extent on the cape....I don't know why I just assumed that there was an arctic high in place after all of the cold we have had....careless mistake that turned what would have been an exceptional forecast into a merely a serviceable one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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