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March 13-14 Storm Nowcasting/Obs


nj2va

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Just now, NorthArlington101 said:

FWIW, since there have been some talk about ratios, I checked what the actual Kuchera ratio estimates were for DCA at each hour. It has us somewhere around 8:1 or 9:1 for most of the time, which seems somewhat reasonable if not a little bullish. It also has us around 7:1 right now. 

Adds a little validity to this map knowing that its not inflating our totals. 

 

Good post. The 2-3 hours before the flip (for those that do...like me) should be ripping pretty good. I haven't seen inch an hour snow for almost 14 months.

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1 minute ago, NorthArlington101 said:

FWIW, since there have been some talk about ratios, I checked what the actual Kuchera ratio estimates were for DCA at each hour. It has us somewhere around 8:1 or 9:1 for most of the time, which seems somewhat reasonable if not a little bullish. It also has us around 7:1 right now. 

Adds a little validity to this map knowing that its not inflating our totals. 

 

I noticed it drops the ratios quite a bit during the sleet, like 4:1 or there about. Still may be too high but far better than just assuming 10:1 regardless of anything. Maybe it assumes some kind of snow/sleet mix, not sure. 

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