Chrisrotary12 Posted December 27, 2016 Share Posted December 27, 2016 51 minutes ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: Sorry Ray, I am just a bit excited for this storm, we could see massive wind damage. Are we sure that James and Kevin aren't secretly the same person? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 27, 2016 Author Share Posted December 27, 2016 2 minutes ago, dryslot said: Out a few more panels.............. No picnic tables to be seen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 27, 2016 Share Posted December 27, 2016 So the 4KM NAM goes from 982-969 in 3 hrs and nails NE MA lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 27, 2016 Share Posted December 27, 2016 12 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Yeah true, already crushed the medium range guidance. Like the runs have been so consistent I was getting confused at which run I was looking at toggling through them. Ha, had to double check that it was today's 12/27 12z run at first too. yea true. Just concerned with euros qpf distribution. Seems like that is an area it can struggle with, maybe my memory is jaded with recent big system busts but its an area im not that confident in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 27, 2016 Share Posted December 27, 2016 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: So the 4KM NAM goes from 982-969 in 3 hrs and nails NE MA lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 27, 2016 Author Share Posted December 27, 2016 Congrats, Jeff. I'll be sitting like James hoping for a gust of wind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted December 27, 2016 Share Posted December 27, 2016 Friday will be sick at Sugarloaf and Sunday River. My brother and kids will be up at SL starting tomorrow! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 27, 2016 Share Posted December 27, 2016 NAM 3k experimental Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted December 27, 2016 Share Posted December 27, 2016 2 minutes ago, moneypitmike said: Congrats, Jeff. I'll be sitting like James hoping for a gust of wind. I'll text you pics from GC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 27, 2016 Share Posted December 27, 2016 NAM 4K Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 27, 2016 Share Posted December 27, 2016 1 minute ago, weathafella said: NAM 3k experimental Would not suck. Handling dynamics better? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 27, 2016 Share Posted December 27, 2016 7 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: So the 4KM NAM goes from 982-969 in 3 hrs and nails NE MA lol. Check the 3km para NAM....lol. http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=nam3km®ion=neus&pkg=mslp_pcpn_frzn&runtime=2016122718&fh=58&xpos=0&ypos=226 Some of these are such weenie models. That one gives an epic CCB stinger even into BOS at the end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 27, 2016 Share Posted December 27, 2016 53 minutes ago, wxeyeNH said: Hey, advice for everyone during the next 36 hours. Read more and post. Unless you are a Met with really good input then post away. For every 10 posts there is one good meaningful one so good info gets buried fast in big weather situations like this. Okay, that's my rant for today... Bring it on.... Meh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 27, 2016 Share Posted December 27, 2016 Just now, ORH_wxman said: Check the 3km para NAM....lol. http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=nam3km®ion=neus&pkg=mslp_pcpn_frzn&runtime=2016122718&fh=58&xpos=0&ypos=226 Some of these are such weenie models. That one gives an epic CCB stinger even into BOS at the end. Was just looking at that. Pretty classic sim IR look. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bobbutts Posted December 27, 2016 Share Posted December 27, 2016 very bullish from GYX Oddly the most likely map is updated with a range instead of a single number now too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted December 27, 2016 Share Posted December 27, 2016 Leaving for florida at 715am thursday morning hoping I make it out what does the start time look like Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 27, 2016 Share Posted December 27, 2016 6 minutes ago, moneypitmike said: Congrats, Jeff. I'll be sitting like James hoping for a gust of wind. Thanks, Watches are up here, P&C has 9-15" so 12" is about right unless we get this to tic east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 27, 2016 Share Posted December 27, 2016 Just now, bobbutts said: Very bullish from GYX Actually, Its scaled back from this morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 27, 2016 Share Posted December 27, 2016 Just now, bobbutts said: Very bullish from GYX Yeah I'm a little surprised they are that bullish more than 48h out...I mean, I can totally see those numbers verifying, but if this thing pops just a little late, then a lot of those could be significantly too high as well. That said, they label it as "most likely"...and the sooner pop of the low is probably "most likely"...so in that sense, I can't really fault the graph. But it could create some confusion if that is taken as a face value forecast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted December 27, 2016 Share Posted December 27, 2016 The streak is just coming ashore now, so we'll have better sampling for the 0z runs. That's my cliche of the day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WthrJunkyME Posted December 27, 2016 Share Posted December 27, 2016 1 minute ago, dryslot said: Actually, Its scaled back from this morning I think they were 12-18 this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 27, 2016 Share Posted December 27, 2016 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: Yeah I'm a little surprised they are that bullish more than 48h out...I mean, I can totally see those numbers verifying, but if this thing pops just a little late, then a lot of those could be significantly too high as well. That said, they label it as "most likely"...and the sooner pop of the low is probably "most likely"...so in that sense, I can't really fault the graph. But it could create some confusion if that is taken as a face value forecast. Looks like they gave themselves some wiggle room Winter Storm Watch URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME 327 PM EST TUE DEC 27 2016 ...STRONG COASTAL STORM LIKELY TO IMPACT MAINE AND NEW HAMPSHIRE THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT... .LOW PRESSURE WILL DEVELOP RAPIDLY SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND ON THURSDAY AND MOVE NORTHEASTWARD INTO THE GULF OF MAINE THURSDAY NIGHT WHILE EXPLOSIVELY DEEPENING. THE RESULT WILL LIKELY BE HEAVY SNOW ACROSS THE INTERIOR AND A WINTRY MIX AS WELL AS SOME HEAVY SNOW ON THE COASTAL PLAIN AND SOUTHEASTERN NEW HAMPSHIRE. WINDS WILL BECOME QUITE GUSTY AS WELL. THE COMBINATION OF WIND AND POTENTIALLY WET SNOW MAY CAUSE POWER OUTAGES. THE SNOW WILL COME TO AN END FROM SOUTH TO NORTH LATE THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY MORNING. THE EXACT STORM TRACK IS NOT YET KNOWN. A MORE WESTERLY LOW PRESSURE TRACK WOULD MEAN MORE RAIN AND MIXED PRECIPITATION FURTHER INLAND. A MORE EASTERLY TRACK WOULD MEAN HEAVIER SNOWS FOR THE COAST. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 27, 2016 Author Share Posted December 27, 2016 4 minutes ago, dryslot said: Actually, Its scaled back from this morning Yup--I went from 12" to 2". 10 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: I'll text you pics from GC. Please do! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 27, 2016 Share Posted December 27, 2016 WSW up for CT and Mass. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 27, 2016 Share Posted December 27, 2016 7 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Check the 3km para NAM....lol. http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=nam3km®ion=neus&pkg=mslp_pcpn_frzn&runtime=2016122718&fh=58&xpos=0&ypos=226 Some of these are such weenie models. That one gives an epic CCB stinger even into BOS at the end. Dear god lol. Ideally I'd love 3-4" to end out December and head into January in good shape. We'll see. I'm not expecting too much here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rimetree Posted December 27, 2016 Share Posted December 27, 2016 Here's to hoping it tracks a bit further east. Feels like we're right on the cusp of significant impact vs. a few inches of slush. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 27, 2016 Author Share Posted December 27, 2016 5 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Yeah I'm a little surprised they are that bullish more than 48h out...I mean, I can totally see those numbers verifying, but if this thing pops just a little late, then a lot of those could be significantly too high as well. That said, they label it as "most likely"...and the sooner pop of the low is probably "most likely"...so in that sense, I can't really fault the graph. But it could create some confusion if that is taken as a face value forecast. Those map products are also labeled as 'experimental' so test away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted December 27, 2016 Share Posted December 27, 2016 Why is Bangor left off of those snow maps? Good memories at the Bangor Waterfront Pavilion... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 27, 2016 Author Share Posted December 27, 2016 3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: WSW up for CT and Mass. Yup. One for each with 4-8 in the Mass one and 3-6 in the CT one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 27, 2016 Author Share Posted December 27, 2016 2 minutes ago, psv88 said: Why is Bangor left off of those snow maps? Good memories at the Bangor Waterfront Pavilion... THey're covered by Caribou. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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