moneypitmike Posted December 26, 2016 Share Posted December 26, 2016 This appears to be PF-Dendrite--Dry Slot special. GC and the Mid-Coast also could do okay. Regardless of that, hope springs eternal for all in the closing days of 2016. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 26, 2016 Share Posted December 26, 2016 The euro was a solid hit for interior sNE. Especially GC. But it seemed like several inches possible to ORH too. It does get toasty at 925 still near and S and E of ORH. A slight jog east would be a condo collapser. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 26, 2016 Share Posted December 26, 2016 Crushed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted December 26, 2016 Share Posted December 26, 2016 Scott, would the condo crusher include the coastline as well? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 26, 2016 Share Posted December 26, 2016 27 minutes ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: Scott, would the condo crusher include the coastline as well? Too warm I think unless this bombed near ACK. For the cape, not gonna happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 26, 2016 Author Share Posted December 26, 2016 39 minutes ago, dryslot said: Crushed You--ftw. Aside from any topographical enhancements PF will enjoy, you are positioned really well for this regardless of whether the more developed EC or more anemic GFS plays out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 26, 2016 Share Posted December 26, 2016 11 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Too warm I think unless this bombed near ACK. For the cape, not gonna happen. Interesting storm for SNE. Best precip is to the east probably but the cold air will be the key. Could be a 128 to ORH special (with perhaps a flash to S+ in BOS later on) if you take just a slightly toned down version of the euro...which wouldn't be too unreasonable since it is the most wound up solution of the guidance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 26, 2016 Share Posted December 26, 2016 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: Interesting storm for SNE. Best precip is to the east probably but the cold air will be the key. Could be a 128 to ORH special (with perhaps a flash to S+ in BOS later on) if you take just a slightly toned down version of the euro...which wouldn't be too unreasonable since it is the most wound up solution of the guidance. It literally would need a small adjustment. I'm not a fan of the se flow ahead of it as it gets a little mild just off the deck. But, still time to work out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 26, 2016 Author Share Posted December 26, 2016 7 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Interesting storm for SNE. Best precip is to the east probably but the cold air will be the key. Could be a 128 to ORH special (with perhaps a flash to S+ in BOS later on) if you take just a slightly toned down version of the euro...which wouldn't be too unreasonable since it is the most wound up solution of the guidance. Jeff and Brian are very nicely located for this. Too bad this couldn't be more mature and slower moving for SNE. There's still time to impact the "maturity" factor, but it will still be moving along at a decent clipl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 26, 2016 Share Posted December 26, 2016 One more bump east and many are crushed . As it stands verbatim it ends as snow to the water http:// Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 26, 2016 Share Posted December 26, 2016 Ukie looks like a decent hit .. hard to tell exactly with increments http:// Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted December 26, 2016 Share Posted December 26, 2016 5 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: One more bump east and many are crushed . As it stands verbatim it ends as snow to the water http:// I think we really need an earlier stronger phase and a slightly colder profile in CT, the track wasn't terrible but antecedent air mass is marginal and by the time it really bombs out the nice comma head CCB type action is to our NE but its close on the Euro. NW CT does pretty good verbatim on the Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 26, 2016 Share Posted December 26, 2016 GFS looks similar to the Ukie. So here's your weenie snowfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 26, 2016 Share Posted December 26, 2016 2 minutes ago, CTValleySnowMan said: I think we really need an earlier stronger phase and a slightly colder profile in CT, the track wasn't terrible but antecedent air mass is marginal and by the time it really bombs out the nice comma head CCB type action is to our NE but its close on the Euro. NW CT does pretty good verbatim on the Euro. Verbatim on Euro it's probably initially an elevated deal that favors NW hills and then snowline crashes to coast and many places pick up 3-6. But like mets said it's very possible another bump SE happens which helps immensely Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 26, 2016 Author Share Posted December 26, 2016 16 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: One more bump east and many are crushed . As it stands verbatim it ends as snow to the water http:// I'm fine with the track; I'd rather a further SW development. What model is that from? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 26, 2016 Share Posted December 26, 2016 Just now, moneypitmike said: I'm fine with the track; I'd rather a further SW development. What model is that from? Euro. Obviously it's too jacked up . It's a GGW run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 26, 2016 Share Posted December 26, 2016 Eek will need new greenhouses if that were to come to fruition Still needs to hit just right for many on here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 26, 2016 Author Share Posted December 26, 2016 4 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: GFS looks similar to the Ukie. So here's your weenie snowfall. half-pence and pennies for many in SNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted December 26, 2016 Share Posted December 26, 2016 1 minute ago, moneypitmike said: half-pence and pennies for many in SNE. Congrats northern Maine, again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 26, 2016 Share Posted December 26, 2016 Para GFS is more progressive and doesn't blow up till NS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 26, 2016 Share Posted December 26, 2016 20 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: GFS looks similar to the Ukie. So here's your weenie snowfall. The big difference is the later bombing of the surface LP Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 26, 2016 Share Posted December 26, 2016 21 minutes ago, moneypitmike said: I'm fine with the track; I'd rather a further SW development. What model is that from? The one that's always referenced Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 26, 2016 Share Posted December 26, 2016 7 minutes ago, dryslot said: The big difference is the later bombing of the surface LP You sure? SLP looks similar. GFS has slightly stronger primary and 1mb weaker secondary. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 26, 2016 Author Share Posted December 26, 2016 I like the concept of the the 'correction vector' and wondering where that falls with the modeling we see here. I'm guessing using the EC as a SW goalpost--and nothing to suggest it should be even further SW than it's showing--that the correction vector would be toward later developing. If so, the question shifts to the magnitude of the correction. I suspect we'll get more clarity on that in a few hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 26, 2016 Share Posted December 26, 2016 Just now, Baroclinic Zone said: You sure? SLP looks similar. GFS has slightly stronger primary and 1mb weaker secondary. Quite sure, Secondary bombs sooner on the Euro then the GFS, No? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 26, 2016 Share Posted December 26, 2016 2 minutes ago, moneypitmike said: I like the concept of the the 'correction vector' and wondering where that falls with the modeling we see here. I'm guessing using the EC as a SW goalpost--and nothing to suggest it should be even further SW than it's showing--that the correction vector would be toward later developing. If so, the question shifts to the magnitude of the correction. I suspect we'll get more clarity on that in a few hours. With the way things have shifted this season, I could see it moving too far east as well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 26, 2016 Share Posted December 26, 2016 GFS has been steadily moving to Euro idea of stronger SW 2ndary. Until 18z yesterday had a mild fropa. It's why it had been tossed . It was why you had folks closing shades south of Maine 4 days out lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 26, 2016 Share Posted December 26, 2016 0z Euro, 987mb over the elbow, 06z GFS 981mb over bay of fundy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 26, 2016 Share Posted December 26, 2016 8 minutes ago, dryslot said: Quite sure, Secondary bombs sooner on the Euro then the GFS, No? I'm referring to Ukie and GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 26, 2016 Share Posted December 26, 2016 Just now, Baroclinic Zone said: I'm referring to Ukie and GFS. My bad, I did not see your Ukie reference in that post, Those two GFS/Ukie are similar Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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