dryslot Posted December 26, 2016 Share Posted December 26, 2016 A track and slp strength in between the GFS/EURO would still yield a siggy event for many, To bad its trucking along Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 26, 2016 Author Share Posted December 26, 2016 9 minutes ago, dryslot said: 0z Euro, 987mb over the elbow, 06z GFS 981mb over bay of fundy Most peeps in SNE don't benefit from either of those. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 26, 2016 Share Posted December 26, 2016 Just now, dryslot said: My bad, I did not see your Ukie reference in that post, Those two GFS/Ukie are similar As of right now Euro looks to be the strongest solution followed by GGEM than the GFS/Ukie. GGEM looks tucked in over SE MA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 26, 2016 Share Posted December 26, 2016 11 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: GFS has been steadily moving to Euro idea of stronger SW 2ndary. Until 18z yesterday had a mild fropa. It's why it had been tossed . It was why you had folks closing shades south of Maine 4 days out lol It's because the euro was a torch. It's also moved a bit to the GFS and a little east. As we said, maybe we see some sort of compromise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 26, 2016 Share Posted December 26, 2016 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: It's because the euro was a torch. It's also moved a bit to the GFS and a little east. As we said, maybe we see some sort of compromise. Wasn't referring to you..there were a few last night that said no chance and close curtains and it was for Maine etc. I think a solid high end advisory or low end warning event is most likely..rig hto BOS and at least NW RI Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 26, 2016 Share Posted December 26, 2016 1 minute ago, moneypitmike said: Most peeps in SNE don't benefit from either of those. Correct, we need this bombing out S of our latitude with the primary so far N and W. Warm lower levels with the SW flow ahead of secondary development. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 26, 2016 Share Posted December 26, 2016 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: Was'n referring to you..there were a few last night that said niobium's chance and it was for Maine etc. I think a solid high end advisory or low end warning event is most likely..rig hto BOS and at least NW RI A bit bullish. We'll see what today brings. I'm hoping to head north Wednesday night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 26, 2016 Share Posted December 26, 2016 Just now, Baroclinic Zone said: As of right now Euro looks to be the strongest solution followed by GGEM than the GFS/Ukie. GGEM looks tucked in over SE MA. That 0z GGEM run would have been similar to yesterdays 12z Euro run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 26, 2016 Author Share Posted December 26, 2016 4 minutes ago, dryslot said: A track and slp strength in between the GFS/EURO would still yield a siggy event for many, To bad its trucking along So far this has not been the season for the plodding systems. Keeps pennys and nickles instead of dimes and quarters. 15 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: With the way things have shifted this season, I could see it moving too far east as well Sometimes patterns are just progressive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 26, 2016 Share Posted December 26, 2016 5 minutes ago, moneypitmike said: So far this has not been the season for the plodding systems. Keeps pennys and nickles instead of dimes and quarters. Sometimes patterns are just progressive. QPF concerns?? lol, Well, This ones has a shot at being more quarters and halves, Like northern maine has seen most of the winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted December 26, 2016 Share Posted December 26, 2016 I have a hard time. believing I get 20 inches but I'm open. I'd go higher than hfs though. Another 6" wouldbegreat Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 26, 2016 Author Share Posted December 26, 2016 4 minutes ago, dryslot said: Well, This ones has a shot at being more quarters and halves, Like northern maine has seen most of the winter Yup--a good season for up there. GYX is calling for all snow in my p/c at this point for here on the coast. It could be a deal where here and GC wind up with comparable amounts due to taint here on the coast off-setting lower qpf amounts back at the Pit. I might be back up here for it regardless of what the models are showing as my father-in-law is not doing well. 18* here, 19* at the Pit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 26, 2016 Share Posted December 26, 2016 2 minutes ago, moneypitmike said: Yup--a good season for up there. GYX is calling for all snow in my p/c at this point for here on the coast. It could be a deal where here and GC wind up with comparable amounts due to taint here on the coast off-setting lower qpf amounts back at the Pit. I might be back up here for it regardless of what the models are showing as my father-in-law is not doing well. 18* here, 19* at the Pit. Sorry to hear about your father in law Mike, Hope things work out for yourself,wife and family Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted December 26, 2016 Share Posted December 26, 2016 I never thought I'd say this but I'm waiting to see what the Nam does. Should be coming into range. It hasn't been too bad with this pattern overall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 26, 2016 Share Posted December 26, 2016 1 minute ago, Hazey said: I never thought I'd say this but I'm waiting to see what the Nam does. Should be coming into range. It hasn't been too bad with this pattern overall. Its pretty much at the end of its range, I think if at all you need another two days or so to realistically consider it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted December 26, 2016 Share Posted December 26, 2016 True but it might give a sense of where it's heading. It's not optimal but it has sniffed out a few eventual tracks. I'm more curious to see if it keeps its trend of being a "not bad model". We'll see Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 26, 2016 Share Posted December 26, 2016 Just now, Hazey said: True but it might give a sense of where it's heading. It's not optimal but it has sniffed out a few eventual tracks. I'm more curious to see if it keeps its trend of being a "not bad model". We'll see My guess is it shows something, Just not may be what folks want lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 26, 2016 Author Share Posted December 26, 2016 8 minutes ago, dryslot said: Sorry to hear about your father in law Mike, Hope things work out for yourself,wife and family Thanks, Jeff. While he never fully recovered from a stroke he had many years ago, the last couple years have been particularly difficult with the general health declines typical of octogenarians. So to the degree that quality of life is measured, it has not been a good few years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 26, 2016 Author Share Posted December 26, 2016 4 minutes ago, Hazey said: True but it might give a sense of where it's heading. It's not optimal but it has sniffed out a few eventual tracks. I'm more curious to see if it keeps its trend of being a "not bad model". We'll see If it shows snow, there will be embraced with great rejoicing. If it shows something else, it will simply be tossed as 1) it's the NAM and 2) it's at the end of its range and shouldn't be taken seriously in any event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted December 26, 2016 Share Posted December 26, 2016 My guess is it shows something, Just not may be what folks want lolMost likely but it could bump it's accuracy count from abysmal to just mediocre...lol. This one is a crap shoot for many. No horse in this game but for those riding the line, it won't be easy money. North and east is best. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted December 26, 2016 Share Posted December 26, 2016 If it shows snow, there will be embraced with great rejoicing. If it shows something else, it will simply be tossed as 1) it's the NAM and 2) it's at the end of its range and shouldn't be taken seriously in any event.Haha good point. Optimism and pessimism have no play in the weather game. Won't change the outcome. It's just weather. Cheers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted December 26, 2016 Share Posted December 26, 2016 That primary has to die a quick death to stem the waa or coastal development has to ramp up quickly to cut it off. High in Labrador is not great but could keep the cold air in for central areas of NH VT ME to have frozen...at least longer duration. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WthrJunkyME Posted December 26, 2016 Share Posted December 26, 2016 Time for the new Ariens to get it's first oil change today! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 26, 2016 Share Posted December 26, 2016 10 minutes ago, Hazey said: That primary has to die a quick death to stem the waa or coastal development has to ramp up quickly to cut it off. High in Labrador is not great but could keep the cold air in for central areas of NH VT ME to have frozen...at least longer duration. Going to be a tough go on this one for the south coast unless we get that secondary slp to bomb below SNE like just east of LI and warp the colder air around the backside sooner Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 26, 2016 Share Posted December 26, 2016 Still a bit of a later evolution on the 12z GFS. Looks like it's about to go to town though at hr. 84 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 26, 2016 Share Posted December 26, 2016 Oh it did lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 26, 2016 Author Share Posted December 26, 2016 4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Still a bit of a later evolution on the 12z GFS. Looks like it's about to go to town though at hr. 84 Distant interior NE winter continues. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
512high Posted December 26, 2016 Share Posted December 26, 2016 5 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Still a bit of a later evolution on the 12z GFS. Looks like it's about to go to town though at hr. 84 Scott, then this only looks good for north of NH and upper Maine right now? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 26, 2016 Share Posted December 26, 2016 Northern Maine gets buried, The GFS is not very favorable for the board majority up here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 26, 2016 Share Posted December 26, 2016 Looks like it would bring a few inches to nearby bos burbs though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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