smokeybandit Posted June 16, 2016 Share Posted June 16, 2016 I'd be content with a half inch of rain to make my golden grass green again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted June 16, 2016 Share Posted June 16, 2016 Getting a rotation indicator near Front Royal. Looks like a little elbow in the line. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted June 16, 2016 Share Posted June 16, 2016 Seeing a little 50kft echo top now too. If you look at echo tops it is pretty clear the bulk of the line is heading south and west of DC. There is a little bit up towards Martinsburg but it is in the 30-35kft range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted June 16, 2016 Share Posted June 16, 2016 I'm going to guess if you're south of a line running from say Brunswick to Downtown DC you'll get in on some decent storms. Maybe heavy rain for the rest of us. Could still be decent a little north of that line but I'm being conservative. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted June 16, 2016 Share Posted June 16, 2016 I'm back under low clouds and cool temps. I know the drill here east of DC. I'm just pumped for some good rain. I've got a huge garden and a relatively huge watermelon patch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted June 16, 2016 Share Posted June 16, 2016 Rotation in the line along 66 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted June 16, 2016 Share Posted June 16, 2016 Worst will probably be in that Front Royal kink in the line. That'll probably run from there to around the Plains and then down into the Dumfries area perhaps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted June 16, 2016 Share Posted June 16, 2016 The 22z HRRR is still pretty bad for rain totals if you're north of the Potomac... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eurojosh Posted June 16, 2016 Author Share Posted June 16, 2016 The 22z HRRR is still pretty bad for rain totals if you're north of the Potomac... bumped precip a hair north, I thought. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted June 16, 2016 Share Posted June 16, 2016 Hahahaha northern batch of rain is dissipating as it exits Frederick county and enters Carroll. I'll be lucky to see anything Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yuki neko Posted June 16, 2016 Share Posted June 16, 2016 The 22z HRRR is still pretty bad for rain totals if you're north of the Potomac... That run had a pre-line line that didnt happen. It still has no clue what is going to happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted June 16, 2016 Share Posted June 16, 2016 bumped precip a hair north, I thought. I mean yeah but it sucks if you're north of the Potomac. Whether we believe it is another question but it sucks north of the Potomac. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mrs.J Posted June 16, 2016 Share Posted June 16, 2016 Just getting the line now over here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted June 16, 2016 Share Posted June 16, 2016 This loOKs like it will end very fast? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted June 16, 2016 Share Posted June 16, 2016 congrats dc south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted June 16, 2016 Share Posted June 16, 2016 Had a nice storm, but not really all that. 15 minutes of rain and wind. maybe a few gusts to 40 mph. Hard to measure the rain with it coming down sideways, but couldn't have been more than .40. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormpc Posted June 17, 2016 Share Posted June 17, 2016 I did a pre rain dog poop pick up 30 minutes ago. The grass in my backyard was brown and crispy. made it a little hard to distinguish between... Pouring now with T and L. No wind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted June 17, 2016 Share Posted June 17, 2016 Massive fail by the models on this one. Looks like a quick line that will drop maybe half an inch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted June 17, 2016 Share Posted June 17, 2016 Storms ahead of the line moving NE - that could be the start of the heavy rain event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted June 17, 2016 Share Posted June 17, 2016 Brick wall seems to be east of Frederick County Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted June 17, 2016 Share Posted June 17, 2016 storm has built back and hanging on just to east under sunny skies here. watching an incredible rainbow now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted June 17, 2016 Share Posted June 17, 2016 Brick wall seems to be east of Frederick County PIVOT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yuki neko Posted June 17, 2016 Share Posted June 17, 2016 Storms ahead of the line moving NE - that could be the start of the heavy rain event. Why are some of the cells moving NE while others move S? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yuki neko Posted June 17, 2016 Share Posted June 17, 2016 Worried about a DC split here, but that line looks pretty legit. Still time for it to split * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... THE NORTHWESTERN DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA... SOUTHERN MONTGOMERY COUNTY IN CENTRAL MARYLAND... FAIRFAX COUNTY IN NORTHERN VIRGINIA... PRINCE WILLIAM COUNTY IN NORTHERN VIRGINIA... NORTH CENTRAL STAFFORD COUNTY IN NORTHERN VIRGINIA... THE CITY OF FAIRFAX IN NORTHERN VIRGINIA... THE CITY OF MANASSAS IN NORTHERN VIRGINIA... THE CITY OF FALLS CHURCH IN NORTHERN VIRGINIA... THE WESTERN CITY OF ALEXANDRIA IN NORTHERN VIRGINIA... ARLINGTON COUNTY IN NORTHERN VIRGINIA... SOUTHEASTERN LOUDOUN COUNTY IN NORTHERN VIRGINIA... THE CITY OF MANASSAS PARK IN NORTHERN VIRGINIA... NORTHEASTERN FAUQUIER COUNTY IN NORTHERN VIRGINIA...* UNTIL 900 PM EDT* AT 820 PM EDT...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM LEESBURG TO NEAR HAYMARKET TO NEAR WARRENTON...MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH. HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS. SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. IMPACT...DAMAGING WINDS WILL CAUSE SOME TREES AND LARGE BRANCHES TO FALL. THIS COULD INJURE THOSE OUTDOORS...AS WELL AS DAMAGE HOMES AND VEHICLES. ROADWAYS MAY BECOME BLOCKED BY DOWNED TREES. LOCALIZED POWER OUTAGES ARE POSSIBLE. UNSECURED LIGHT OBJECTS MAY BECOME PROJECTILES.* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... ARLINGTON...ALEXANDRIA...CENTREVILLE...DALE CITY...ROCKVILLE... BETHESDA...RESTON...LEESBURG...ANNANDALE...SPRINGFIELD... SOUTH RIDING...HERNDON...FAIRFAX...VIENNA...GROVETON... FALLS CHURCH...BROADLANDS...LANSDOWNE... LOWES ISLAND AND BRAMBLETON.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...GET INDOORS TO PROTECT YOURSELF FROM WIND AND LIGHTNING. TREES AROUNDYOU MAY BE DOWNED FROM DAMAGING WINDS...SO IF YOU ARE NEAR LARGETREES...MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR. DON`T DRIVEUNDERNEATH TREES OR IN WOODED AREAS UNTIL THE THREAT HAS PASSED. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted June 17, 2016 Share Posted June 17, 2016 There won't be a DC split - but there could be a DC miss on the severe - severe will probably dip a little south of the city as it dies down. Rain will be had by most/all. Amount of rain TBD Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tater Tot Posted June 17, 2016 Share Posted June 17, 2016 Line looks okay so far. Maybe it'll be able to break my lousy 14 mph wind gust record. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted June 17, 2016 Share Posted June 17, 2016 Thunder just now in the distance - pretty far out still Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted June 17, 2016 Share Posted June 17, 2016 Still east winds at IAD. It'll be there soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted June 17, 2016 Share Posted June 17, 2016 First line through here, nothing major, 31 mph gust and about .50 rain in 10 minutes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 17, 2016 Share Posted June 17, 2016 There won't be a DC split - but there could be a DC miss on the severe - severe will probably dip a little south of the city as it dies down. Rain will be had by most/all. Amount of rain TBDAlmost none of that line is severe. #lwxing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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