biodhokie Posted June 16, 2016 Share Posted June 16, 2016 Whoops, I thought I had my location on for some reason. I'm in northern Fredericksburg. Sigh. You've got a TOR warned cell in your backyard (crossing rt. 3 as of 1725). If it weren't for traffic you could chase it from the backside. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted June 16, 2016 Share Posted June 16, 2016 BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC 523 PM EDT THU JUN 16 2016 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STERLING VIRGINIA HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... NORTHEASTERN CLARKE COUNTY IN NORTHWESTERN VIRGINIA... EAST CENTRAL FREDERICK COUNTY IN NORTHWESTERN VIRGINIA... SOUTHERN JEFFERSON COUNTY IN THE PANHANDLE OF WEST VIRGINIA... SOUTH CENTRAL BERKELEY COUNTY IN THE PANHANDLE OF WEST VIRGINIA... * UNTIL 615 PM EDT * AT 523 PM EDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR INWOOD...OR 9 MILES NORTHEAST OF WINCHESTER...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 20 MPH. HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL. SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. IMPACT...DAMAGING WINDS WILL CAUSE SOME TREES AND LARGE BRANCHES TO FALL. THIS COULD INJURE THOSE OUTDOORS...AS WELL AS DAMAGE HOMES AND VEHICLES. ROADWAYS MAY BECOME BLOCKED BY DOWNED TREES. LOCALIZED POWER OUTAGES ARE POSSIBLE. UNSECURED LIGHT OBJECTS MAY BECOME PROJECTILES. * LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... CHARLES TOWN...RANSON...BERRYVILLE...INWOOD... CORPORATION OF RANSON...BOLIVAR...MIDDLEWAY...HALLTOWN... RIDGEWAY...BRUCETOWN...BUNKER HILL...CEDAR HILL...MILLVILLE... SUMMIT POINT...WADESVILLE...RIPPON...GERRARDSTOWN...STRINGTOWN... GAYLORD AND CLEAR BROOK. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted June 16, 2016 Share Posted June 16, 2016 So that Winchester/Berryville cell is starting to look interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tater Tot Posted June 16, 2016 Share Posted June 16, 2016 More lame sunshowers here. I've seen more of those this month than I think I ever have. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wawarriors4 Posted June 16, 2016 Share Posted June 16, 2016 Hail in Spotsylvania, VA Edit: Weather station says wind gusted to 51 mph, didn't seem that strong however..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted June 16, 2016 Share Posted June 16, 2016 SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC 539 PM EDT THU JUN 16 2016 VAC043-069-WVC003-037-162215- /O.CON.KLWX.SV.W.0072.000000T0000Z-160616T2215Z/ CLARKE VA-FREDERICK VA-JEFFERSON WV-BERKELEY WV- 539 PM EDT THU JUN 16 2016 ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 615 PM EDT FOR NORTHEASTERN CLARKE AND EAST CENTRAL FREDERICK COUNTIES IN NORTHWESTERN VIRGINIA...SOUTHERN JEFFERSON AND SOUTH CENTRAL BERKELEY COUNTIES IN THE PANHANDLE OF WEST VIRGINIA... AT 539 PM EDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR CHARLES TOWN... MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 20 MPH. HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND HALF DOLLAR SIZE HAIL. SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. IMPACT...DAMAGING WINDS WILL CAUSE SOME TREES AND LARGE BRANCHES TO FALL. THIS COULD INJURE THOSE OUTDOORS...AS WELL AS DAMAGE HOMES AND VEHICLES. ROADWAYS MAY BECOME BLOCKED BY DOWNED TREES. LOCALIZED POWER OUTAGES ARE POSSIBLE. UNSECURED LIGHT OBJECTS MAY BECOME PROJECTILES. LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... CHARLES TOWN...RANSON...BERRYVILLE...INWOOD... CORPORATION OF RANSON...BOLIVAR...MIDDLEWAY...HALLTOWN...RIDGEWAY... BRUCETOWN...MILLVILLE...SUMMIT POINT...WADESVILLE...RIPPON... STRINGTOWN...GAYLORD...CLEAR BROOK...WICKLIFFE... STEPHENSON AND BUNKER HILL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted June 16, 2016 Share Posted June 16, 2016 Is that a hook just south of Berryville? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted June 16, 2016 Share Posted June 16, 2016 BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC 547 PM EDT THU JUN 16 2016 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STERLING VIRGINIA HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... WEST CENTRAL LOUDOUN COUNTY IN NORTHERN VIRGINIA... CLARKE COUNTY IN NORTHWESTERN VIRGINIA... NORTH CENTRAL FAUQUIER COUNTY IN NORTHERN VIRGINIA... SOUTHWESTERN JEFFERSON COUNTY IN THE PANHANDLE OF WEST VIRGINIA... * UNTIL 630 PM EDT * AT 546 PM EDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED OVER BERRYVILLE... OR 9 MILES EAST OF MILLWOOD PIKE...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 30 MPH. HAZARD...70 MPH WIND GUSTS AND HALF DOLLAR SIZE HAIL. SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. IMPACT...DAMAGING WINDS WILL CAUSE SOME TREES AND LARGE BRANCHES TO FALL. THIS COULD INJURE THOSE OUTDOORS...AS WELL AS DAMAGE HOMES AND VEHICLES. ROADWAYS MAY BECOME BLOCKED BY DOWNED TREES. LOCALIZED POWER OUTAGES ARE POSSIBLE. UNSECURED LIGHT OBJECTS MAY BECOME PROJECTILES. * LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... PURCELLVILLE...BERRYVILLE...MIDDLEBURG...ROUND HILL...DELAPLANE... BLUEMONT...MARSHALL...BOYCE...RECTORTOWN...BRIGGS...UPPERVILLE... PHILOMONT...ADA...HUGHESVILLE...RIPPON...ASHVILLE...GLEEDSVILLE... STRINGTOWN...MILLWOOD AND SAINT LOUIS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted June 16, 2016 Share Posted June 16, 2016 TOR for Loudoun...couplet tightening up nicely just S. of Berryville. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted June 16, 2016 Share Posted June 16, 2016 LOL - the 20z HRRR is like a half inch or less of precip for my side of the Potomac. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted June 16, 2016 Share Posted June 16, 2016 TOR for Loudoun...couplet tightening up nicely just S. of Berryville. Decent hail core now as well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted June 16, 2016 Share Posted June 16, 2016 Based off surface obs, the warm front might have nudge west by about 10-20 miles and is somewhere between US-15 and I-81. All the winds have shifted to the SE in DC Metro and the temps have fallen by about 5-9 degrees. Still very intense dews so the heavy rain threat is there. Probably waning severe threat with each minute though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted June 16, 2016 Share Posted June 16, 2016 Based off surface obs, the warm front might have nudge west by about 10-20 miles and is somewhere between US-15 and I-81. All the winds have shifted to the SE in DC Metro and the temps have fallen by about 5-9 degrees. Still very intense dews so the heavy rain threat is there. Probably waning severe threat with each minute though. I shouldn't have gotten dragged into the severe aspect of this event. Hopefully the heavy rain performs. Of course we'll probably see the usual idiot drivers go through a completely inundated road. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted June 16, 2016 Share Posted June 16, 2016 I like how the 18z 4km NAM is a pummeling of rain for a lot of us and the HRRR 20z gives me like a half inch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted June 16, 2016 Share Posted June 16, 2016 SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC 558 PM EDT THU JUN 16 2016 VAC043-061-107-162230- /O.CON.KLWX.TO.W.0019.000000T0000Z-160616T2230Z/ LOUDOUN VA-CLARKE VA-FAUQUIER VA- 558 PM EDT THU JUN 16 2016 ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 630 PM EDT FOR SOUTHWESTERN LOUDOUN...SOUTHEASTERN CLARKE AND NORTH CENTRAL FAUQUIER COUNTIES... AT 557 PM EDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR BERRYVILLE...OR 12 MILES SOUTHEAST OF MILLWOOD PIKE... MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 25 MPH. HAZARD...TORNADO AND TWO INCH HAIL. SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED ROTATION. IMPACT...FOR THOSE IN THE DIRECT PATH OF A TORNADO TOUCHDOWN...FLYING DEBRIS WILL BE DANGEROUS TO THOSE CAUGHT WITHOUT SHELTER. DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING...AND WINDOWS MAY OCCUR. MOBILE HOMES MAY BE DAMAGED OR DESTROYED. TREE DAMAGE IS LIKELY. THIS DANGEROUS STORM WILL BE NEAR... DELAPLANE AROUND 620 PM EDT. MIDDLEBURG AROUND 630 PM EDT. OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY THIS TORNADIC THUNDERSTORM INCLUDE RECTORTOWN...BRIGGS...UPPERVILLE...SAINT LOUIS...PARIS...PHILOMONT AND MARSHALL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smokeybandit Posted June 16, 2016 Share Posted June 16, 2016 Odds on that line of storms even getting here? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted June 16, 2016 Share Posted June 16, 2016 BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC 601 PM EDT THU JUN 16 2016 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STERLING VIRGINIA HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... ALLEGANY COUNTY IN WESTERN MARYLAND... NORTHWESTERN WASHINGTON COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL MARYLAND... NORTHWESTERN ROCKINGHAM COUNTY IN WESTERN VIRGINIA... NORTH CENTRAL HIGHLAND COUNTY IN WESTERN VIRGINIA... GRANT COUNTY IN EASTERN WEST VIRGINIA... WESTERN MORGAN COUNTY IN THE PANHANDLE OF WEST VIRGINIA... HARDY COUNTY IN EASTERN WEST VIRGINIA... MINERAL COUNTY IN EASTERN WEST VIRGINIA... PENDLETON COUNTY IN EASTERN WEST VIRGINIA... HAMPSHIRE COUNTY IN EASTERN WEST VIRGINIA... * UNTIL 730 PM EDT * AT 600 PM EDT...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM NEAR FROSTBURG TO WESTERNPORT TO NEAR BAYARD TO NEAR DAILEY...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 45 MPH. HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL. SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. IMPACT...DAMAGING WINDS WILL CAUSE SOME TREES AND LARGE BRANCHES TO FALL. THIS COULD INJURE THOSE OUTDOORS...AS WELL AS DAMAGE HOMES AND VEHICLES. ROADWAYS MAY BECOME BLOCKED BY DOWNED TREES. LOCALIZED POWER OUTAGES ARE POSSIBLE. UNSECURED LIGHT OBJECTS MAY BECOME PROJECTILES. * LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... CUMBERLAND...FROSTBURG...KEYSER...MOOREFIELD...PETERSBURG... WESTERNPORT...ROMNEY...HANCOCK...BEL AIR...PAW PAW...BAYARD... BRANDYWINE...ROUGH RUN...LA VALE...FORT ASHBY...LONACONING... PIEDMONT...BERKELEY SPRINGS...ELK GARDEN AND KITZMILLER. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted June 16, 2016 Share Posted June 16, 2016 I see LWX is going with the "cover everyone" warnings now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
biodhokie Posted June 16, 2016 Share Posted June 16, 2016 BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTEDTORNADO WARNINGNATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC605 PM EDT THU JUN 16 2016THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STERLING VIRGINIA HAS ISSUED A* TORNADO WARNING FOR... NORTHWESTERN PRINCE WILLIAM COUNTY IN NORTHERN VIRGINIA... SOUTHWESTERN LOUDOUN COUNTY IN NORTHERN VIRGINIA... SOUTHEASTERN CLARKE COUNTY IN NORTHWESTERN VIRGINIA... NORTH CENTRAL FAUQUIER COUNTY IN NORTHERN VIRGINIA...* UNTIL 645 PM EDT * AT 604 PM EDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR BLUEMONT...OR 15 MILES SOUTH OF CHARLES TOWN... MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 25 MPH. HAZARD...TORNADO AND HAIL UP TO TWO INCHES IN DIAMETER. SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED ROTATION. IMPACT...FOR THOSE IN THE DIRECT PATH OF A TORNADO TOUCHDOWN... FLYING DEBRIS WILL BE DANGEROUS TO THOSE CAUGHT WITHOUT SHELTER. DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING...AND WINDOWS MAY OCCUR. MOBILE HOMES MAY BE DAMAGED OR DESTROYED. TREE DAMAGE IS LIKELY.* THIS DANGEROUS STORM WILL BE NEAR... MIDDLEBURG AROUND 625 PM EDT. THE PLAINS AROUND 635 PM EDT.OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY THIS TORNADIC THUNDERSTORM INCLUDEALDIE... WOOLSEY...BROAD RUN...RECTORTOWN...UPPERVILLE...SAINTLOUIS...MEADOWVILLE... HALFWAY...PHILOMONT AND MARSHALL.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...TAKE COVER NOW! MOVE TO A BASEMENT OR AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWESTFLOOR OF A STURDY BUILDING. AVOID WINDOWS. IF YOU ARE OUTDOORS...INA MOBILE HOME...OR IN A VEHICLE...MOVE TO THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIALSHELTER AND PROTECT YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS.&&LAT...LON 3897 7748 3874 7783 3906 7794 3912 7785TIME...MOT...LOC 2204Z 318DEG 21KT 3905 7786TORNADO...RADAR INDICATEDHAIL...2.00IN$$HAS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted June 16, 2016 Share Posted June 16, 2016 LOUDOUN VA-FAUQUIER VA- 613 PM EDT THU JUN 16 2016 ...THE TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 645 PM EDT FOR... NORTHWESTERN PRINCE WILLIAM COUNTY IN NORTHERN VIRGINIA... SOUTHWESTERN LOUDOUN COUNTY IN NORTHERN VIRGINIA...SOUTHEASTERN CLARKE COUNTY IN NORTHWESTERN VIRGINIA... NORTH CENTRAL FAUQUIER COUNTY IN NORTHERN VIRGINIA... ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 630 PM EDT FOR WEST CENTRAL LOUDOUN AND NORTH CENTRAL FAUQUIER COUNTIES... AT 612 PM EDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR MIDDLEBURG...OR 17 MILES WEST OF LEESBURG...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 25 MPH. HAZARD...TORNADO AND TWO INCH HAIL. SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. IMPACT...EXPECT WIND DAMAGE TO TREES AND POWER LINES. HAIL IS LARGE ENOUGH TO DENT AND DAMAGE VEHICLES. SOME HAIL DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING...AND WINDOWS IS POSSIBLE. LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... MIDDLEBURG...MARSHALL...RECTORTOWN...UPPERVILLE...SAINT LOUIS AND PHILOMONT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eurojosh Posted June 16, 2016 Author Share Posted June 16, 2016 are the amwx servers in Loudon county? Sent from my SM-G925P using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted June 16, 2016 Share Posted June 16, 2016 Is it too early to say bust for MD? Warm front didn't make it far enough north. It's like we never learn since that always seems to happen. I'm not even seeing the heavy rain threat at this point. Is it going to suddenly blow up when the line gets close? The current area of precip isn't even that large and the line is going to go south of us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eurojosh Posted June 16, 2016 Author Share Posted June 16, 2016 nam says it blows up, hrrr says it doesn't. we will see. Sent from my SM-G925P using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted June 16, 2016 Share Posted June 16, 2016 are the amwx servers in Loudon county? Sent from my SM-G925P using Tapatalk People posting the full text for every warning is killing the site. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted June 16, 2016 Share Posted June 16, 2016 Woah der BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC 637 PM EDT THU JUN 16 2016 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STERLING VIRGINIA HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... WEST CENTRAL FAIRFAX COUNTY IN NORTHERN VIRGINIA... NORTHWESTERN PRINCE WILLIAM COUNTY IN NORTHERN VIRGINIA... THE CITY OF MANASSAS IN NORTHERN VIRGINIA... SOUTH CENTRAL LOUDOUN COUNTY IN NORTHERN VIRGINIA... THE CITY OF MANASSAS PARK IN NORTHERN VIRGINIA... THE CITY OF FAIRFAX IN NORTHERN VIRGINIA... NORTHEASTERN FAUQUIER COUNTY IN NORTHERN VIRGINIA... * UNTIL 715 PM EDT * AT 637 PM EDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR MIDDLEBURG... OR 8 MILES WEST OF SOUTH RIDING...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 25 MPH. HAZARD...TENNIS BALL SIZE HAIL AND 60 MPH WIND GUSTS. SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. IMPACT...EXPECT WIND DAMAGE TO TREES AND POWER LINES. HAIL IS LARGE ENOUGH TO DENT AND DAMAGE VEHICLES. SOME HAIL DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING...AND WINDOWS IS POSSIBLE. * LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... CENTREVILLE...SOUTH RIDING...FAIRFAX...BRAMBLETON...MANTUA...LINTON HALL...OAKTON...CHANTILLY...MERRIFIELD...BULL RUN...HAYMARKET... MIDDLEBURG...ARCOLA...MANASSAS...SUDLEY...MANASSAS PARK...FAIRFAX STATION...GAINESVILLE...NEW BALTIMORE AND NOKESVILLE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted June 16, 2016 Share Posted June 16, 2016 Supposed to be flying in landing at 10, now delayed to 11, coming out of New Orleans. Waiting at airport gate. Hope this blows through with some speed. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sophisticated Skeptic Posted June 16, 2016 Share Posted June 16, 2016 danggg...Sonnnnnnnnnnnnnnnn. almost unseen in these parts of the country - also, site is loading so slow...is it just me ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted June 16, 2016 Share Posted June 16, 2016 Site loading really slowly. HECS-level slow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted June 16, 2016 Share Posted June 16, 2016 TOR warned cell missed to my SW. Line out west looks decent Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted June 16, 2016 Share Posted June 16, 2016 i'm in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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