Jon Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Sorry, might have been too bullish on my ice totals (got a bit excited and NAM'd) but 0.5"+ for RDU is a safe bet and that hasn't changed. You never know how much precip will be forced up into the area and how early we transfer to ZR. It will be either not that bad or crippling (lol)... Models won't tell you really how much, you have to just watch radar trends. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
No snow for you Posted January 22, 2016 Author Share Posted January 22, 2016 When local weather stations use their future cast radar, what model is that? How accurate is it? Shawn talked about it yesterday. I can't remember the name but many stations use it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormyClearweather Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Shawn talked about it yesterday. I can't remember the name but many stations use it. Isn't it the RPM? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Isn't it the RPM? Yes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LovingGulfLows Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Well guys I chickened out and went to TN. I'm between knoxville and Nashville and its been raining the whole time. #snowchasefail LOL. The models had a warm nose going all the way up through eastern TN. Might as well stayed in Atlanta. The wedge has a better chance of cooling the column down here than it does up there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CherokeeGA Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 This is the South. We don't live in Canada. I don't get why people hug models (in particular, why people hug clown maps produced on said models' output). Even sometimes mets are guilty of doing this when producing their forecast total maps. We NEVER get as much as the clown maps say. I've never seen it happen. And yet, every single time, people are surprised, put out, angry, whiny, disgusted, etc. when they don't get what the clown maps said. The media just makes it worse because every time they get on the "epic" "record breaking" "storm of the century" bandwagon to fill airtime. Even when the fallout from storms has been bad here - namely, 2010 and 2014 traffic jam debacles - it has NOT been because we overperformed model predictions. We knew we were going to get freezing rain on the roads, and we all went to school and work anyway. ****e went sideways because nobody prepared. (See: Washington, DC earlier this week.) Plan on every storm being a fail. Then, when you get 2" of the forecast 8" (that you didn't believe because you are an adult and smarter than that ), you will be pleasantly surprised. I'm not saying be stupid. If there's a storm POTENTIAL, then put food in the house, and gas in the car, and charge the phone. But don't expect it to turn out as great as what the weenies (including the weenie mets, and there are some) believe it will. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowless in Carrollton Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 LOL. The models had a warm nose going all the way up through eastern TN. Might as well stayed in Atlanta. The wedge has a better chance of cooling the column down here than it does up there. yeah but doesn't this area have a better chance at wraparound snow ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Well, the secondary low hasn't formed yet, so we have that to look forward to. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
a5ehren Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 This is the South. We don't live in Canada. I don't get why people hug models (in particular, why people hug clown maps produced on said models' output). Even sometimes mets are guilty of doing this when producing their forecast total maps. We NEVER get as much as the clown maps say. I've never seen it happen. And yet, every single time, people are surprised, put out, angry, whiny, disgusted, etc. when they don't get what the clown maps said. The media just makes it worse because every time they get on the "epic" "record breaking" "storm of the century" bandwagon to fill airtime. Even when the fallout from storms has been bad here - namely, 2010 and 2014 traffic jam debacles - it has NOT been because we overperformed model predictions. We knew we were going to get freezing rain on the roads, and we all went to school and work anyway. ****e went sideways because nobody prepared. (See: Washington, DC earlier this week.) Plan on every storm being a fail. Then, when you get 2" of the forecast 8" (that you didn't believe because you are an adult and smarter than that ), you will be pleasantly surprised. I'm not saying be stupid. If there's a storm POTENTIAL, then put food in the house, and gas in the car, and charge the phone. But don't expect it to turn out as great as what the weenies (including the weenie mets, and there are some) believe it will. I feel like this should be stickied at the top of this forum from Dec 1st to March 15th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
No snow for you Posted January 22, 2016 Author Share Posted January 22, 2016 Well, the secondary low hasn't formed yet, so we have that to look forward to. The nam has it coming onshore. Enjoy the cold rain. The nam has done the best by far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Isn't it the RPM?How accurate is that model? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 This is fun and funny, to see how everybody including myself take everything so serious!!! LOL We will get what we get. You say something negative and it's like a flock of birds after bird seed on ya!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilj4425 Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 This is fun and funny, to see how everybody including myself take everything so serious!!! LOL We will get what we get. You say something negative and it's like a flock of birds after bird seed on ya!!! I wanted 70 and sunny. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowless in Carrollton Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 This is fun and funny, to see how everybody including myself take everything so serious!!! LOL We will get what we get. You say something negative and it's like a flock of birds after bird seed on ya!!! maybe this is just Gods way of telling us to not take weather so seriously. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FLO Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Brick won't give up. Too cute. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jon Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 The nam has it coming onshore. Enjoy the cold rain. The nam has done the best by far Sorry, only you get the cold rain this time sir. We will stay freezing throughout. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jon Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Brick won't give up. Too cute. Well he's a good bit north of you guys, so it's understandable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherfide Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Everytime I refresh this page, I get a prompt to login to energy cast? Is it a virus? I'm getting the same thing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonathan Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Honestly, I've been very lucky. The tiny band of precip keeps backbuiding under me. I haven't measured, but I'm probably close to 5" right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 It's going to be difficult to get any significant snow and sleet accums around the Triangle area for now. Too much warm air aloft. An ice storm is developing. The northern zones should see more in the way of ZR as the day wears on. Obviously, the farther north and west, the better chance of staying sleet longer. Also, it is premature to worry about dry-slotting, all kidding aside. Not saying we shouldn't keep an eye on it. But we'll need to monitor how the transfer takes shape and how it evolves from there. Right now, the precip is spotty. There are no guarantees either way. We'll have to watch the trends through the day and hope it either stays spotty or the temps warm above freezing, so we can avoid major power problems. The precip is what is surprising to me. Splotchy radar instead of a solid shield. Didn't expect that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormyClearweather Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 How accurate is that model? Well it wasn't very accurate for this morning as far as precip types. With regards to rates, it seemed okay? I guess we'll see though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilj4425 Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 I'm getting the same thing. Same. I thought I was clicking the wrong button. LOL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
No snow for you Posted January 22, 2016 Author Share Posted January 22, 2016 Sorry, only you get the cold rain this time sir. We will stay freezing throughout. But I want mild rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilj4425 Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 The power just went out here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 They are touting how accurate their in house model is and how well it's done this morning!? It shows snow and good coverage at about 4/5 pm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxKnurd Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Played with the dogs outside and cleared off truck Windows, another .25" of sleet had fallen since I went out at 7:30. Moderate sleet continues to fall. I'd take 1" of our initial snow, 1" sleet and 2" of snow on the backside and consider this a decent to good storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RichmondTarHeel Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 I've got a friend in Statesville where I used to live saying they've only got 2" but was predicted for upwards of 8". Now local weathermen are saying they won't get any more snow? Is this accurate or is he telling me a whopper? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Well guys I chickened out and went to TN. I'm between knoxville and Nashville and its been raining the whole time. #snowchasefail camera's out of nashville are showing a winter wonderland and traffic gridlocked Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
10below Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 This place is high comedy! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NWNC2015 Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 I've got a friend in Statesville where I used to live saying they've only got 2" but was predicted for upwards of 8". Now local weathermen are saying they won't get any more snow? Is this accurate or is he telling me a whopper? Burger King Whopper for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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